She/her/hers
United States
Thompson RN, Bansal S, Clapham H, Dyson L, Gutierrez MA, Hadley L, Hart WS, Heesterbeek H, Hollingsworth TD, House T, Howerton E, Isham V, Lessler J, Leung K, Li X, McBryde E, McCaw JM, Mollison D, Pan-Ngum W, Parag K, Pellis L, Scarabel F, Swallow B, Thumbi SM, Tran-Kiem C, Viboud C, Plank MJ. (2026). Infectious disease outbreak controllability: biological, social and public health factors. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 293(2063)
Benhamou W, Howerton E, Park SW, Viboud C, Metcalf CJE, Grenfell BT. (2026). Leveraging perturbations to infer the population dynamics of human rhinovirus and interaction of influenza A virus. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Hadley L, Ben Miled S, Clapham HE, Djaafara BA, Dyson L, Funk S, Gog JR, Heesterbeek H, Hill EM, Howerton E, Isham V, Kebir A, Keeling M, Kissler SM, Lessler J, Leung K, McBryde E, McCaw JM, Mercado CEG, Mollison D, Thumbi SM, Pan-Ngum W, Pellis L, Pérez-Reche FJ, Plank MJ, Thompson RN, Tran-Kiem C. (2026). How understanding the diversity of perspectives and systems in governments can increase the impact of scientific research. Communications health, 1(1)
Kerr M, Borchering R, Rivadeneira AC, Contamin L, Funk S, Hochheiser H, Howerton E, Krystalli A, Shandross L, Reich NG. (2026). A Software Platform for Collaborative Infectious Disease Modeling. Nature health
Park SW, Nielsen BF, Howerton E, Grenfell BT, Cobey S. (2026). Susceptible host dynamics explain pathogen resilience to perturbations. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 123(1)
Shandross L, Howerton E, Contamin L, Hochheiser H, Krystalli A, , Reich NG, Ray EL. (2026). Multi-Model Ensembles in Infectious Disease and Public Health: Methods, Interpretation, and Implementation in R. Statistics in medicine, 45(1-2)
Nielsen BF, Park SW, Howerton E, Lorentzen OF, Jensen MH, Grenfell BT. (2025). Complex multiannual cycles of Mycoplasma pneumoniae: Persistence and the role of stochasticity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 122(52)
Park SW, Holmdahl I, Howerton E, Yang W, Baker RE, Vecchi GA, Cobey S, Metcalf CJE, Grenfell BT. (2025). Interplay between climate and childhood mixing can explain a sudden shift in RSV seasonality in Japan. Nature communications
Kerr M, Borchering R, Rivadeneira AC, Contamin L, Funk S, Hochheiser H, Howerton E, Krystalli A, Shandross L, Reich NG. (2025). Coordinating collaborative infectious disease modeling projects with the hubverse. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Howerton E, Williams TC, Casalegno JS, Dominguez S, Gunson R, Messacar K, Metcalf CJE, Park SW, Viboud C, Grenfell BT. (2025). Using COVID-19 pandemic perturbation to model RSV-hMPV interactions and potential implications under RSV interventions. Nature communications, 16(1)
Park SW, Holmdahl I, Howerton E, Yang W, Baker RE, Vecchi GA, Cobey S, Metcalf CJE, Grenfell BT. (2025). Interplay between climate, childhood mixing, and population-level susceptibility explains a sudden shift in RSV seasonality in Japan. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Loo SL, Jung SM, Contamin L, Howerton E, Bents SJ, Hochheiser H, Runge MC, Smith CP, Carcelén EC, Yan K, Lemaitre JC, Przykucki E, McKee CD, Sato K, Hill AL, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Bay C, Vespignani A, Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Moore SM, Perkins TA, Srivastava A, Al Aawar M, Bi K, Bandekar SR, Bouchnita A, Fox SJ, Meyers LA, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Lewis B, Chen J, Marathe M, Ben-Nun M, Turtle J, Riley P, Shea K, Viboud C, Lessler J, Truelove S. (2025). Scenario Projections of COVID-19 Burden in the US, 2024-2025. JAMA network open, 8(9)
