Folashade Agusto

Assistant Professor




My research work is focused on the use of mathematical and statistical modeling approaches to gain insight into the ecology and epidemiology of some emerging and re-emerging human (and zoonotic) diseases of public health importance. The ecological component of my research work entails, inter alia, studying the host-pathogen evolution at a multi-scale level and studying the effect of environmental variables (such as temperature) on these interactions. I am also interested in modeling invasive species and forest/beetle interactions with the aim of controlling the adverse impact of these species. The epidemiological component of my work is focused on understanding the transmission mechanisms of diseases both at the population level and at a multiscale level and also to determine effective control strategies for these diseases. I have designed and analyzed novel models for the dynamics of diseases such as Ebola, avian influenza, bovine tuberculosis, Johnes disease, toxplasmagondii, Chikungunya and malaria.

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Prefer not to disclose

Personal Academic Website

Research/Topics of Interest

Pathogens/Diseases of Main Interest/Expertise

Countries of Work/Collaboration



Guo E, Agusto FB. (2022). Baptism of Fire: Modeling the Effects of Prescribed Fire on Lyme Disease. The Canadian journal of infectious diseases & medical microbiology = Journal canadien des maladies infectieuses et de la microbiologie medicale, (2022)

Agusto FB, Erovenko IV, Fulk A, Abu-Saymeh Q, Romero-Alvarez D, Ponce J, Sindi S, Ortega O, Saint Onge JM, Peterson AT. (2022). To isolate or not to isolate: the impact of changing behavior on COVID-19 transmission. BMC public health, 22(1)

Leite MCA, Chen-Charpentier B, Agusto FB, Gaoue OG, Hritonenko N. (2022). Viability of Pentadesma in reduced habitat ecosystems within two climatic regions with fruit harvesting. Journal of biological dynamics, 16(1)

Edholm CJ, Levy B, Spence L, Agusto FB, Chirove F, Chukwu CW, Goldsman D, Kgosimore M, Maposa I, Jane White KA, Lenhart S. (2022). A vaccination model for COVID-19 in Gauteng, South Africa. Infectious Disease Modelling

Fulk A, Romero-Alvarez D, Abu-Saymeh Q, Saint Onge JM, Peterson AT, Agusto FB. (2022). Using Google Health Trends to investigate COVID-19 incidence in Africa. PloS one, 17(6)

Fulk A, Huang W, Agusto F. (2022). Exploring the Effects of Prescribed Fire on Tick Spread and Propagation in a Spatial Setting. Computational and mathematical methods in medicine, (2022)

Iboi E, Richardson A, Ruffin R, Ingram D, Clark J, Hawkins J, McKinney M, Horne N, Ponder R, Denton Z, Agusto FB, Oduro B, Akinyemi L. (2021). Impact of Public Health Education Program on the Novel Coronavirus Outbreak in the United States. Frontiers in public health, (9)

Folashade B. Agustoa1, Igor V. Erovenkof, Alexander Fulka, Qays Abu-Saymeha,Daniel Romero-Alvareza, Joan Poncec, Suzanne Sindid, Omayra OrtegaeJarron M. Saint Ongea,b, A. Townsend Peterson. (2020). To isolate or not to isolate: The impact of changing behavior on COVID-19 transmission. medRxiv

Walter K Dodds, Lydia H Zeglin, Robert J Ramos, Thomas G Platt, Aakash Pandey, Theo Michaels, Mohammadali Masigol, Anna ML Klompen, Michelle C Kelly, Ari Jumpponen, Emma Hauser, Paige M Hansen, Mitchell J Greer, Niloufar Fattahi, Camille S Delavaux, R Kent Connell, Sharon Billings, James D Bever, Niloy Barua, Folashade B Agusto. (2020). Connections and Feedback: Aquatic, Plant, and Soil Microbiomes in Heterogeneous and Changing Environments. BioScience

Demers J, Bewick S, Agusto F, Caillouët KA, Fagan WF, Robertson SL. (2020). Managing disease outbreaks: The importance of vector mobility and spatially heterogeneous control. PLoS computational biology, 16(8)

Folashade B Agusto, MCA Leite, Maria E Orive. (2019). The transmission dynamics of a within-and between-hosts malaria model. Ecological Complexity, (38)

Agusto FB, Leite MCA. (2019). Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of the 2017 meningitis outbreak in Nigeria. Infectious Disease Modelling, (4)

Agusto FB, Kim S. (2019). among Injection Drug Users. Antibiotics (Basel, Switzerland), 8(2)

Folashade Agusto, Amy Goldberg, Omayra Ortega, Joan Ponce, Sofya Zaytseva, Suzanne S Sindi, Sally Blower. (2019). How do interventions impact malaria dynamics between neighboring countries? A case study with Botswana and Zimbabwe. medRxiv

Agusto FB, Khan MA. (2018). Optimal control strategies for dengue transmission in pakistan. Mathematical biosciences, (305)

Wagner R, Agusto FB. (2018). Transmission dynamics for Methicilin-resistant Staphalococous areus with injection drug user. BMC infectious diseases, 18(1)

