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Derek Cummings

Professor & Preeminent Scholoar

Education

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Papers

Cattarino L, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Imai N, Cummings DAT, Ferguson NM. (2020). Mapping global variation in dengue transmission intensity. Science translational medicine, 12(528)

Anderson KB, Buddhari D, Srikiatkhachorn A, Ponlawat A, Gromowski GD, Iamsirithaworn S, Weg AL, Ellison DW, Macareo L, Cummings DAT, Yoon IK, Nisalak A, Thomas SJ, Fernandez S, Jarman RG, Rothman AL, Endy TP. (2020). An Innovative Prospective Hybrid Cohort-Cluster Study Design To Characterize Dengue Virus Transmission In Multigenerational Households In Kamphaeng Phet, Thailand. American journal of epidemiology

Wu SL, Sánchez C HM, Henry JM, Citron DT, Zhang Q, Compton K, Liang B, Verma A, Cummings DAT, Le Menach A, Scott TW, Wilson AL, Lindsay SW, Moyes CL, Hancock PA, Russell TL, Burkot TR, Marshall JM, Kiware S, Reiner RC Jr., Smith DL. (2020). Vector bionomics and vectorial capacity as emergent properties of mosquito behaviors and ecology. PLoS computational biology, 16(4)

LoPresti M, Beck DB, Duggal P, Cummings DAT, Solomon BD. (2020). The Role of Host Genetic Factors in Coronavirus Susceptibility: Review of Animal and Systematic Review of Human Literature. American journal of human genetics, 107(3)

Huang AT, Garcia-Carreras B, Hitchings MDT, Yang B, Katzelnick LC, Rattigan SM, Borgert BA, Moreno CA, Solomon BD, Trimmer-Smith L, Etienne V, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Lessler J, Salje H, Burke DS, Wesolowski A, Cummings DAT. (2020). A systematic review of antibody mediated immunity to coronaviruses: kinetics, correlates of protection, and association with severity. Nature communications, 11(1)

Huang AT, Garcia-Carreras B, Hitchings MDT, Yang B, Katzelnick LC, Rattigan SM, Borgert BA, Moreno CA, Solomon BD, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Lessler J, Salje H, Burke D, Wesolowski A, Cummings DAT. (2020). A systematic review of antibody mediated immunity to coronaviruses: antibody kinetics, correlates of protection, and association of antibody responses with severity of disease. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences

Clapham H, Hay J, Routledge I, Takahashi S, Choisy M, Cummings D, Grenfell B, Metcalf CJE, Mina M, Barraquer IR, Salje H, Tam CC. (2020). Seroepidemiologic Study Designs for Determining SARS-COV-2 Transmission and Immunity. Emerging infectious diseases, 26(9)

Grantz KH, Cummings DAT, Zimmer S, Vukotich C, Galloway D, Schweizer ML, Guclu H, Cousins J, Lingle C, Yearwood GMH, Li K, Calderone PA, Noble E, Gao H, Rainey J, Uzicanin A, Read JM. (2020). Age-specific social mixing of school-aged children in a US setting using proximity detecting sensors and contact surveys. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences

Rojas-Araya D, Alto BW, Burkett-Cadena ND, Cummings DA. (2020). Impacts of fluorescent powders on survival of different age cohorts, blood-feeding success, and tethered flight speed of Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) females. Acta tropica

Hay JA, Minter A, Ainslie KEC, Lessler J, Yang B, Cummings DAT, Kucharski AJ, Riley S. (2020). An open source tool to infer epidemiological and immunological dynamics from serological data: Serosolver. PLoS computational biology, 16(5)

Yoon IK, Srikiatkhachorn A, Alera MT, Fernandez S, Cummings DAT, Salje H. (2020). Pre-existing chikungunya virus neutralizing antibodies correlate with risk of symptomatic infection and subclinical seroconversion in a Philippine cohort. International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases

Read Jonathan M, Bridgen Jessica RE E, Cummings Derek AT T, Ho Antonia, Jewell Chris P. (2020). Novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV: early estimation of epidemiological parameters and epidemic predictions

Yang B, Lessler J, Zhu H, Jiang CQ, Read JM, Hay JA, Kwok KO, Shen R, Guan Y, Riley S, Cummings DAT. (2020). Life course exposures continually shape antibody profiles and risk of seroconversion to influenza. PLoS pathogens, 16(7)

