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Rachel Lowe

Associate Professor

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Papers

Rees EM, Lau CL, Kama M, Reid S, Lowe R, Kucharski AJ. (2022). Estimating the duration of antibody positivity and likely time of Leptospira infection using data from a cross-sectional serological study in Fiji. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 16(6)

Nightingale ES, Abbott S, Russell TW, , Lowe R, Medley GF, Brady OJ. (2022). The local burden of disease during the first wave of the COVID-19 epidemic in England: estimation using different data sources from changing surveillance practices. BMC public health, 22(1)

Finch E, Lowe R, Fischinger S, de St Aubin M, Siddiqui SM, Dayal D, Loesche MA, Rhee J, Beger S, Hu Y, Gluck MJ, Mormann B, Hasdianda MA, Musk ER, Alter G, Menon AS, Nilles EJ, Kucharski AJ, . (2022). SARS-CoV-2 antibodies protect against reinfection for at least 6 months in a multicentre seroepidemiological workplace cohort. PLoS biology, 20(2)

Nottmeyer L, Armstrong B, Lowe R, Abbott S, Meakin S, O'Reilly K, von Borries R, Schneider R, Royé D, Hashizume M, Pascal M, Tobias A, Vicedo-Cabrera AM, Lavigne E, Correa PM, Ortega NV, Kynčl J, Urban A, Orru H, Ryti N, Jaakkola J, Dallavalle M, Schneider A, Honda Y, Ng CFS, Alahmad B, Carrasco G, Holobâc IH, Kim H, Lee W, Íñiguez C, Bell ML, Zanobetti A, Schwartz J, Scovronick N, Coélho MSZS, Saldiva PHN, Diaz MH, Gasparrini A, Sera F. (2022). The association of COVID-19 incidence with temperature, humidity, and UV radiation - A global multi-city analysis. The Science of the total environment

Nightingale ES, Abbott S, Russell TW, , Lowe R, Medley GF, Brady OJ. (2022). Correction: The local burden of disease during the first wave of the COVID-19 epidemic in England: estimation using different data sources from changing surveillance practices. BMC public health, 22(1)

Di Napoli C, McGushin A, Romanello M, Ayeb-Karlsson S, Cai W, Chambers J, Dasgupta S, Escobar LE, Kelman I, Kjellstrom T, Kniveton D, Liu Y, Liu Z, Lowe R, Martinez-Urtaza J, McMichael C, Moradi-Lakeh M, Murray KA, Rabbaniha M, Semenza JC, Shi L, Tabatabaei M, Trinanes JA, Vu BN, Brimicombe C, Robinson EJ. (2022). Tracking the impacts of climate change on human health via indicators: lessons from the Lancet Countdown. BMC public health, 22(1)

Choisy M, McBride A, Chambers M, Ho Quang C, Nguyen Quang H, Xuan Chau NT, Thi GN, Bonell A, Evans M, Ming D, Ngo-Duc T, Quang Thai P, Dang Giang DH, Dan Thanh HN, Ngoc Nhung H, Lowe R, Maude R, Elyazar I, Surendra H, Ashley EA, Thwaites L, van Doorn HR, Kestelyn E, Dondorp AM, Thwaites G, Vinh Chau NV, Yacoub S. (2022). Climate change and health in Southeast Asia - defining research priorities and the role of the Wellcome Trust Africa Asia Programmes. Wellcome open research, (6)

Fletcher IK, Grillet ME, Moreno JE, Drakeley C, Hernández-Villena J, Jones KE, Lowe R. (2022). Synergies between environmental degradation and climate variation on malaria re-emergence in southern Venezuela: a spatiotemporal modelling study. The Lancet. Planetary health, 6(9)

Stewart-Ibarra AM, Rollock L, Best S, Brown T, Diaz AR, Dunbar W, Lippi CA, Mahon R, Ryan SJ, Trotman A, Van Meerbeeck CJ, Lowe R. (2022). Co-learning during the co-creation of a dengue early warning system for the health sector in Barbados. BMJ global health, 7(1)

Lee SA, Economou T, Lowe R. (2022). A Bayesian modelling framework to quantify multiple sources of spatial variation for disease mapping. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 19(194)

Grillet ME, Moreno JE, Hernández-Villena JV, Vincenti-González MF, Noya O, Tami A, Paniz-Mondolfi A, Llewellyn M, Lowe R, Escalante AA, Conn JE. (2021). Malaria in Southern Venezuela: The hottest hotspot in Latin America. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 15(1)