Zabel TA, Agusto FB. (2018). Transmission Dynamics of Bovine Anaplasmosis in a Cattle Herd. Interdisciplinary perspectives on infectious diseases, (2018)

Leite MCA, Chen-Charpentier B, Agusto FB. (2018). Maximizing tree harvesting benefit from forests under insect infestation disturbances. PloS one, 13(8)

Shane O’Sullivan, Mohammed Imran Sajid, Folashade B Agusto, Joseph Mwangangi, Angellar Manguvo, Dominic Wichmann, Magdy Kharoshah. (2018). Virtual autopsy and community engagement for outbreak response in Africa: traditional, religious and sociocultural perspectives. Egyptian Journal of Forensic Sciences, 8(1)

Mohammed-Awel J, Agusto F, Mickens RE, Gumel AB. (2018). Mathematical assessment of the role of vector insecticide resistance and feeding/resting behavior on malaria transmission dynamics: Optimal control analysis. Infectious Disease Modelling, (3)

MCA Leite, Benito Chen-Charpentier, Folashade B Agusto. (2017). A mathematical model of tree harvesting in age-structured forests subject to beetle infestations. Computational and Applied Mathematics, 37(3)

Agusto FB, ELmojtaba IM. (2017). Optimal control and cost-effective analysis of malaria/visceral leishmaniasis co-infection. PloS one, 12(2)

Folashade B Agusto. (2017). Optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis of a three age-structured transmission dynamics of chikungunya virus. Discrete & Continuous Dynamical Systems-B, 22(3)

Agusto FB, Bewick S, Fagan WF. (2017). Mathematical model of Zika virus with vertical transmission. Infectious Disease Modelling, 2(2)

FB Agusto, S Bewick, WF Fagan. (2017). Mathematical model for Zika virus dynamics with sexual transmission route. Ecological Complexity, (29)

Manore CA, Ostfeld RS, Agusto FB, Gaff H, LaDeau SL. (2017). Defining the Risk of Zika and Chikungunya Virus Transmission in Human Population Centers of the Eastern United States. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 11(1)

Orou G Gaoue, Jiang Jiang, Wandi Ding, Folashade B Agusto, Suzanne Lenhart. (2016). Optimal harvesting strategies for timber and non-timber forest products in tropical ecosystems. Theoretical Ecology, 9(3)

Bewick S, Agusto F, Calabrese JM, Muturi EJ, Fagan WF. (2016). Epidemiology of La Crosse Virus Emergence, Appalachia Region, United States. Emerging infectious diseases, 22(11)

YP Wang, J Jiang, Benito M Chen-Charpentier, Folashade B Agusto, Alan Hastings, Forrest M Hoffman, Martin Rasmussen, Matthew J Smith, Katherine EO Todd-Brown, Y Wang, X Xu, YQ Luo. (2016). Responses of two nonlinear microbial models to warming and increased carbon input. Biogeosciences, (13)

Agusto FB. (2017). Mathematical model of Ebola transmission dynamics with relapse and reinfection. Mathematical biosciences, (283)

Sharon Bewick, William F. Fagan, Justin Calabrese, Folashade Agusto. (2016). Zika Virus: Endemic Versus Epidemic Dynamics and Implications for Disease Spread in the Americas. bioRxiv

Agusto FB, Easley S, Freeman K, Thomas M. (2016). Mathematical Model of Three Age-Structured Transmission Dynamics of Chikungunya Virus. Computational and mathematical methods in medicine, (2016)

Rasmussen M, Hastings A, Smith MJ, Agusto FB, Chen-Charpentier BM, Hoffman FM, Jiang J, Todd-Brown KE, Wang Y, Wang YP, Luo Y. (2016). Transit times and mean ages for nonautonomous and autonomous compartmental systems. Journal of mathematical biology, 73(6-7)

FB Agusto. (2016). Optimal control of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus transmission in hospital settings. Applied Mathematical Modelling, 40(7-8)

Folashade B Agusto, Justin Cook, PD Shelton, MG Wickers. (2015). Mathematical Model of MDR-TB and XDR-TB with Isolation and Lost to Follow-Up. Hindawi, (2015)

FB Agusto, KN Knight, M Jones. (2015). Modeling of Community- and Hospital-acquired Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus Aureus Transmission in Hospital Settings. BIOMATH, 4(2)

Agusto FB, Teboh-Ewungkem MI, Gumel AB. (2015). Mathematical assessment of the effect of traditional beliefs and customs on the transmission dynamics of the 2014 Ebola outbreaks. BMC medicine, (13)

Hem Raj Joshi, Suzanne Lenhart, Sanjukta Hota, Folashade B Augusto. (2015). Optimal control of an SIR model with changing behavior through an education campaign. Electronic Journal of Differential Equations, 2015(50)

Paul E Parham, Joanna Waldock, George K Christophides, Deborah Hemming, Folashade Agusto, Katherine J Evans, Nina Fefferman, Holly Gaff, Abba Gumel, Shannon LaDeau, Suzanne Lenhart, Ronald E Mickens, Elena N Naumova, Richard S Ostfeld, Paul D Ready, Matthew B Thomas, Jorge Velasco-Hernandez, Edwin Michael. (2015). Climate, environmental and socio-economic change: weighing up the balance in vector-borne disease transmission. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 370(1665)