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Salje H, Cummings DA. (2019). Opportunities for improved surveillance and control of dengue from age-specific case data. Elife, (8)

Borchering RK, Huang AT, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Rojas DP, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Katzelnick LC, Martinez SD, King GD, Cinkovich SC, Lessler J, Cummings DAT. (2019). Impacts of Zika emergence in Latin America on endemic dengue transmission. Nature communications, 10(1)

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Costa F, Nascimento EJM, Nery N Júnior., Castanha PMS, Sacramento GA, Cruz J, Carvalho M, De Olivera D, Hagan JE, Adhikarla H, Wunder EA Jr., Coêlho DF, Azar SR, Rossi SL, Vasilakis N, Weaver SC, Ribeiro GS, Balmaseda A, Harris E, Nogueira ML, Reis MG, Marques ETA, Cummings DAT, Ko AI. (2019). Impact of preexisting dengue immunity on Zika virus emergence in a dengue endemic region. Science (New York, N.Y.), 363(6427)

Ruchusatsawat K, Wongjaroen P, Posanacharoen A, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Sangkitporn S, Cummings DAT, Salje H. (2019). Long-term circulation of Zika virus in Thailand: an observational study. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 19(4)

Haw DJ, Cummings DAT, Lessler J, Salje H, Read JM, Riley S. (2019). Differential mobility and local variation in infection attack rate. PLoS computational biology, 15(1)

Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Salje H, Cummings DA. (2019). Dengue pre-vaccination screening and positive predictive values. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 19(2)

Lauer SA, Sakrejda K, Ray EL, Keegan LT, Bi Q, Suangtho P, Hinjoy S, Iamsirithaworn S, Suthachana S, Laosiritaworn Y, Cummings DAT, Lessler J, Reich NG. (2018). Prospective forecasts of annual dengue hemorrhagic fever incidence in Thailand, 2010-2014. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 115(10)

Althouse BM, Guerbois M, Cummings DAT, Diop OM, Faye O, Faye A, Diallo D, Sadio BD, Sow A, Faye O, Sall AA, Diallo M, Benefit B, Simons E, Watts DM, Weaver SC, Hanley KA. (2018). Role of monkeys in the sylvatic cycle of chikungunya virus in Senegal. Nature communications, 9(1)

Ball JD, Prosperi MA, Brown A, Chen X, Kenah E, Yang Y, Cummings DAT, Rivers CM. (2018). The role of benzathine penicillin G in predicting and preventing all-cause acute respiratory disease in military recruits: 1991-2017. Epidemiology and infection, 146(14)

Wesolowski A, Winter A, Tatem AJ, Qureshi T, Engø-Monsen K, Buckee CO, Cummings DAT, Metcalf CJE. (2018). Measles outbreak risk in Pakistan: exploring the potential of combining vaccination coverage and incidence data with novel data-streams to strengthen control. Epidemiology and infection, 146(12)

Katzelnick LC, Coello Escoto A, McElvany BD, Chávez C, Salje H, Luo W, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Jarman R, Durbin AP, Diehl SA, Smith DJ, Whitehead SS, Cummings DAT. (2018). Viridot: An automated virus plaque (immunofocus) counter for the measurement of serological neutralizing responses with application to dengue virus. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 12(10)

Kucharski AJ, Lessler J, Cummings DAT, Riley S. (2018). Timescales of influenza A/H3N2 antibody dynamics. PLoS biology, 16(8)

Salje H, Cummings DAT, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Katzelnick LC, Lessler J, Klungthong C, Thaisomboonsuk B, Nisalak A, Weg A, Ellison D, Macareo L, Yoon IK, Jarman R, Thomas S, Rothman AL, Endy T, Cauchemez S. (2018). Reconstruction of antibody dynamics and infection histories to evaluate dengue risk. Nature, 557(7707)

Grubaugh ND, Ladner JT, Kraemer MUG, Dudas G, Tan AL, Gangavarapu K, Wiley MR, White S, Thézé J, Magnani DM, Prieto K, Reyes D, Bingham AM, Paul LM, Robles-Sikisaka R, Oliveira G, Pronty D, Barcellona CM, Metsky HC, Baniecki ML, Barnes KG, Chak B, Freije CA, Gladden-Young A, Gnirke A, Luo C, MacInnis B, Matranga CB, Park DJ, Qu J, Schaffner SF, Tomkins-Tinch C, West KL, Winnicki SM, Wohl S, Yozwiak NL, Quick J, Fauver JR, Khan K, Brent SE, Reiner RC Jr., Lichtenberger PN, Ricciardi MJ, Bailey VK, Watkins DI, Cone MR, Kopp EW 4th., Hogan KN, Cannons AC, Jean R, Monaghan AJ, Garry RF, Loman NJ, Faria NR, Porcelli MC, Vasquez C, Nagle ER, Cummings DAT, Stanek D, Rambaut A, Sanchez-Lockhart M, Sabeti PC, Gillis LD, Michael SF, Bedford T, Pybus OG, Isern S, Palacios G, Andersen KG. (2017). Genomic epidemiology reveals multiple introductions of Zika virus into the United States. Nature, 546(7658)

