Scenario details for the latest round of the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub (additional info below) are being finalized this week. Finalized scenarios will be posted at https://github.com/midas-network/covid19-scenario-modeling-hub.
This is an open call for teams to participate in the latest round of the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, a multi-model effort to provide up to 12-month ahead projections of cases, hospitalizations, and deaths in US states. The project started in December 2020 and has generated 10 rounds of projections thus far; further, the group has established close connections with public health officials so that projections are used for planning purposes and decision-making. For example, our Round 4 results were published in an MMWR (https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7019e3.htm).
Building upon earlier rounds, projections for this round focus on uncertainties surrounding the Omicron variant, including changes in transmissibility, immune escape, and disease severity. As this is an ongoing effort, we include this update on the status of the hub in case you may be interested in participating in this or future rounds. To simplify participation, the submission format follows that of the COVID-19 Forecast Hub (with some metadata additions). Please note that submissions for this round will likely be due around 21 December.
If you are interested in submitting projections in the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, please email <email@example.com> as soon as possible. Coordinators are happy to answer questions and speak directly with interested groups.