Romanello M, McGushin A, Di Napoli C, Drummond P, Hughes N, Jamart L, Kennard H, Lampard P, Solano Rodriguez B, Arnell N, Ayeb-Karlsson S, Belesova K, Cai W, Campbell-Lendrum D, Capstick S, Chambers J, Chu L, Ciampi L, Dalin C, Dasandi N, Dasgupta S, Davies M, Dominguez-Salas P, Dubrow R, Ebi KL, Eckelman M, Ekins P, Escobar LE, Georgeson L, Grace D, Graham H, Gunther SH, Hartinger S, He K, Heaviside C, Hess J, Hsu SC, Jankin S, Jimenez MP, Kelman I, Kiesewetter G, Kinney PL, Kjellstrom T, Kniveton D, Lee JKW, Lemke B, Liu Y, Liu Z, Lott M, Lowe R, Martinez-Urtaza J, Maslin M, McAllister L, McMichael C, Mi Z, Milner J, Minor K, Mohajeri N, Moradi-Lakeh M, Morrissey K, Munzert S, Murray KA, Neville T, Nilsson M, Obradovich N, Sewe MO, Oreszczyn T, Otto M, Owfi F, Pearman O, Pencheon D, Rabbaniha M, Robinson E, Rocklöv J, Salas RN, Semenza JC, Sherman J, Shi L, Springmann M, Tabatabaei M, Taylor J, Trinanes J, Shumake-Guillemot J, Vu B, Wagner F, Wilkinson P, Winning M, Yglesias M, Zhang S, Gong P, Montgomery H, Costello A, Hamilton I. (2021). The 2021 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: code red for a healthy future. Lancet, 398(10311)

Romanello M, van Daalen K, Anto JM, Dasandi N, Drummond P, Hamilton IG, Jankin S, Kendrovski V, Lowe R, Rocklöv J, Schmoll O, Semenza JC, Tonne C, Nilsson M. (2021). Tracking progress on health and climate change in Europe. The Lancet. Public health

Ortiz-Prado E, Fernandez-Naranjo R, Torres-Berru Y, Lowe R, Torres I. (2021). Exceptional Prices of Medical and Other Supplies during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Ecuador. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene

Ortiz-Prado E, Rivera-Olivero IA, Freire-Paspuel B, Lowe R, Lozada T, Henriquez-Trujillo AR, Garcia-Bereguiain MA, . (2021). Testing for SARS-CoV-2 at the core of voluntary collective isolation: Lessons from the indigenous populations living in the Amazon region in Ecuador. International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases

Sera F, Armstrong B, Abbott S, Meakin S, O'Reilly K, von Borries R, Schneider R, Royé D, Hashizume M, Pascal M, Tobias A, Vicedo-Cabrera AM, , , Gasparrini A, Lowe R. (2021). A cross-sectional analysis of meteorological factors and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in 409 cities across 26 countries. Nature communications, 12(1)

Fletcher IK, Stewart-Ibarra AM, García-Díez M, Shumake-Guillemot J, Lowe R. (2021). Climate services for health: From global observations to local interventions. Med (New York, N.Y.), 2(4)

Liu Y, Morgenstern C, Kelly J, Lowe R, , Jit M. (2021). The impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 transmission across 130 countries and territories. BMC medicine, 19(1)

Colón-González FJ, Soares Bastos L, Hofmann B, Hopkin A, Harpham Q, Crocker T, Amato R, Ferrario I, Moschini F, James S, Malde S, Ainscoe E, Sinh Nam V, Quang Tan D, Duc Khoa N, Harrison M, Tsarouchi G, Lumbroso D, Brady OJ, Lowe R. (2021). Probabilistic seasonal dengue forecasting in Vietnam: A modelling study using superensembles. PLoS medicine, 18(3)

Ortiz-Prado E, Simbaña-Rivera K, Barreno LG, Diaz AM, Barreto A, Moyano C, Arcos V, Vásconez-González E, Paz C, Simbaña-Guaycha F, Molestina-Luzuriaga M, Fernández-Naranjo R, Feijoo J, Henriquez AR, Adana L, Cortés AL, Fletcher I, Lowe R. (2021). Epidemiological, socio-demographic and clinical features of the early phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in Ecuador. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 15(1)