Park SW, Noble B, Howerton E, Nielsen BF, Lentz S, Ambroggio L, Dominguez S, Messacar K, Grenfell BT. (2024). Predicting the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions against COVID-19 on Mycoplasma pneumoniae in the United States. Epidemics, (49)
Runge MC, Shea K, Howerton E, Yan K, Hochheiser H, Rosenstrom E, Probert WJM, Borchering R, Marathe MV, Lewis B, Venkatramanan S, Truelove S, Lessler J, Viboud C. (2024). Scenario design for infectious disease projections: Integrating concepts from decision analysis and experimental design. Epidemics, (47)
Howerton E, Langkilde T, Shea K. (2024). Misapplied management makes matters worse: Spatially explicit control leverages biotic interactions to slow invasion. Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America
Wade-Malone K, Howerton E, Probert WJM, Runge MC, Viboud C, Shea K. (2024). When do we need multiple infectious disease models? Agreement between projection rank and magnitude in a multi-model setting. Epidemics, (47)
Jung SM, Loo SL, Howerton E, Contamin L, Smith CP, Carcelén EC, Yan K, Bents SJ, Levander J, Espino J, Lemaitre JC, Sato K, McKee CD, Hill AL, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Vespignani A, Rosenstrom ET, Rodriguez-Cartes SA, Ivy JS, Mayorga ME, Swann JL, España G, Cavany S, Moore SM, Perkins TA, Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Srivastava A, Aawar MA, Bi K, Bandekar SR, Bouchnita A, Fox SJ, Meyers LA, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Hurt B, Klahn B, Outten J, Chen J, Mortveit H, Wilson A, Hoops S, Bhattacharya P, Machi D, Vullikanti A, Lewis B, Marathe M, Hochheiser H, Runge MC, Shea K, Truelove S, Viboud C, Lessler J. (2024). Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: Lessons from the US COVID-19 scenario modeling hub. PLoS medicine, 21(4)
Bay C, St-Onge G, Davis JT, Chinazzi M, Howerton E, Lessler J, Runge MC, Shea K, Truelove S, Viboud C, Vespignani A. (2024). Ensemble(2): Scenarios ensembling for communication and performance analysis. Epidemics, (46)
Loo SL, Howerton E, Contamin L, Smith CP, Borchering RK, Mullany LC, Bents S, Carcelen E, Jung SM, Bogich T, van Panhuis WG, Kerr J, Espino J, Yan K, Hochheiser H, Runge MC, Shea K, Lessler J, Viboud C, Truelove S. (2023). The US COVID-19 and Influenza Scenario Modeling Hubs: Delivering long-term projections to guide policy. Epidemics, (46)
Shea K, Borchering RK, Probert WJM, Howerton E, Bogich TL, Li SL, van Panhuis WG, Viboud C, Aguás R, Belov AA, Bhargava SH, Cavany SM, Chang JC, Chen C, Chen J, Chen S, Chen Y, Childs LM, Chow CC, Crooker I, Del Valle SY, España G, Fairchild G, Gerkin RC, Germann TC, Gu Q, Guan X, Guo L, Hart GR, Hladish TJ, Hupert N, Janies D, Kerr CC, Klein DJ, Klein EY, Lin G, Manore C, Meyers LA, Mittler JE, Mu K, Núñez RC, Oidtman RJ, Pasco R, Pastore Y Piontti A, Paul R, Pearson CAB, Perdomo DR, Perkins TA, Pierce K, Pillai AN, Rael RC, Rosenfeld K, Ross CW, Spencer JA, Stoltzfus AB, Toh KB, Vattikuti S, Vespignani A, Wang L, White LJ, Xu P, Yang Y, Yogurtcu ON, Zhang W, Zhao Y, Zou D, Ferrari MJ, Pannell D, Tildesley MJ, Seifarth J, Johnson E, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Slayton RB, Levander JD, Stazer J, Kerr J, Runge MC. (2023). Multiple models for outbreak decision support in the face of uncertainty. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 120(18)