Salje H, Lessler J, Maljkovic Berry I, Melendrez MC, Endy T, Kalayanarooj S, A-Nuegoonpipat A, Chanama S, Sangkijporn S, Klungthong C, Thaisomboonsuk B, Nisalak A, Gibbons RV, Iamsirithaworn S, Macareo LR, Yoon IK, Sangarsang A, Jarman RG, Cummings DA. (2017). Dengue diversity across spatial and temporal scales: Local structure and the effect of host population size. Science (New York, N.Y.), 355(6331)

Grantz KH, Rane MS, Salje H, Glass GE, Schachterle SE, Cummings DAT. (2017). Reply to Shanks and Brundage: Many plausible mechanisms of pandemic mortality disparities. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 114(18)

Clapham HE, Cummings DAT, Johansson MA. (2017). Immune status alters the probability of apparent illness due to dengue virus infection: Evidence from a pooled analysis across multiple cohort and cluster studies. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 11(9)

Chadsuthi S, Iamsirithaworn S, Triampo W, Cummings DA. (2016). The impact of rainfall and temperature on the spatial progression of cases during the chikungunya re-emergence in Thailand in 2008-2009. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 110(2)

Nisalak A, Clapham HE, Kalayanarooj S, Klungthong C, Thaisomboonsuk B, Fernandez S, Reiser J, Srikiatkhachorn A, Macareo LR, Lessler JT, Cummings DA, Yoon IK. (2016). Forty Years of Dengue Surveillance at a Tertiary Pediatric Hospital in Bangkok, Thailand, 1973-2012. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 94(6)

Cauchemez S, Nouvellet P, Cori A, Jombart T, Garske T, Clapham H, Moore S, Mills HL, Salje H, Collins C, Rodriquez-Barraquer I, Riley S, Truelove S, Algarni H, Alhakeem R, AlHarbi K, Turkistani A, Aguas RJ, Cummings DA, Van Kerkhove MD, Donnelly CA, Lessler J, Fraser C, Al-Barrak A, Ferguson NM. (2016). Unraveling the drivers of MERS-CoV transmission. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 113(32)

Grantz KH, Rane MS, Salje H, Glass GE, Schachterle SE, Cummings DA. (2016). Disparities in influenza mortality and transmission related to sociodemographic factors within Chicago in the pandemic of 1918. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 113(48)

Lessler J, Cummings DA. (2016). Mechanistic Models of Infectious Disease and Their Impact on Public Health. American journal of epidemiology, 183(5)

Lessler J, Salje H, Grabowski MK, Cummings DA. (2016). Measuring Spatial Dependence for Infectious Disease Epidemiology. PLoS One, 11(5)

Salje H, Cummings DAT, Lessler J. (2016). Estimating infectious disease transmission distances using the overall distribution of cases. Epidemics, (17)

Jiang CQ, Lessler J, Kim L, Kwok KO, Read JM, Wang S, Tan L, Hast M, Zhu H, Guan Y, Riley S, Cummings DA. (2017). Cohort Profile: A study of influenza immunity in the urban and rural Guangzhou region of China: the Fluscape Study. International journal of epidemiology, 46(2)

Lessler J, Chaisson LH, Kucirka LM, Bi Q, Grantz K, Salje H, Carcelen AC, Ott CT, Sheffield JS, Ferguson NM, Cummings DA, Metcalf CJ, Rodriguez-Barraquer I. (2016). Assessing the global threat from Zika virus. Science (New York, N.Y.), 353(6300)

Guclu H, Read J, Vukotich CJ Jr., Galloway DD, Gao H, Rainey JJ, Uzicanin A, Zimmer SM, Cummings DA. (2016). Social Contact Networks and Mixing among Students in K-12 Schools in Pittsburgh, PA. PLoS One, 11(3)

