COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub – opportunity to participate!

The COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub is a multi-model effort to provide 6-month ahead projections of cases, hospitalizations, and deaths in US states. The project started in December 2020 and has generated 4 rounds of projections thus far; further, the group has established tight connections with public health officials so that projections are used for planning purposes and decision-making.

The COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub team is now working with participating teams on Round 5 of the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub; participation from new teams is always encouraged.



Building upon earlier rounds, projections for this round include aspects of vaccine hesitancy and non-pharmaceutical interventions, in a background of increased transmissibility due to circulation of new SARS-CoV-2 variants. As this is an ongoing effort, we wanted to send an update on the status of the hub in case you may be interested in participating in this or future rounds. To simplify participation, the submission format follows that of the COVID-19 Forecast Hub (with some metadata additions).

If you are interested in participating in the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, please check out the above links and email