Jamie Caldwell

Postdoctoral Fellow




I am quantitative ecologist who studies infectious disease dynamics in wildlife and people. My research investigates the ecological drivers of disease transmission and uses those relationships to predict outbreaks in the future. I am currently a visiting scholar/adjunct faculty at James Cook University in Townsville, Australia. I was previously a postdoctoral fellow at Stanford University where my research focused on climate-driven patterns of mosquito-borne diseases in South America and Sub-Saharan Africa. I received my Ph.D. in 2017 from the University of Hawai‘i where I studied infectious disease dynamics in coral reefs.

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Caldwell JM, de Lara-Tuprio E, Teng TR, Estuar MRJE, Sarmiento RFR, Abayawardana M, Leong RNF, Gray RT, Wood JG, Le LV, McBryde ES, Ragonnet R, Trauer JM. (2021). Understanding COVID-19 dynamics and the effects of interventions in the Philippines: A mathematical modelling study. The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific, (14)

Athni TS, Shocket MS, Couper LI, Nova N, Caldwell IR, Caldwell JM, Childress JN, Childs ML, De Leo GA, Kirk DG, MacDonald AJ, Olivarius K, Pickel DG, Roberts SO, Winokur OC, Young HS, Cheng J, Grant EA, Kurzner PM, Kyaw S, Lin BJ, Lopez RC, Massihpour DS, Olsen EC, Roache M, Ruiz A, Schultz EA, Shafat M, Spencer RL, Bharti N, Mordecai EA. (2021). The influence of vector-borne disease on human history: socio-ecological mechanisms. Ecology letters

Jayasundara P, Peariasamy KM, Law KB, Abd Rahim KNK, Lee SW, Ghazali IMM, Abayawardana M, Le LV, Khalaf RKS, Razali K, Le X, Chong ZL, McBryde ES, Meehan MT, Caldwell JM, Ragonnet R, Trauer JM. (2021). Sustaining effective COVID-19 control in Malaysia through large-scale vaccination. Epidemics, (37)

Caldwell JM, LaBeaud AD, Lambin EF, Stewart-Ibarra AM, Ndenga BA, Mutuku FM, Krystosik AR, Ayala EB, Anyamba A, Borbor-Cordova MJ, Damoah R, Grossi-Soyster EN, Heras FH, Ngugi HN, Ryan SJ, Shah MM, Sippy R, Mordecai EA. (2021). Climate predicts geographic and temporal variation in mosquito-borne disease dynamics on two continents. Nature communications, 12(1)

Caldwell JM, Le X, McIntosh L, Meehan MT, Ogunlade S, Ragonnet R, O'Neill GK, Trauer JM, McBryde ES. (2021). Vaccines and variants: Modelling insights into emerging issues in COVID-19 epidemiology. Paediatric respiratory reviews

Couper LI, Farner JE, Caldwell JM, Childs ML, Harris MJ, Kirk DG, Nova N, Shocket M, Skinner EB, Uricchio LH, Exposito-Alonso M, Mordecai EA. (2021). How will mosquitoes adapt to climate warming?. eLife, (10)

McBryde E, Meehan M, Caldwell J, Adekunle A, Ogunlade S, Kuddus A, Ragonnet R, Jayasundara P, Trauer JM, Cope RC. (2021). Modelling direct and herd protection effects of vaccination against the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant in Australia. The Medical journal of Australia

McBryde ES, Meehan MT, Adegboye OA, Adekunle AI, Caldwell JM, Pak A, Rojas DP, Williams BM, Trauer JM. (2020). Role of modelling in COVID-19 policy development. Paediatric respiratory reviews, (35)

Meehan MT, Rojas DP, Adekunle AI, Adegboye OA, Caldwell JM, Turek E, Williams BM, Marais BJ, Trauer JM, McBryde ES. (2020). Modelling insights into the COVID-19 pandemic. Paediatric respiratory reviews, (35)

Caldwell JM, Aeby G, Heron SF, Donahue MJ. (2020). Case-control design identifies ecological drivers of endemic coral diseases. Scientific reports, 10(1)

Mordecai EA, Ryan SJ, Caldwell JM, Shah MM, LaBeaud AD. (2020). Climate change could shift disease burden from malaria to arboviruses in Africa. The Lancet. Planetary health, 4(9)

Harris M, Caldwell JM, Mordecai EA. (2019). Climate drives spatial variation in Zika epidemics in Latin America. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 286(1909)

Mordecai EA, Caldwell JM, Grossman MK, Lippi CA, Johnson LR, Neira M, Rohr JR, Ryan SJ, Savage V, Shocket MS, Sippy R, Stewart Ibarra AM, Thomas MB, Villena O. (2019). Thermal biology of mosquito-borne disease. Ecology letters, 22(10)

Shah MM, Krystosik AR, Ndenga BA, Mutuku FM, Caldwell JM, Otuka V, Chebii PK, Maina PW, Jembe Z, Ronga C, Bisanzio D, Anyamba A, Damoah R, Ripp K, Jagannathan P, Mordecai EA, LaBeaud AD. (2019). Malaria smear positivity among Kenyan children peaks at intermediate temperatures as predicted by ecological models. Parasites & vectors, 12(1)

Caldwell JM, Donahue MJ, Harvell CD. (2018). Host size and proximity to diseased neighbours drive the spread of a coral disease outbreak in Hawai'i. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 285(1870)

Huber JH, Childs ML, Caldwell JM, Mordecai EA. (2018). Seasonal temperature variation influences climate suitability for dengue, chikungunya, and Zika transmission. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 12(5)

Caldwell JM, Heron SF, Eakin CM, Donahue MJ. (2016). Satellite SST-Based Coral Disease Outbreak Predictions for the Hawaiian Archipelago. Remote sensing, 8(2)

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