Truelove S, Zhu H, Lessler J, Riley S, Read JM, Wang S, Kwok KO, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Cummings DA. (2016). A comparison of hemagglutination inhibition and neutralization assays for characterizing immunity to seasonal influenza A. Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 10(6)

Reich NG, Lessler J, Sakrejda K, Lauer SA, Iamsirithaworn S, Cummings DA. (2016). Case study in evaluating time series prediction models using the relative mean absolute error. The American statistician, 70(3)

Salje H, Lessler J, Paul KK, Azman AS, Rahman MW, Rahman M, Cummings D, Gurley ES, Cauchemez S. (2016). How social structures, space, and behaviors shape the spread of infectious diseases using chikungunya as a case study. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 113(47)

Lessler J, Salje H, Van Kerkhove MD, Ferguson NM, Cauchemez S, Rodriquez-Barraquer I, Hakeem R, Jombart T, Aguas R, Al-Barrak A, Cummings DA, . (2016). Estimating the Severity and Subclinical Burden of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Infection in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. American journal of epidemiology, 183(7)

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Salje H, Cummings DA. (2016). Dengue Vaccine in Regions of Endemic Disease. The New England journal of medicine, 374(14)

Ferguson NM, Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Dorigatti I, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Laydon DJ, Cummings DA. (2016). Benefits and risks of the Sanofi-Pasteur dengue vaccine: Modeling optimal deployment. Science (New York, N.Y.), 353(6303)

Lessler J, Ott CT, Carcelen AC, Konikoff JM, Williamson J, Bi Q, Kucirka LM, Cummings DA, Reich NG, Chaisson LH. (2016). Times to key events in Zika virus infection and implications for blood donation: a systematic review. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 94(11)

Flasche S, Jit M, Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Coudeville L, Recker M, Koelle K, Milne G, Hladish TJ, Perkins TA, Cummings DA, Dorigatti I, Laydon DJ, España G, Kelso J, Longini I, Lourenco J, Pearson CA, Reiner RC, Mier-Y-Terán-Romero L, Vannice K, Ferguson N. (2016). The Long-Term Safety, Public Health Impact, and Cost-Effectiveness of Routine Vaccination with a Recombinant, Live-Attenuated Dengue Vaccine (Dengvaxia): A Model Comparison Study. PLoS medicine, 13(11)

Hoang Quoc C, Henrik S, Isabel RB, In-Kyu Y, Chau NV, Hung NT, Tuan HM, Lan PT, Willis B, Nisalak A, Kalayanarooj S, Cummings DA, Simmons CP. (2016). Synchrony of Dengue Incidence in Ho Chi Minh City and Bangkok. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 10(12)

Reich NG, Lauer SA, Sakrejda K, Iamsirithaworn S, Hinjoy S, Suangtho P, Suthachana S, Clapham HE, Salje H, Cummings DA, Lessler J. (2016). Challenges in Real-Time Prediction of Infectious Disease: A Case Study of Dengue in Thailand. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 10(6)

Salje H, Cauchemez S, Alera MT, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Thaisomboonsuk B, Srikiatkhachorn A, Lago CB, Villa D, Klungthong C, Tac-An IA, Fernandez S, Velasco JM, Roque VG Jr., Nisalak A, Macareo LR, Levy JW, Cummings D, Yoon IK. (2016). Reconstruction of 60 Years of Chikungunya Epidemiology in the Philippines Demonstrates Episodic and Focal Transmission. The Journal of infectious diseases, 213(4)

Clapham HE, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Azman AS, Althouse BM, Salje H, Gibbons RV, Rothman AL, Jarman RG, Nisalak A, Thaisomboonsuk B, Kalayanarooj S, Nimmannitya S, Vaughn DW, Green S, Yoon IK, Cummings DA. (2016). Dengue Virus (DENV) Neutralizing Antibody Kinetics in Children After Symptomatic Primary and Postprimary DENV Infection. The Journal of infectious diseases, 213(9)

Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Solomon SS, Kuganantham P, Srikrishnan AK, Vasudevan CK, Iqbal SH, Balakrishnan P, Solomon S, Mehta SH, Cummings DA. (2015). The Hidden Burden of Dengue and Chikungunya in Chennai, India. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 9(7)

van Panhuis WG, Choisy M, Xiong X, Chok NS, Akarasewi P, Iamsirithaworn S, Lam SK, Chong CK, Lam FC, Phommasak B, Vongphrachanh P, Bouaphanh K, Rekol H, Hien NT, Thai PQ, Duong TN, Chuang JH, Liu YL, Ng LC, Shi Y, Tayag EA, Roque VG Jr., Lee Suy LL, Jarman RG, Gibbons RV, Velasco JM, Yoon IK, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2015). Region-wide synchrony and traveling waves of dengue across eight countries in Southeast Asia. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 112(42)