Rees EM, Waterlow NR, , Lowe R, Kucharski AJ. (2021). Estimating the duration of seropositivity of human seasonal coronaviruses using seroprevalence studies. Wellcome open research, (6)

Rees EM, Minter A, Edmunds WJ, Lau CL, Kucharski AJ, Lowe R. (2021). Transmission modelling of environmentally persistent zoonotic diseases: a systematic review. The Lancet. Planetary health, 5(7)

Lee SA, Jarvis CI, Edmunds WJ, Economou T, Lowe R. (2021). Spatial connectivity in mosquito-borne disease models: a systematic review of methods and assumptions. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 18(178)

Pollett S, Johansson MA, Reich NG, Brett-Major D, Del Valle SY, Venkatramanan S, Lowe R, Porco T, Berry IM, Deshpande A, Kraemer MUG, Blazes DL, Pan-Ngum W, Vespigiani A, Mate SE, Silal SP, Kandula S, Sippy R, Quandelacy TM, Morgan JJ, Ball J, Morton LC, Althouse BM, Pavlin J, van Panhuis W, Riley S, Biggerstaff M, Viboud C, Brady O, Rivers C. (2021). Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: The EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines. PLoS medicine, 18(10)

Colón-González FJ, Sewe MO, Tompkins AM, Sjödin H, Casallas A, Rocklöv J, Caminade C, Lowe R. (2021). Projecting the risk of mosquito-borne diseases in a warmer and more populated world: a multi-model, multi-scenario intercomparison modelling study. The Lancet. Planetary health, 5(7)

Pley C, Evans M, Lowe R, Montgomery H, Yacoub S. (2021). Digital and technological innovation in vector-borne disease surveillance to predict, detect, and control climate-driven outbreaks. The Lancet. Planetary health, 5(10)

Lowe R, Lee SA, O'Reilly KM, Brady OJ, Bastos L, Carrasco-Escobar G, de Castro Catão R, Colón-González FJ, Barcellos C, Carvalho MS, Blangiardo M, Rue H, Gasparrini A. (2021). Combined effects of hydrometeorological hazards and urbanisation on dengue risk in Brazil: a spatiotemporal modelling study. The Lancet. Planetary health, 5(4)

Lippi CA, Stewart-Ibarra AM, Romero M, Hinds AQJ, Lowe R, Mahon R, Van Meerbeeck CJ, Rollock L, Gittens-St Hilaire M, Trotman AR, Holligan D, Kirton S, Borbor-Cordova MJ, Ryan SJ. (2020). Spatiotemporal Tools for Emerging and Endemic Disease Hotspots in Small Areas: An Analysis of Dengue and Chikungunya in Barbados, 2013-2016. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene

O'Reilly KM, Auzenbergs M, Jafari Y, Liu Y, Flasche S, Lowe R. (2020). Effective transmission across the globe: the role of climate in COVID-19 mitigation strategies. The Lancet. Planetary health

Chirombo J, Ceccato P, Lowe R, Terlouw DJ, Thomson MC, Gumbo A, Diggle PJ, Read JM. (2020). Childhood malaria case incidence in Malawi between 2004 and 2017: spatio-temporal modelling of climate and non-climate factors. Malaria journal, 19(1)

Watts N, Amann M, Arnell N, Ayeb-Karlsson S, Beagley J, Belesova K, Boykoff M, Byass P, Cai W, Campbell-Lendrum D, Capstick S, Chambers J, Coleman S, Dalin C, Daly M, Dasandi N, Dasgupta S, Davies M, Di Napoli C, Dominguez-Salas P, Drummond P, Dubrow R, Ebi KL, Eckelman M, Ekins P, Escobar LE, Georgeson L, Golder S, Grace D, Graham H, Haggar P, Hamilton I, Hartinger S, Hess J, Hsu SC, Hughes N, Jankin Mikhaylov S, Jimenez MP, Kelman I, Kennard H, Kiesewetter G, Kinney PL, Kjellstrom T, Kniveton D, Lampard P, Lemke B, Liu Y, Liu Z, Lott M, Lowe R, Martinez-Urtaza J, Maslin M, McAllister L, McGushin A, McMichael C, Milner J, Moradi-Lakeh M, Morrissey K, Munzert S, Murray KA, Neville T, Nilsson M, Sewe MO, Oreszczyn T, Otto M, Owfi F, Pearman O, Pencheon D, Quinn R, Rabbaniha M, Robinson E, Rocklöv J, Romanello M, Semenza JC, Sherman J, Shi L, Springmann M, Tabatabaei M, Taylor J, Triñanes J, Shumake-Guillemot J, Vu B, Wilkinson P, Winning M, Gong P, Montgomery H, Costello A. (2020). The 2020 report of The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: responding to converging crises. Lancet

