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Derek Cummings

Professor & Preeminent Scholoar

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Papers

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Salje H, Cummings DA. (2019). Opportunities for improved surveillance and control of dengue from age-specific case data. Elife

Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Salje H, Cummings DA. (2019). Dengue pre-vaccination screening and positive predictive values. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 19(2)

Salje H, Lessler J, Maljkovic Berry I, Melendrez MC, Endy T, Kalayanarooj S, A-Nuegoonpipat A, Chanama S, Sangkijporn S, Klungthong C, Thaisomboonsuk B, Nisalak A, Gibbons RV, Iamsirithaworn S, Macareo LR, Yoon IK, Sangarsang A, Jarman RG, Cummings DA. (2017). Dengue diversity across spatial and temporal scales: Local structure and the effect of host population size. Science (New York, N.Y.), 355(6331)

Jiang CQ, Lessler J, Kim L, Kwok KO, Read JM, Wang S, Tan L, Hast M, Zhu H, Guan Y, Riley S, Cummings DA. (2017). Cohort Profile: A study of influenza immunity in the urban and rural Guangzhou region of China: the Fluscape Study. International journal of epidemiology, 46(2)

Grantz KH, Rane MS, Salje H, Glass GE, Schachterle SE, Cummings DA. (2016). Disparities in influenza mortality and transmission related to sociodemographic factors within Chicago in the pandemic of 1918. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 113(48)

Lessler J, Salje H, Grabowski MK, Cummings DA. (2016). Measuring Spatial Dependence for Infectious Disease Epidemiology. PLoS One, 11(5)

Guclu H, Read J, Vukotich CJ Jr., Galloway DD, Gao H, Rainey JJ, Uzicanin A, Zimmer SM, Cummings DA. (2016). Social Contact Networks and Mixing among Students in K-12 Schools in Pittsburgh, PA. PLoS One, 11(3)

Reich NG, Lessler J, Sakrejda K, Lauer SA, Iamsirithaworn S, Cummings DA. (2016). Case study in evaluating time series prediction models using the relative mean absolute error. The American statistician, 70(3)

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Salje H, Cummings DA. (2016). Dengue Vaccine in Regions of Endemic Disease. The New England journal of medicine, 374(14)

Ferguson NM, Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Dorigatti I, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Laydon DJ, Cummings DA. (2016). Benefits and risks of the Sanofi-Pasteur dengue vaccine: Modeling optimal deployment. Science (New York, N.Y.), 353(6303)

Chadsuthi S, Iamsirithaworn S, Triampo W, Cummings DA. (2016). The impact of rainfall and temperature on the spatial progression of cases during the chikungunya re-emergence in Thailand in 2008-2009. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 110(2)

Lessler J, Cummings DA. (2016). Mechanistic Models of Infectious Disease and Their Impact on Public Health. American journal of epidemiology, 183(5)

Clapham HE, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Azman AS, Althouse BM, Salje H, Gibbons RV, Rothman AL, Jarman RG, Nisalak A, Thaisomboonsuk B, Kalayanarooj S, Nimmannitya S, Vaughn DW, Green S, Yoon IK, Cummings DA. (2016). Dengue Virus (DENV) Neutralizing Antibody Kinetics in Children After Symptomatic Primary and Postprimary DENV Infection. The Journal of infectious diseases, 213(9)

Truelove S, Zhu H, Lessler J, Riley S, Read JM, Wang S, Kwok KO, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Cummings DA. (2016). A comparison of hemagglutination inhibition and neutralization assays for characterizing immunity to seasonal influenza A. Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 10(6)

van Panhuis WG, Choisy M, Xiong X, Chok NS, Akarasewi P, Iamsirithaworn S, Lam SK, Chong CK, Lam FC, Phommasak B, Vongphrachanh P, Bouaphanh K, Rekol H, Hien NT, Thai PQ, Duong TN, Chuang JH, Liu YL, Ng LC, Shi Y, Tayag EA, Roque VG Jr., Lee Suy LL, Jarman RG, Gibbons RV, Velasco JM, Yoon IK, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2015). Region-wide synchrony and traveling waves of dengue across eight countries in Southeast Asia. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 112(42)

Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Solomon SS, Kuganantham P, Srikrishnan AK, Vasudevan CK, Iqbal SH, Balakrishnan P, Solomon S, Mehta SH, Cummings DA. (2015). The Hidden Burden of Dengue and Chikungunya in Chennai, India. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 9(7)

Althouse BM, Hanley KA, Diallo M, Sall AA, Ba Y, Faye O, Diallo D, Watts DM, Weaver SC, Cummings DA. (2015). Impact of climate and mosquito vector abundance on sylvatic arbovirus circulation dynamics in Senegal. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 92(1)

Read JM, Lessler J, Riley S, Wang S, Tan LJ, Kwok KO, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Cummings DA. (2014). Social mixing patterns in rural and urban areas of southern China. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 281(1785)

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Mier-y-Teran-Romero L, Schwartz IB, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2014). Potential opportunities and perils of imperfect dengue vaccines. Vaccine, 32(4)

Althouse BM, Durbin AP, Hanley KA, Halstead SB, Weaver SC, Cummings DA. (2014). Viral kinetics of primary dengue virus infection in non-human primates: a systematic review and individual pooled analysis. Virology

Salje H, Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Rainwater-Lovett K, Nisalak A, Thaisomboonsuk B, Thomas SJ, Fernandez S, Jarman RG, Yoon IK, Cummings DA. (2014). Variability in dengue titer estimates from plaque reduction neutralization tests poses a challenge to epidemiological studies and vaccine development. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 8(6)

Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Buathong R, Iamsirithaworn S, Nisalak A, Lessler J, Jarman RG, Gibbons RV, Cummings DA. (2014). Revisiting Rayong: shifting seroprofiles of dengue in Thailand and their implications for transmission and control. American journal of epidemiology, 179(3)

Rudolph KE, Lessler J, Moloney RM, Kmush B, Cummings DA. (2014). Incubation periods of mosquito-borne viral infections: a systematic review. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 90(5)

Ferguson NM, Cummings DA. (2014). How season and serotype determine dengue transmissibility. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111(26)

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Mier-y-Teran-Romero L, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2013). Challenges in the interpretation of dengue vaccine trial results. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 7(8)

Lee RM, Lessler J, Lee RA, Rudolph KE, Reich NG, Perl TM, Cummings DA. (2013). Incubation periods of viral gastroenteritis: a systematic review. BMC infectious diseases

Mier-y-Teran-Romero L, Schwartz IB, Cummings DA. (2013). Breaking the symmetry: immune enhancement increases persistence of dengue viruses in the presence of asymmetric transmission rates. Journal of theoretical biology

Reich NG, Shrestha S, King AA, Rohani P, Lessler J, Kalayanarooj S, Yoon IK, Gibbons RV, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2013). Interactions between serotypes of dengue highlight epidemiological impact of cross-immunity. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 10(86)

Liu SH, Brotman RM, Zenilman JM, Gravitt PE, Cummings DA. (2013). Menstrual cycle and detectable human papillomavirus in reproductive-age women: a time series study. The Journal of infectious diseases, 208(9)

Azman AS, Stark JH, Althouse BM, Vukotich CJ Jr., Stebbins S, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2013). Household transmission of influenza A and B in a school-based study of non-pharmaceutical interventions. Epidemics, 5(4)

Althouse BM, Lessler J, Sall AA, Diallo M, Hanley KA, Watts DM, Weaver SC, Cummings DA. (2012). Synchrony of sylvatic dengue isolations: a multi-host, multi-vector SIR model of dengue virus transmission in Senegal. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 6(11)

Lessler J, Riley S, Read JM, Wang S, Zhu H, Smith GJ, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Cummings DA. (2012). Evidence for antigenic seniority in influenza A (H3N2) antibody responses in southern China. PLoS pathogens, 8(7)