Yang F, Tran TN, Howerton E, Boni MF, Servadio JL. (2023). Benefits of near-universal vaccination and treatment access to manage COVID-19 burden in the United States. BMC medicine, 21(1)
Howerton E, Dahlin K, Edholm CJ, Fox L, Reynolds M, Hollingsworth B, Lytle G, Walker M, Blackwood J, Lenhart S. (2023). The effect of governance structures on optimal control of two-patch epidemic models. Journal of mathematical biology, 87(5)
Howerton E, Contamin L, Mullany LC, Qin M, Reich NG, Bents S, Borchering RK, Jung SM, Loo SL, Smith CP, Levander J, Kerr J, Espino J, van Panhuis WG, Hochheiser H, Galanti M, Yamana T, Pei S, Shaman J, Rainwater-Lovett K, Kinsey M, Tallaksen K, Wilson S, Shin L, Lemaitre JC, Kaminsky J, Hulse JD, Lee EC, McKee CD, Hill A, Karlen D, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Xiong X, Pastore Y Piontti A, Vespignani A, Rosenstrom ET, Ivy JS, Mayorga ME, Swann JL, España G, Cavany S, Moore S, Perkins A, Hladish T, Pillai A, Ben Toh K, Longini I Jr., Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Bouchnita A, Bi K, Lachmann M, Fox SJ, Meyers LA, Srivastava A, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Lewis B, Klahn B, Outten J, Hurt B, Chen J, Mortveit H, Wilson A, Marathe M, Hoops S, Bhattacharya P, Machi D, Cadwell BL, Healy JM, Slayton RB, Johansson MA, Biggerstaff M, Truelove S, Runge MC, Shea K, Viboud C, Lessler J. (2023). Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty. Nature communications, 14(1)
Jung SM, Loo SL, Howerton E, Contamin L, Smith CP, Carcelén EC, Yan K, Bents SJ, Levander J, Espino J, Lemaitre JC, Sato K, McKee CD, Hill AL, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Vespignani A, Rosenstrom ET, Rodriguez-Cartes SA, Ivy JS, Mayorga ME, Swann JL, España G, Cavany S, Moore SM, Perkins A, Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Srivastava A, Al Aawar M, Bi K, Bandekar SR, Bouchnita A, Fox SJ, Meyers LA, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Hurt B, Klahn B, Outten J, Chen J, Mortveit H, Wilson A, Hoops S, Bhattacharya P, Machi D, Vullikanti A, Lewis B, Marathe M, Hochheiser H, Runge MC, Shea K, Truelove S, Viboud C, Lessler J. (2023). Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: lessons from the U.S. COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Howerton E, Runge MC, Bogich TL, Borchering RK, Inamine H, Lessler J, Mullany LC, Probert WJM, Smith CP, Truelove S, Viboud C, Shea K. (2023). Context-dependent representation of within- and between-model uncertainty: aggregating probabilistic predictions in infectious disease epidemiology. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 20(198)
Borchering RK, Mullany LC, Howerton E, Chinazzi M, Smith CP, Qin M, Reich NG, Contamin L, Levander J, Kerr J, Espino J, Hochheiser H, Lovett K, Kinsey M, Tallaksen K, Wilson S, Shin L, Lemaitre JC, Hulse JD, Kaminsky J, Lee EC, Hill AL, Davis JT, Mu K, Xiong X, Pastore Y Piontti A, Vespignani A, Srivastava A, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Lewis B, Klahn B, Outten J, Hurt B, Chen J, Mortveit H, Wilson A, Marathe M, Hoops S, Bhattacharya P, Machi D, Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Galanti M, Yamana T, Pei S, Shaman J, España G, Cavany S, Moore S, Perkins A, Healy JM, Slayton RB, Johansson MA, Biggerstaff M, Shea K, Truelove SA, Runge MC, Viboud C, Lessler J. (2023). Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5-11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021-March 2022: A multi-model study. Lancet regional health. Americas, (17)
