Ganna Rozhnova
Ganna Rozhnova

Assistant Professor




Dr. Ganna Rozhnova is an Assistant Professor in Infectious Disease Modeling (Infection and Immunity Research Program) at the Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care at the University Medical Center Utrecht in the Netherlands and an affiliated researcher at the BioISI—Biosystems & Integrative Sciences Institute in Portugal. Prior to this, she earned a PhD in Statistical Physics (summa cum laude) at Lisbon University, and held postdoctoral and visiting positions at Manchester and Cologne Universities. Her research centers on the application of infectious disease modeling to answer questions and support evidence-based policymaking in public health. Her mission as a researcher is to help improve people’s health by providing guidance to various stakeholders on the implementation of public health interventions to formulate an effective response to infectious diseases. More recently, her research has focused on understanding the spatio-temporal dynamics and evolution of HIV, SARS-CoV-2, influenza, CMV, childhood infections, and on evaluating the impact of interventions such as, e.g., vaccination or treatment, on the dynamics of these diseases on different scales (e.g., within patient, hospital or population). Research topics where she expects to make major contributions in near future are HIV elimination among men who have sex with men in the Netherlands, development of tailored interventions for HIV and childhood diseases, impact of promising HIV cure strategies on HIV transmission and (post-)pandemic dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 and other respiratory viruses.

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Research/Topics of Interest

Agent-based models
Apply models to public health
Between-host modeling
Compartmental models
Geospatial models
Intra-host modeling
Network models
New methods development
Public health application of models
Public health policy/interventions
Social networks/contact patterns
Spatial transmission patterns
viral evolution
infectious disease dynamics

Pathogens/Diseases of Main Interest/Expertise

Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV)
Pandemic influenza
Respiratory diseases
Season influenza
Sexually transmitted diseases
Vaccine-preventable diseases

Countries of Work/Collaboration

United States
Russian Federation
United Kingdom
Netherlands Antilles



Kretzschmar ME, Ashby B, Fearon E, Overton CE, Panovska-Griffiths J, Pellis L, Quaife M, Rozhnova G, Scarabel F, Stage HB, Swallow B, Thompson RN, Tildesley MJ, Villela D. (2022). Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics. Epidemics, (38)

Romijnders KAGJ, de Groot L, Vervoort SCJM, Basten MGJ, van Welzen BJ, Kretzschmar ME, Reiss P, Davidovich U, Rozhnova G. (2022). The perceived impact of an HIV cure by people living with HIV and key populations vulnerable to HIV in the Netherlands: A qualitative study. Journal of virus eradication, 8(1)

van Wees DA, Diexer S, Rozhnova G, Matser A, den Daas C, Heijne J, Kretzschmar M. (2021). Quantifying heterogeneity in sexual behaviour and distribution of STIs before and after pre-exposure prophylaxis among men who have sex with men. Sexually transmitted infections

Viana J, van Dorp CH, Nunes A, Gomes MC, van Boven M, Kretzschmar ME, Veldhoen M, Rozhnova G. (2021). Controlling the pandemic during the SARS-CoV-2 vaccination rollout. Nature communications, 12(1)

Rozhnova G, van Dorp CH, Bruijning-Verhagen P, Bootsma MCJ, van de Wijgert JHHM, Bonten MJM, Kretzschmar ME. (2021). Model-based evaluation of school- and non-school-related measures to control the COVID-19 pandemic. Nature communications, 12(1)

Basten MGJ, van Wees DA, Matser A, Boyd A, Rozhnova G, den Daas C, Kretzschmar MEE, Heijne JCM. (2021). Time for change: Transitions between HIV risk levels and determinants of behavior change in men who have sex with men. PloS one, 16(12)

Basten M, den Daas C, Heijne JCM, Boyd A, Davidovich U, Rozhnova G, Kretzschmar M, Matser A. (2021). The Rhythm of Risk: Sexual Behaviour, PrEP Use and HIV Risk Perception Between 1999 and 2018 Among Men Who Have Sex with Men in Amsterdam, The Netherlands. AIDS and behavior, 25(6)

Gomes MC, Nunes A, Nogueira J, Rebelo C, Viana J, Rozhnova G. (2020). [Forecasting the Pandemic: The Role of Mathematical Models]. Acta medica portuguesa, 33(11)

Rozhnova G, E Kretzschmar M, van der Klis F, van Baarle D, Korndewal M, C Vossen A, van Boven M. (2020). Short- and long-term impact of vaccination against cytomegalovirus: a modeling study. BMC medicine, 18(1)

Teslya A, Pham TM, Godijk NG, Kretzschmar ME, Bootsma MCJ, Rozhnova G. (2020). Impact of self-imposed prevention measures and short-term government-imposed social distancing on mitigating and delaying a COVID-19 epidemic: A modelling study. PLoS medicine, 17(7)

Rozhnova G, Heijne JCM, Basten M, den Daas C, Matser A, Kretzschmar M. (2019). Impact of sexual trajectories of men who have sex with men on the reduction in HIV transmission by pre-exposure prophylaxis. Epidemics, (28)

Rozhnova G, Heijne J, Bezemer D, van Sighem A, Presanis A, De Angelis D, Kretzschmar M. (2018). Elimination prospects of the Dutch HIV epidemic among men who have sex with men in the era of preexposure prophylaxis. AIDS (London, England), 32(17)

Rouzine IM, Rozhnova G. (2018). Antigenic evolution of viruses in host populations. PLoS pathogens, 14(9)

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