Salje H, Lessler J, Endy TP, Curriero FC, Gibbons RV, Nisalak A, Nimmannitya S, Kalayanarooj S, Jarman RG, Thomas SJ, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2012). Revealing the microscale spatial signature of dengue transmission and immunity in an urban population. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 109(24)

Johansson MA, Hombach J, Cummings DA. (2011). Models of the impact of dengue vaccines: a review of current research and potential approaches. Vaccine, 29(35)

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Cordeiro MT, Braga C, de Souza WV, Marques ET, Cummings DA. (2011). From re-emergence to hyperendemicity: the natural history of the dengue epidemic in Brazil. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 5(1)

Stebbins S, Stark JH, Prasad R, Thompson WW, Mitruka K, Rinaldo C, Vukotich CJ Jr., Cummings DA. (2011). Sensitivity and specificity of rapid influenza testing of children in a community setting. Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 5(2)

Althouse BM, Ng YY, Cummings DA. (2011). Prediction of dengue incidence using search query surveillance. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 5(8)

Lee BY, Connor DL, Kitchen SB, Bacon KM, Shah M, Brown ST, Bailey RR, Laosiritaworn Y, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2011). Economic value of dengue vaccine in Thailand. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 84(5)

van Panhuis WG, Luxemburger C, Pengsaa K, Limkittikul K, Sabchareon A, Lang J, Durbin AP, Cummings DA. (2011). Decay and persistence of maternal dengue antibodies among infants in Bangkok. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 85(2)

Fried JR, Gibbons RV, Kalayanarooj S, Thomas SJ, Srikiatkhachorn A, Yoon IK, Jarman RG, Green S, Rothman AL, Cummings DA. (2010). Serotype-specific differences in the risk of dengue hemorrhagic fever: an analysis of data collected in Bangkok, Thailand from 1994 to 2006. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 4(3)

Yang Y, Halloran ME, Daniels MJ, Longini IM Jr., Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2010). Modeling Competing Infectious Pathogens from a Bayesian Perspective: Application to Influenza Studies with Incomplete Laboratory Results. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(492)

van Panhuis WG, Gibbons RV, Endy TP, Rothman AL, Srikiatkhachorn A, Nisalak A, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2010). Inferring the serotype associated with dengue virus infections on the basis of pre- and postinfection neutralizing antibody titers. The Journal of infectious diseases, 202(7)

Solomon BD, Pineda-Alvarez DE, Raam MS, Cummings DA. (2010). Evidence for inheritance in patients with VACTERL association. Human genetics, 127(6)

Solomon BD, Pineda-Alvarez DE, Raam MS, Bous SM, Keaton AA, Vélez JI, Cummings DA. (2010). Analysis of component findings in 79 patients diagnosed with VACTERL association. American journal of medical genetics. Part A, 152A(9)

Cummings DA, Iamsirithaworn S, Lessler JT, McDermott A, Prasanthong R, Nisalak A, Jarman RG, Burke DS, Gibbons RV. (2009). The impact of the demographic transition on dengue in Thailand: insights from a statistical analysis and mathematical modeling. PLoS medicine, 6(9)

Lessler J, Reich NG, Brookmeyer R, Perl TM, Nelson KE, Cummings DA. (2009). Incubation periods of acute respiratory viral infections: a systematic review. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 9(5)

Billings L, Schwartz IB, Shaw LB, McCrary M, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2007). Instabilities in multiserotype disease models with antibody-dependent enhancement. Journal of theoretical biology, 246(1)

Cummings DA, Moss WJ, Long K, Wiysonge CS, Muluh TJ, Kollo B, Nomo E, Wolfe ND, Burke DS. (2006). Improved measles surveillance in Cameroon reveals two major dynamic patterns of incidence. International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases, 10(2)

Cummings DA, Schwartz IB, Billings L, Shaw LB, Burke DS. (2005). Dynamic effects of antibody-dependent enhancement on the fitness of viruses. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 102(42)

Cummings DA, Irizarry RA, Huang NE, Endy TP, Nisalak A, Ungchusak K, Burke DS. (2004). Travelling waves in the occurrence of dengue haemorrhagic fever in Thailand. Nature, 427(6972)