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Ferguson N, Burke DS, Cummings DAT. (2015). Differential efficacy of dengue vaccine by immune status. Lancet, 385(9979)

Kucharski AJ, Lessler J, Read JM, Zhu H, Jiang CQ, Guan Y, Cummings DA, Riley S. (2015). Estimating the life course of influenza A(H3N2) antibody responses from cross-sectional data. PLoS biology, 13(3)

Clapham H, Cummings DA, Nisalak A, Kalayanarooj S, Thaisomboonsuk B, Klungthong C, Fernandez S, Srikiatkhachorn A, Macareo LR, Lessler J, Reiser J, Yoon IK. (2015). Epidemiology of Infant Dengue Cases Illuminates Serotype-Specificity in the Interaction between Immunity and Disease, and Changes in Transmission Dynamics. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 9(12)

Althouse BM, Scarpino SV, Meyers LA, Ayers JW, Bargsten M, Baumbach J, Brownstein JS, Castro L, Clapham H, Cummings DA, Del Valle S, Eubank S, Fairchild G, Finelli L, Generous N, George D, Harper DR, Hébert-Dufresne L, Johansson MA, Konty K, Lipsitch M, Milinovich G, Miller JD, Nsoesie EO, Olson DR, Paul M, Polgreen PM, Priedhorsky R, Read JM, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Smith DJ, Stefansen C, Swerdlow DL, Thompson D, Vespignani A, Wesolowski A. (2015). Enhancing disease surveillance with novel data streams: challenges and opportunities. EPJ data science, (4)

Lessler J, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Cummings DA, Garske T, Van Kerkhove M, Mills H, Truelove S, Hakeem R, Albarrak A, Ferguson NM, , . (2014). Estimating Potential Incidence of MERS-CoV Associated with Hajj Pilgrims to Saudi Arabia, 2014. PLoS currents, (6)

Reich NG, Cummings DA, Lauer SA, Zorn M, Robinson C, Nyquist AC, Price CS, Simberkoff M, Radonovich LJ, Perl TM. (2015). Triggering interventions for influenza: the ALERT algorithm. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 60(4)

Rudolph KE, Lessler J, Moloney RM, Kmush B, Cummings DA. (2014). Incubation periods of mosquito-borne viral infections: a systematic review. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 90(5)

Althouse BM, Hanley KA, Diallo M, Sall AA, Ba Y, Faye O, Diallo D, Watts DM, Weaver SC, Cummings DA. (2015). Impact of climate and mosquito vector abundance on sylvatic arbovirus circulation dynamics in Senegal. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 92(1)

Ferguson NM, Cummings DA. (2014). How season and serotype determine dengue transmissibility. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111(26)

Kwok KO, Cowling BJ, Wei VW, Wu KM, Read JM, Lessler J, Cummings DA, Peiris JS, Riley S. (2014). Social contacts and the locations in which they occur as risk factors for influenza infection. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 281(1789)

Read JM, Lessler J, Riley S, Wang S, Tan LJ, Kwok KO, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Cummings DA. (2014). Social mixing patterns in rural and urban areas of southern China. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 281(1785)

Althouse BM, Durbin AP, Hanley KA, Halstead SB, Weaver SC, Cummings DA. (2014). Viral kinetics of primary dengue virus infection in non-human primates: a systematic review and individual pooled analysis. Virology, (452-453)

Salje H, Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Rainwater-Lovett K, Nisalak A, Thaisomboonsuk B, Thomas SJ, Fernandez S, Jarman RG, Yoon IK, Cummings DA. (2014). Variability in dengue titer estimates from plaque reduction neutralization tests poses a challenge to epidemiological studies and vaccine development. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 8(6)

Bhoomiboonchoo P, Gibbons RV, Huang A, Yoon IK, Buddhari D, Nisalak A, Chansatiporn N, Thipayamongkolgul M, Kalanarooj S, Endy T, Rothman AL, Srikiatkhachorn A, Green S, Mammen MP, Cummings DA, Salje H. (2014). The spatial dynamics of dengue virus in Kamphaeng Phet, Thailand. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 8(9)

