
Ajitesh Srivastava
Research Assistant Professor
University of Southern California
SignificanceThis paper compares the probabilistic accuracy of short-term forecasts of reported deaths due to COVID-19 during the first year and a half of the pandemic in the United States. Results show high variation in accuracy between and within stand-alone models and more consistent accuracy from an ensemble model that combined forecasts from all eligible models. This demonstrates that an ensemble model provided a reliable and comparatively accurate means of forecasting deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic that exceeded the performance of all of the models that contributed to it. This work strengthens the evidence base for synthesizing multiple models to support public-health action.
Research Assistant Professor
University of Southern California
Professor
Northeastern University
Associate Professor
University of Notre Dame
Assistant Professor
Harvard University
Graduate student and researcher
University of Massachusetts Amherst
Associate Research Scientist
Northeastern University
PhD Student
University of Massachusetts Amherst
Associate Professor
Georgia Institute of Technology
Assistant Professor
University of Iowa
Research Affiliate
University of Georgia
Research Associate
Johns Hopkins University
PhD Student
University of Massachusetts Amherst
Research Assistant Professor
Mount Holyoke College
Scientist
Los Alamos National Laboratory
Graduate Student
University of Massachusetts Amherst
Research Assistant Professor of Biological Sciences
University of Notre Dame
Research Scientist
Predictive Science Inc.
Professor
Columbia University
Ph.D. student
Georgia Institute of Technology
Distinguished Research Professor
University of Georgia
PhD Student
Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Lausanne
Associate Professor
Johns Hopkins University
Associate Professor of Civil and Systems Engineering
Johns Hopkins University
Professor
University of Texas at Austin
Research Assistant Professor
University of Utah
Doctoral Research Assistant
Carnegie Mellon University
Associate Professor
University of Michigan
Associate Research Scientist
Northeastern University
Epidemiologist
U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
Biologist
U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
Professor
Santa Fe Institute
Research Scientist
Predictive Science Inc.
Associate Professor
University of Massachusetts Amherst
PhD Student
University of Massachusetts Amherst
Assistant Professor
University of California Los Angeles
Postdoctoral Scholar
University of Chicago
Modeling Unit Lead
U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
Postdoctoral Scholar
University of Notre Dame
Research Assistant Professor
Department of Biological Sciences
Professor
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
Assistant Professor
Columbia University
Assistant Scientist
Johns Hopkins University
Research Associate
University of Texas at Austin
Postdoctoral Fellow
University of Texas at Austin
PostDoc
Johns Hopkins University
Senior Informatics S&T Advisor
Signature Science LLC
Professor of Infectious Disease Dynamics
Imperial College London
Associate Research Scientist
Columbia University
Professor
University of California Merced
doctor/visiting scholar
University of California Merced
Research Fellow
University of Massachusetts Amherst
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