Seelig F, Bezerra H, Cameron M, Hii J, Hiscox A, Irish S, Jones RT, Lang T, Lindsay SW, Lowe R, Nyoni TM, Power GM, Quintero J, Stewart-Ibarra AM, Tusting LS, Tytheridge S, Logan JG. (2020). The COVID-19 pandemic should not derail global vector control efforts. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 14(8)

Liu K, Hou X, Ren Z, Lowe R, Wang Y, Li R, Liu X, Sun J, Lu L, Song X, Wu H, Wang J, Yao W, Zhang C, Sang S, Gao Y, Li J, Li J, Xu L, Liu Q. (2020). Climate factors and the East Asian summer monsoon may drive large outbreaks of dengue in China. Environmental research, (183)

Lowe R, Ryan SJ, Mahon R, Van Meerbeeck CJ, Trotman AR, Boodram LG, Borbor-Cordova MJ, Stewart-Ibarra AM. (2020). Building resilience to mosquito-borne diseases in the Caribbean. PLoS biology, 18(11)

Watts N, Amann M, Arnell N, Ayeb-Karlsson S, Belesova K, Boykoff M, Byass P, Cai W, Campbell-Lendrum D, Capstick S, Chambers J, Dalin C, Daly M, Dasandi N, Davies M, Drummond P, Dubrow R, Ebi KL, Eckelman M, Ekins P, Escobar LE, Fernandez Montoya L, Georgeson L, Graham H, Haggar P, Hamilton I, Hartinger S, Hess J, Kelman I, Kiesewetter G, Kjellstrom T, Kniveton D, Lemke B, Liu Y, Lott M, Lowe R, Sewe MO, Martinez-Urtaza J, Maslin M, McAllister L, McGushin A, Jankin Mikhaylov S, Milner J, Moradi-Lakeh M, Morrissey K, Murray K, Munzert S, Nilsson M, Neville T, Oreszczyn T, Owfi F, Pearman O, Pencheon D, Phung D, Pye S, Quinn R, Rabbaniha M, Robinson E, Rocklöv J, Semenza JC, Sherman J, Shumake-Guillemot J, Tabatabaei M, Taylor J, Trinanes J, Wilkinson P, Costello A, Gong P, Montgomery H. (2019). The 2019 report of The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: ensuring that the health of a child born today is not defined by a changing climate. Lancet, 394(10211)

Johansson MA, Apfeldorf KM, Dobson S, Devita J, Buczak AL, Baugher B, Moniz LJ, Bagley T, Babin SM, Guven E, Yamana TK, Shaman J, Moschou T, Lothian N, Lane A, Osborne G, Jiang G, Brooks LC, Farrow DC, Hyun S, Tibshirani RJ, Rosenfeld R, Lessler J, Reich NG, Cummings DAT, Lauer SA, Moore SM, Clapham HE, Lowe R, Bailey TC, García-Díez M, Carvalho MS, Rodó X, Sardar T, Paul R, Ray EL, Sakrejda K, Brown AC, Meng X, Osoba O, Vardavas R, Manheim D, Moore M, Rao DM, Porco TC, Ackley S, Liu F, Worden L, Convertino M, Liu Y, Reddy A, Ortiz E, Rivero J, Brito H, Juarrero A, Johnson LR, Gramacy RB, Cohen JM, Mordecai EA, Murdock CC, Rohr JR, Ryan SJ, Stewart-Ibarra AM, Weikel DP, Jutla A, Khan R, Poultney M, Colwell RR, Rivera-García B, Barker CM, Bell JE, Biggerstaff M, Swerdlow D, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Forshey BM, Trtanj J, Asher J, Clay M, Margolis HS, Hebbeler AM, George D, Chretien JP. (2019). An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 116(48)

Freitas LP, Cruz OG, Lowe R, Sá Carvalho M. (2019). Space-time dynamics of a triple epidemic: dengue, chikungunya and Zika clusters in the city of Rio de Janeiro. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 286(1912)