Grabowski MK, Lessler J, Redd AD, Kagaayi J, Laeyendecker O, Ndyanabo A, Nelson MI, Cummings DA, Bwanika JB, Mueller AC, Reynolds SJ, Munshaw S, Ray SC, Lutalo T, Manucci J, Tobian AA, Chang LW, Beyrer C, Jennings JM, Nalugoda F, Serwadda D, Wawer MJ, Quinn TC, Gray RH, . (2014). The role of viral introductions in sustaining community-based HIV epidemics in rural Uganda: evidence from spatial clustering, phylogenetics, and egocentric transmission models. PLoS medicine, 11(3)

Kucharski AJ, Kwok KO, Wei VW, Cowling BJ, Read JM, Lessler J, Cummings DA, Riley S. (2014). The contribution of social behaviour to the transmission of influenza A in a human population. PLoS pathogens, 10(6)

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Mier-y-Teran-Romero L, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2013). Challenges in the interpretation of dengue vaccine trial results. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 7(8)

van Panhuis WG, Grefenstette J, Jung SY, Chok NS, Cross A, Eng H, Lee BY, Zadorozhny V, Brown S, Cummings D, Burke DS. (2013). Contagious diseases in the United States from 1888 to the present. The New England journal of medicine, 369(22)

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Mier-y-Teran-Romero L, Schwartz IB, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2014). Potential opportunities and perils of imperfect dengue vaccines. Vaccine, 32(4)

Liu SH, Brotman RM, Zenilman JM, Gravitt PE, Cummings DA. (2013). Menstrual cycle and detectable human papillomavirus in reproductive-age women: a time series study. The Journal of infectious diseases, 208(9)

Azman AS, Stark JH, Althouse BM, Vukotich CJ Jr., Stebbins S, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2013). Household transmission of influenza A and B in a school-based study of non-pharmaceutical interventions. Epidemics, 5(4)

Lee RM, Lessler J, Lee RA, Rudolph KE, Reich NG, Perl TM, Cummings DA. (2013). Incubation periods of viral gastroenteritis: a systematic review. BMC infectious diseases, (13)

Blackwood JC, Cummings DA, Broutin H, Iamsirithaworn S, Rohani P. (2013). Deciphering the impacts of vaccination and immunity on pertussis epidemiology in Thailand. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 110(23)

Assiri A, McGeer A, Perl TM, Price CS, Al Rabeeah AA, Cummings DA, Alabdullatif ZN, Assad M, Almulhim A, Makhdoom H, Madani H, Alhakeem R, Al-Tawfiq JA, Cotten M, Watson SJ, Kellam P, Zumla AI, Memish ZA, . (2013). Hospital outbreak of Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus. The New England journal of medicine, 369(5)

Mier-y-Teran-Romero L, Schwartz IB, Cummings DA. (2013). Breaking the symmetry: immune enhancement increases persistence of dengue viruses in the presence of asymmetric transmission rates. Journal of theoretical biology, (332)

Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Buathong R, Iamsirithaworn S, Nisalak A, Lessler J, Jarman RG, Gibbons RV, Cummings DA. (2014). Revisiting Rayong: shifting seroprofiles of dengue in Thailand and their implications for transmission and control. American journal of epidemiology, 179(3)

Reich NG, Shrestha S, King AA, Rohani P, Lessler J, Kalayanarooj S, Yoon IK, Gibbons RV, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2013). Interactions between serotypes of dengue highlight epidemiological impact of cross-immunity. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 10(86)

Salje H, Lessler J, Endy TP, Curriero FC, Gibbons RV, Nisalak A, Nimmannitya S, Kalayanarooj S, Jarman RG, Thomas SJ, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2012). Revealing the microscale spatial signature of dengue transmission and immunity in an urban population. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 109(24)

Althouse BM, Lessler J, Sall AA, Diallo M, Hanley KA, Watts DM, Weaver SC, Cummings DA. (2012). Synchrony of sylvatic dengue isolations: a multi-host, multi-vector SIR model of dengue virus transmission in Senegal. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 6(11)

Rainwater-Lovett K, Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Cummings DA, Lessler J. (2012). Variation in dengue virus plaque reduction neutralization testing: systematic review and pooled analysis. BMC infectious diseases, (12)

Stark JH, Sharma R, Ostroff S, Cummings DA, Ermentrout B, Stebbins S, Burke DS, Wisniewski SR. (2012). Local spatial and temporal processes of influenza in Pennsylvania, USA: 2003-2009. PloS one, 7(3)

