Eric Lofgren

Assistant Professor




Dr. Lofgren is an infectious disease epidemiologist whose research focuses on the use of mathematical and computational models of disease transmission, particularly the transmission of antimicrobial resistant infections within and outside healthcare settings, as well as emerging infectious diseases. His work often focuses on producing policy-relevant results, working hand-in-hand with clinicians and policy makers to produce reproducible, quantitative guidance for designing and evaluating public health interventions.

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Personal Academic Website

Research/Topics of Interest

Pathogens/Diseases of Main Interest/Expertise


Countries of Work/Collaboration



Patil SS, Catanese HN, Brayton KA, Lofgren ET, Gebremedhin AH. (2022). Sequence Similarity Network Analysis Provides Insight into the Temporal and Geographical Distribution of Mutations in SARS-CoV-2 Spike Protein. Viruses, 14(8)

Lofgren ET, Lum K, Horowitz A, Mabubuonwu B, Meyers K, Fefferman NF. (2022). Carceral Amplification of COVID-19: Impacts for Community, Corrections Officer, and Incarcerated Population Risks. Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.)

Lofgren ET, Naumova EN, Gorski J, Naumov Y, Fefferman NH. (2022). How Drivers of Seasonality in Respiratory Infections May Impact Vaccine Strategy: A Case Study in How Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) May Help Us Solve One of Influenza's Biggest Challenges. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 75(Supplement_1)

Mietchen MS, Short CT, Samore M, Lofgren ET, . (2022). Examining the impact of ICU population interaction structure on modeled colonization dynamics of Staphylococcus aureus. PLoS computational biology, 18(7)

Avillan JJ, Ahmadvand P, Lu SY, Horton J, Liu J, Lofgren E, Davis MA, Kang C, Call DR. (2022). Excreted Antibiotics May Be Key to Emergence of Increasingly Efficient Antibiotic Resistance in Food Animal Production. Applied and environmental microbiology

Perkins AV, Sellon DC, Gay JM, Lofgren ET, Jones LP, Davis MA. (2022). pulsotypes in six veterinary hospitals in the north-western United States. Veterinary record open, 9(1)

Jackson KC, Short CT, Toman KR, Mietchen MS, Lofgren E, . (2022). Transient dynamics of infection transmission in a simulated intensive care unit. PloS one, 17(2)

Madhobi KF, Kalyanaraman A, Anderson DJ, Dodds Ashley E, Moehring RW, Lofgren ET. (2022). Use of Contact Networks to Estimate Potential Pathogen Risk Exposure in Hospitals. JAMA network open, 5(8)

Jones K, Hadley E, Preiss S, Lofgren ET, Rice DP, Stoner MCD, Rhea S, Adams JW. (2022). Estimate of undetected severe acute respiratory coronavirus virus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in acute-care hospital settings using an individual-based microsimulation model. Infection control and hospital epidemiology

Mody L, Akinboyo IC, Babcock HM, Bischoff WE, Cheng VC, Chiotos K, Claeys KC, Coffey KC, Diekema DJ, Donskey CJ, Ellingson KD, Gilmartin HM, Gohil SK, Harris AD, Keller SC, Klein EY, Krein SL, Kwon JH, Lauring AS, Livorsi DJ, Lofgren ET, Merrill K, Milstone A, Monsees EA, Morgan DJ, Perri LP, Pfeiffer CD, Rock C, Saint S, Sickbert-Bennett E, Skelton F, Suda KJ, Talbot TR, Vaughn VM, Weber DJ, Wiemken TL, Yassin MH, Ziegler MJ, Anderson DJ, . (2021). COVID-19 Research Agenda for Healthcare Epidemiology. Infection control and hospital epidemiology

Omulo S, Lofgren ET, Lockwood S, Thumbi SM, Bigogo G, Ouma A, Verani JR, Juma B, Njenga MK, Kariuki S, McElwain TF, Palmer GH, Call DR. (2021). Carriage of antimicrobial-resistant bacteria in a high-density informal settlement in Kenya is associated with environmental risk-factors. Antimicrobial resistance and infection control, 10(1)

Nderitu LM, Gachohi J, Otieno F, Mogoa EG, Muturi M, Mwatondo A, Osoro EM, Ngere I, Munyua PM, Oyas H, Njagi O, Lofgren E, Marsh T, Widdowson MA, Bett B, Njenga MK. (2021). Spatial clustering of livestock Anthrax events associated with agro-ecological zones in Kenya, 1957-2017. BMC infectious diseases, 21(1)

Johnson SS, Jackson KC, Mietchen MS, Sbai S, Schwartz EJ, Lofgren ET. (2021). Excess Risk of COVID-19 to University Populations Resulting from In-Person Sporting Events. International journal of environmental research and public health, 18(16)

Lofgren ET, Mietchen M, Dicks KV, Moehring R, Anderson D, . (2021). Estimated Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus Decolonization in Intensive Care Units Associated With Single-Application Chlorhexidine Gluconate or Mupirocin. JAMA network open, 4(3)

Moehring RW, Phelan M, Lofgren E, Nelson A, Dodds Ashley E, Anderson DJ, Goldstein BA. (2021). Development of a Machine Learning Model Using Electronic Health Record Data to Identify Antibiotic Use Among Hospitalized Patients. JAMA network open, 4(3)

Short CT, Mietchen MS, Lofgren ET. (2020). Assessing the Potential Impact of a Long-Acting SkinDisinfectant in the Prevention of Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus Transmission. International journal of environmental research and public health, 17(5)