FB Agusto, AB Gumel, PE Parham. (2015). Qualitative assessment of the role of temperature variations on malaria transmission dynamics. Journal of Biological Systems, 23(4)

YP Wang, J Jiang, B Chen-Charpentier, FB Agusto, A Hastings, F Hoffman, M Rasmussen, MJ Smith, K Todd-Brown, Y Wang, X Xu, YQ Luo. (2015). Responses of two nonlinear microbial models to warming or increased carbon input. Biogeosciences Discussions, 12(17)

Sanjukta Hota, Folashade Agusto, Hem Raj Joshi, Suzanne Lenhart. (2015). Optimal control and stability analysis of an epidemic model with education campaign and treatment. American Institute of Mathematical Sciences, (2015)

Agusto FB. (2014). Malaria drug resistance: the impact of human movement and spatial heterogeneity. Bulletin of mathematical biology, 76(7)

Boëte C, Agusto FB, Reeves RG. (2014). Impact of mating behaviour on the success of malaria control through a single inundative release of transgenic mosquitoes. Journal of theoretical biology, (347)

Agusto FB, Adekunle AI. (2014). Optimal control of a two-strain tuberculosis-HIV/AIDS co-infection model. Bio Systems, (119)

Folashade Agusto, Suzanne Lenhart. (2013). Optimal control of the spread of malaria superinfectivity. Journal of Biological Systems, 21(4)

Tyler Massaro, Suzanne Lenhart, Meredith Spence, Crystal Drakes, Guang Yang, Folashade Agusto, Rachel Johnson, Brian Whitlock, Ashutosh Wadhwa, Shigetoshi Eda. (2013). Modeling for cost analysis of Johne's disease control based on EVELISA testing. Journal of Biological Systems, 21(4)

Agusto FB, Gumel AB. (2013). Qualitative dynamics of lowly- and highly-pathogenic avian influenza strains. Mathematical biosciences, 243(2)

Agusto FB. (2013). Optimal isolation control strategies and cost-effectiveness analysis of a two-strain avian influenza model. Bio Systems, 113(3)

YP Wang, BC Chen, WR Wieder, Y Luo, M Leite, B Medlyn, M Rasmussen, M Smith, F Agusto, F Hoffman. (2013). Oscillatory behavior of two nonlinear microbial models of soil carbon decomposition. Biogeosciences, 10(12)

Folashade B Agusto, Jean M Tchuenche. (2013). Control strategies for the spread of malaria in humans with variable attractiveness. Mathematical Population Studies, 20(2)

Agusto FB, Bewick S, Parshad RD. (2012). Mosquito management in the face of natural selection. Mathematical biosciences, 239(1)

Agusto FB, Del Valle SY, Blayneh KW, Ngonghala CN, Goncalves MJ, Li N, Zhao R, Gong H. (2013). The impact of bed-net use on malaria prevalence. Journal of theoretical biology, (320)

Folashade B Agusto, Rana D Parshad. (2012). Global dynamics of a PDE model for Aedes aegypti mosquitoe incorporating female sexual preference. Dynamics of Partial Differential Equations, 8(4)

Folashade B Agusto, Nizar Marcus, Kaseem O Okosun. (2012). Application of optimal control to the epidemiology of malaria. Electronic Journal of Differential Equations, 2012(81)

Sullivan A, Agusto F, Bewick S, Su C, Lenhart S, Zhao X. (2012). A mathematical model for within-host Toxoplasma gondii invasion dynamics. Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE, 9(3)

Folashade B Agusto, Suzanne Lenhart, Abba B Gumel, Agricola Odoi. (2011). Mathematical analysis of a model for the transmission dynamics of bovine tuberculosis. Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences, 34(15)

Tchuenche JM, Khamis SA, Agusto FB, Mpeshe SC. (2011). Optimal control and sensitivity analysis of an influenza model with treatment and vaccination. Acta biotheoretica, 59(1)

Folashade B Agusto, Abba B Gumel. (2010). Theoretical assessment of avian influenza vaccine. Discrete & Continuous Dynamical Systems-B, 13(1)

FB Agusto, KO Okosun. (2010). Optimal seasonal biocontrol for Eichhornia crassipes. International Journal of Biomathematics, 3(3)

FB Agusto, OR Ogunye. (2010). Avian Influenza optimal seasonal vaccination strategy. The ANZIAM Journal, 51(4)

FB Agusto. (2009). Optimal chemoprophylaxis and treatment control strategies of a tuberculosis transmission model. World Journal of Modelling and Simulation, 5(3)

AGUSTO FB. (2007). Numerical Treatment of the Mathematical Models for Water Pollution. Journal of Mathematics and Statistics, 3(4)

Olabode Matthias Bamigbola, FB Agusto. (2004). Optimization in ℝ n by Coggin's method. International Journal of Computer Mathematics, 81(9)

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