Reich NG, Lessler J, Cummings DA, Brookmeyer R. (2012). Estimating absolute and relative case fatality ratios from infectious disease surveillance data. Biometrics, 68(2)

Lessler J, Riley S, Read JM, Wang S, Zhu H, Smith GJ, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Cummings DA. (2012). Evidence for antigenic seniority in influenza A (H3N2) antibody responses in southern China. PLoS pathogens, 8(7)

Azman AS, Rudolph KE, Cummings DA, Lessler J. (2013). The incubation period of cholera: a systematic review. The Journal of infection, 66(5)

Reich NG, Perl TM, Cummings DA, Lessler J. (2011). Visualizing clinical evidence: citation networks for the incubation periods of respiratory viral infections. PLoS One, 6(4)

Johansson MA, Hombach J, Cummings DA. (2011). Models of the impact of dengue vaccines: a review of current research and potential approaches. Vaccine, 29(35)

Stebbins S, Cummings DA, Stark JH, Vukotich C, Mitruka K, Thompson W, Rinaldo C, Roth L, Wagner M, Wisniewski SR, Dato V, Eng H, Burke DS. (2011). Reduction in the incidence of influenza A but not influenza B associated with use of hand sanitizer and cough hygiene in schools: a randomized controlled trial. The Pediatric infectious disease journal, 30(11)

Fraser C, Cummings DA, Klinkenberg D, Burke DS, Ferguson NM. (2011). Influenza transmission in households during the 1918 pandemic. American journal of epidemiology, 174(5)

Stebbins S, Stark JH, Prasad R, Thompson WW, Mitruka K, Rinaldo C, Vukotich CJ Jr., Cummings DA. (2011). Sensitivity and specificity of rapid influenza testing of children in a community setting. Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 5(2)

Lessler J, Cummings DA, Read JM, Wang S, Zhu H, Smith GJ, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Riley S. (2011). Location-specific patterns of exposure to recent pre-pandemic strains of influenza A in southern China. Nature communications, (2)

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Cordeiro MT, Braga C, de Souza WV, Marques ET, Cummings DA. (2011). From re-emergence to hyperendemicity: the natural history of the dengue epidemic in Brazil. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 5(1)

Althouse BM, Ng YY, Cummings DA. (2011). Prediction of dengue incidence using search query surveillance. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 5(8)

Lessler J, Metcalf CJ, Grais RF, Luquero FJ, Cummings DA, Grenfell BT. (2011). Measuring the performance of vaccination programs using cross-sectional surveys: a likelihood framework and retrospective analysis. PLoS medicine, 8(10)

Lee BY, Connor DL, Kitchen SB, Bacon KM, Shah M, Brown ST, Bailey RR, Laosiritaworn Y, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2011). Economic value of dengue vaccine in Thailand. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 84(5)

van Panhuis WG, Luxemburger C, Pengsaa K, Limkittikul K, Sabchareon A, Lang J, Durbin AP, Cummings DA. (2011). Decay and persistence of maternal dengue antibodies among infants in Bangkok. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 85(2)

van Panhuis WG, Gibbons RV, Endy TP, Rothman AL, Srikiatkhachorn A, Nisalak A, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2010). Inferring the serotype associated with dengue virus infections on the basis of pre- and postinfection neutralizing antibody titers. The Journal of infectious diseases, 202(7)

Lessler J, Brookmeyer R, Reich NG, Nelson KE, Cummings DA, Perl TM. (2010). Identifying the probable timing and setting of respiratory virus infections. Infection control and hospital epidemiology, 31(8)

Solomon BD, Pineda-Alvarez DE, Raam MS, Cummings DA. (2010). Evidence for inheritance in patients with VACTERL association. Human genetics, 127(6)

Solomon BD, Pineda-Alvarez DE, Raam MS, Bous SM, Keaton AA, Vélez JI, Cummings DA. (2010). Analysis of component findings in 79 patients diagnosed with VACTERL association. American journal of medical genetics. Part A, 152A(9)

Fried JR, Gibbons RV, Kalayanarooj S, Thomas SJ, Srikiatkhachorn A, Yoon IK, Jarman RG, Green S, Rothman AL, Cummings DA. (2010). Serotype-specific differences in the risk of dengue hemorrhagic fever: an analysis of data collected in Bangkok, Thailand from 1994 to 2006. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 4(3)