O'Reilly KM, Hendrickx E, Kharisma DD, Wilastonegoro NN, Carrington LB, Elyazar IRF, Kucharski AJ, Lowe R, Flasche S, Pigott DM, Reiner RC Jr., Edmunds WJ, Hay SI, Yakob L, Shepard DS, Brady OJ. (2019). Estimating the burden of dengue and the impact of release of wMel Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes in Indonesia: a modelling study. BMC medicine, 17(1)

Castro MC, Baeza A, Codeço CT, Cucunubá ZM, Dal'Asta AP, De Leo GA, Dobson AP, Carrasco-Escobar G, Lana RM, Lowe R, Monteiro AMV, Pascual M, Santos-Vega M. (2019). Development, environmental degradation, and disease spread in the Brazilian Amazon. PLoS biology, 17(11)

Stewart-Ibarra AM, Romero M, Hinds AQJ, Lowe R, Mahon R, Van Meerbeeck CJ, Rollock L, Gittens-St Hilaire M, St Ville S, Ryan SJ, Trotman AR, Borbor-Cordova MJ. (2019). Co-developing climate services for public health: Stakeholder needs and perceptions for the prevention and control of Aedes-transmitted diseases in the Caribbean. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 13(10)

Funk S, Camacho A, Kucharski AJ, Lowe R, Eggo RM, Edmunds WJ. (2019). Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola in the Western Area region of Sierra Leone, 2014-15. PLoS computational biology, 15(2)

Lowe R, Barcellos C, Brasil P, Cruz OG, Honório NA, Kuper H, Carvalho MS. (2018). The Zika Virus Epidemic in Brazil: From Discovery to Future Implications. International journal of environmental research and public health, 15(1)

Watts N, Amann M, Arnell N, Ayeb-Karlsson S, Belesova K, Berry H, Bouley T, Boykoff M, Byass P, Cai W, Campbell-Lendrum D, Chambers J, Daly M, Dasandi N, Davies M, Depoux A, Dominguez-Salas P, Drummond P, Ebi KL, Ekins P, Montoya LF, Fischer H, Georgeson L, Grace D, Graham H, Hamilton I, Hartinger S, Hess J, Kelman I, Kiesewetter G, Kjellstrom T, Kniveton D, Lemke B, Liang L, Lott M, Lowe R, Sewe MO, Martinez-Urtaza J, Maslin M, McAllister L, Mikhaylov SJ, Milner J, Moradi-Lakeh M, Morrissey K, Murray K, Nilsson M, Neville T, Oreszczyn T, Owfi F, Pearman O, Pencheon D, Pye S, Rabbaniha M, Robinson E, Rocklöv J, Saxer O, Schütte S, Semenza JC, Shumake-Guillemot J, Steinbach R, Tabatabaei M, Tomei J, Trinanes J, Wheeler N, Wilkinson P, Gong P, Montgomery H, Costello A. (2018). The 2018 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: shaping the health of nations for centuries to come. Lancet, 392(10163)

O'Reilly KM, Lowe R, Edmunds WJ, Mayaud P, Kucharski A, Eggo RM, Funk S, Bhatia D, Khan K, Kraemer MUG, Wilder-Smith A, Rodrigues LC, Brasil P, Massad E, Jaenisch T, Cauchemez S, Brady OJ, Yakob L. (2018). Projecting the end of the Zika virus epidemic in Latin America: a modelling analysis. BMC medicine, 16(1)

Lowe R, Gasparrini A, Van Meerbeeck CJ, Lippi CA, Mahon R, Trotman AR, Rollock L, Hinds AQJ, Ryan SJ, Stewart-Ibarra AM. (2018). Nonlinear and delayed impacts of climate on dengue risk in Barbados: A modelling study. PLoS medicine, 15(7)

Lowe R, Stewart-Ibarra AM, Petrova D, García-Díez M, Borbor-Cordova MJ, Mejía R, Regato M, Rodó X. (2017). Climate services for health: predicting the evolution of the 2016 dengue season in Machala, Ecuador. The Lancet. Planetary health, 1(4)

Lowe R, Coelho CA, Barcellos C, Carvalho MS, Catão Rde C, Coelho GE, Ramalho WM, Bailey TC, Stephenson DB, Rodó X. (2016). Evaluating probabilistic dengue risk forecasts from a prototype early warning system for Brazil. eLife, (5)

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