Calderwood MS, Deloney VM, Anderson D, Cheng VC, Gohil S, Kwon JH, Mody L, Monsees E, Vaughn VM, Wiemken TL, Ziegler MJ, Lofgren E. (2020). Policies and Practices of SHEA Research Network Hospitals during the COVID-19 Pandemic. Infection control and hospital epidemiology

Suarez GP, Udiani O, Allan BF, Price C, Ryan SJ, Lofgren E, Coman A, Stone CM, Gallos LK, Fefferman NH. (2020). A generic arboviral model framework for exploring trade-offs between vector control and environmental concerns. Journal of theoretical biology, (490)

Iles RA, Sottile MJ, Amram O, Lofgren E, McConnel CS. (2020). Variable Cognition in ABM Decision-Making: An Application to Livestock Vaccine Choice. Frontiers in veterinary science, (7)

Slayton RB, O'Hagan JJ, Barnes S, Rhea S, Hilscher R, Rubin M, Lofgren E, Singh B, Segre A, Paul P. (2020). Modeling Infectious Diseases in Healthcare Network (MInD-Healthcare) Framework for Describing and Reporting Multidrug Resistant Organism and Healthcare-Associated Infections Agent-Based Modeling Methods. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America

Perkins AV, Sellon DC, Gay JM, Lofgren ET, Moore DA, Jones LP, Davis MA. (2020). on hand-contact and animal-contact surfaces in companion animal community hospitals. The Canadian veterinary journal = La revue veterinaire canadienne, 61(6)

Keyloun KR, Lofgren E, Hebert S. (2019). Modeling operational quality metrics and costs of long-acting antibiotics for acute bacterial skin and skin structure infection treatment in the emergency department. Journal of medical economics, 22(7)

Lofgren ET, Marshall BD, Galea S. (2017). Re: Integrating Complex Systems Thinking into Epidemiologic Research. Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.), 28(5)

Halloran ME, Auranen K, Baird S, Basta NE, Bellan SE, Brookmeyer R, Cooper BS, DeGruttola V, Hughes JP, Lessler J, Lofgren ET, Longini IM, Onnela JP, Özler B, Seage GR, Smith TA, Vespignani A, Vynnycky E, Lipsitch M. (2017). Simulations for designing and interpreting intervention trials in infectious diseases. BMC medicine, 15(1)

Omulo S, Lofgren ET, Mugoh M, Alando M, Obiya J, Kipyegon K, Kikwai G, Gumbi W, Kariuki S, Call DR. (2017). The impact of fecal sample processing on prevalence estimates for antibiotic-resistant Escherichia coli. Journal of microbiological methods, (136)

Lofgren ET. (2017). Estimating the impact post randomization changes in staff behavior in infection prevention trials: a mathematical modeling approach. BMC infectious diseases, 17(1)

Lofgren ET. (2016). Unlocking the black box: teaching mathematical modeling with popular culture. FEMS microbiology letters, 363(20)

Lofgren ET, Egizi AM, Fefferman NH. (2016). Patients as Patches: Ecology and Epidemiology in Healthcare Environments. Infection control and hospital epidemiology, 37(12)

Rivers CM, Majumder MS, Lofgren ET. (2016). Risks of Death and Severe Disease in Patients With Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus, 2012-2015. American journal of epidemiology, 184(6)

Lofgren ET, Collins KM, Smith TC, Cartwright RA. (2016). Equations of the End: Teaching Mathematical Modeling Using the Zombie Apocalypse. Journal of microbiology & biology education, 17(1)

Lofgren ET. (2015). Pools versus Queues: The Variable Dynamics of Stochastic "Steady States". PloS one, 10(6)

Alexander KA, Sanderson CE, Marathe M, Lewis BL, Rivers CM, Shaman J, Drake JM, Lofgren E, Dato VM, Eisenberg MC, Eubank S. (2015). What factors might have led to the emergence of Ebola in West Africa?. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 9(6)

Halloran ME, Vespignani A, Bharti N, Feldstein LR, Alexander KA, Ferrari M, Shaman J, Drake JM, Porco T, Eisenberg JN, Del Valle SY, Lofgren E, Scarpino SV, Eisenberg MC, Gao D, Hyman JM, Eubank S, Longini IM Jr.. (2014). Ebola: mobility data. Science (New York, N.Y.), 346(6208)

Majumder MS, Rivers C, Lofgren E, Fisman D. (2014). Estimation of MERS-Coronavirus Reproductive Number and Case Fatality Rate for the Spring 2014 Saudi Arabia Outbreak: Insights from Publicly Available Data. PLoS currents, (6)

Lofgren ET, Halloran ME, Rivers CM, Drake JM, Porco TC, Lewis B, Yang W, Vespignani A, Shaman J, Eisenberg JN, Eisenberg MC, Marathe M, Scarpino SV, Alexander KA, Meza R, Ferrari MJ, Hyman JM, Meyers LA, Eubank S. (2014). Opinion: Mathematical models: a key tool for outbreak response. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111(51)

Rivers CM, Lofgren ET, Marathe M, Eubank S, Lewis BL. (2014). Modeling the impact of interventions on an epidemic of ebola in sierra leone and liberia. PLoS currents, (6)

Rivers CM, Lofgren ET, Marathe M, Eubank S, Lewis BL. (2014). Modeling the impact of interventions on an epidemic of ebola in sierra leone and liberia. PLoS currents, (6)

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