Yang Y, Halloran ME, Daniels MJ, Longini IM Jr., Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2010). Modeling Competing Infectious Pathogens from a Bayesian Perspective: Application to Influenza Studies with Incomplete Laboratory Results. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(492)

Lessler J, Dos Santos T, Aguilera X, Brookmeyer R, , Cummings DAT. (2010). H1N1pdm in the Americas. Epidemics, 2(3)

Lessler J, Reich NG, Cummings DA, , Nair HP, Jordan HT, Thompson N. (2009). Outbreak of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) at a New York City school. The New England journal of medicine, 361(27)

Lessler J, Reich NG, Brookmeyer R, Perl TM, Nelson KE, Cummings DA. (2009). Incubation periods of acute respiratory viral infections: a systematic review. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 9(5)

Reich NG, Lessler J, Cummings DA, Brookmeyer R. (2009). Estimating incubation period distributions with coarse data. Statistics in medicine, 28(22)

Cummings DA, Iamsirithaworn S, Lessler JT, McDermott A, Prasanthong R, Nisalak A, Jarman RG, Burke DS, Gibbons RV. (2009). The impact of the demographic transition on dengue in Thailand: insights from a statistical analysis and mathematical modeling. PLoS medicine, 6(9)

Johansson MA, Cummings DA, Glass GE. (2009). Multiyear climate variability and dengue--El Niño southern oscillation, weather, and dengue incidence in Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Thailand: a longitudinal data analysis. PLoS medicine, 6(11)

Epstein JM, Parker J, Cummings D, Hammond RA. (2008). Coupled contagion dynamics of fear and disease: mathematical and computational explorations. PloS one, 3(12)

Halloran ME, Ferguson NM, Eubank S, Longini IM Jr., Cummings DA, Lewis B, Xu S, Fraser C, Vullikanti A, Germann TC, Wagener D, Beckman R, Kadau K, Barrett C, Macken CA, Burke DS, Cooley P. (2008). Modeling targeted layered containment of an influenza pandemic in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 105(12)

Lessler J, Cummings DA, Fishman S, Vora A, Burke DS. (2007). Transmissibility of swine flu at Fort Dix, 1976. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 4(15)

Billings L, Schwartz IB, Shaw LB, McCrary M, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2007). Instabilities in multiserotype disease models with antibody-dependent enhancement. Journal of theoretical biology, 246(1)

Ferguson NM, Cummings DA, Fraser C, Cajka JC, Cooley PC, Burke DS. (2006). Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic. Nature, 442(7101)

Longini IM Jr., Halloran ME, Nizam A, Yang Y, Xu S, Burke DS, Cummings DA, Epstein JM. (2007). Containing a large bioterrorist smallpox attack: a computer simulation approach. International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases, 11(2)

Burke DS, Epstein JM, Cummings DA, Parker JI, Cline KC, Singa RM, Chakravarty S. (2006). Individual-based computational modeling of smallpox epidemic control strategies. Academic emergency medicine : official journal of the Society for Academic Emergency Medicine, 13(11)

Cummings DA, Schwartz IB, Billings L, Shaw LB, Burke DS. (2005). Dynamic effects of antibody-dependent enhancement on the fitness of viruses. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 102(42)

Cummings DA, Moss WJ, Long K, Wiysonge CS, Muluh TJ, Kollo B, Nomo E, Wolfe ND, Burke DS. (2006). Improved measles surveillance in Cameroon reveals two major dynamic patterns of incidence. International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases, 10(2)

Ferguson NM, Cummings DA, Cauchemez S, Fraser C, Riley S, Meeyai A, Iamsirithaworn S, Burke DS. (2005). Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia. Nature, 437(7056)

Longini IM Jr., Nizam A, Xu S, Ungchusak K, Hanshaoworakul W, Cummings DA, Halloran ME. (2005). Containing pandemic influenza at the source. Science (New York, N.Y.), 309(5737)

Schwartz IB, Shaw LB, Cummings DA, Billings L, McCrary M, Burke DS. (2005). Chaotic desynchronization of multistrain diseases. Physical review. E, Statistical, nonlinear, and soft matter physics, 72(6 Pt 2)

Cummings DA, Irizarry RA, Huang NE, Endy TP, Nisalak A, Ungchusak K, Burke DS. (2004). Travelling waves in the occurrence of dengue haemorrhagic fever in Thailand. Nature, 427(6972)

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