Truelove S, Smith CP, Qin M, Mullany LC, Borchering RK, Lessler J, Shea K, Howerton E, Contamin L, Levander J, Kerr J, Hochheiser H, Kinsey M, Tallaksen K, Wilson S, Shin L, Rainwater-Lovett K, Lemairtre JC, Dent J, Kaminsky J, Lee EC, Perez-Saez J, Hill A, Karlen D, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Xiong X, Pastore Y Piontti A, Vespignani A, Srivastava A, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Lewis B, Klahn B, Outten J, Orr M, Harrison G, Hurt B, Chen J, Vullikanti A, Marathe M, Hoops S, Bhattacharya P, Machi D, Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Galanti M, Yamana TK, Pei S, Shaman JL, Healy JM, Slayton RB, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Runge MC, Viboud C. (2022). Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July-December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination. eLife, (11)
Lee BY, Ordovás JM, Parks EJ, Anderson CAM, Barabási AL, Clinton SK, de la Haye K, Duffy VB, Franks PW, Ginexi EM, Hammond KJ, Hanlon EC, Hittle M, Ho E, Horn AL, Isaacson RS, Mabry PL, Malone S, Martin CK, Mattei J, Meydani SN, Nelson LM, Neuhouser ML, Parent B, Pronk NP, Roche HM, Saria S, Scheer FAJL, Segal E, Sevick MA, Spector TD, Van Horn LB, Varady KA, Voruganti VS, Martinez MF. (2022). Research gaps and opportunities in precision nutrition: an NIH workshop report. The American journal of clinical nutrition
Howerton E, Ferrari MJ, Bjørnstad ON, Bogich TL, Borchering RK, Jewell CP, Nichols JD, Probert WJM, Runge MC, Tildesley MJ, Viboud C, Shea K. (2021). Synergistic interventions to control COVID-19: Mass testing and isolation mitigates reliance on distancing. PLoS computational biology, 17(10)
Nichols JD, Bogich TL, Howerton E, Bjørnstad ON, Borchering RK, Ferrari M, Haran M, Jewell C, Pepin KM, Probert WJM, Pulliam JRC, Runge MC, Tildesley M, Viboud C, Shea K. (2021). Strategic testing approaches for targeted disease monitoring can be used to inform pandemic decision-making. PLoS biology, 19(6)
Shea K, Borchering RK, Probert WJM, Howerton E, Bogich TL, Li S, van Panhuis WG, Viboud C, Aguás R, Belov A, Bhargava SH, Cavany S, Chang JC, Chen C, Chen J, Chen S, Chen Y, Childs LM, Chow CC, Crooker I, Valle SYD, España G, Fairchild G, Gerkin RC, Germann TC, Gu Q, Guan X, Guo L, Hart GR, Hladish TJ, Hupert N, Janies D, Kerr CC, Klein DJ, Klein E, Lin G, Manore C, Meyers LA, Mittler J, Mu K, Núñez RC, Oidtman R, Pasco R, Piontti APY, Paul R, Pearson CAB, Perdomo DR, Perkins TA, Pierce K, Pillai AN, Rael RC, Rosenfeld K, Ross CW, Spencer JA, Stoltzfus AB, Toh KB, Vattikuti S, Vespignani A, Wang L, White L, Xu P, Yang Y, Yogurtcu ON, Zhang W, Zhao Y, Zou D, Ferrari M, Pannell D, Tildesley M, Seifarth J, Johnson E, Biggerstaff M, Johansson M, Slayton RB, Levander J, Stazer J, Salerno J, Runge MC. (2020). COVID-19 reopening strategies at the county level in the face of uncertainty: Multiple Models for Outbreak Decision Support. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
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