Prefer not to disclose
Bruijning M, Moeller AH, Carver G, Donia MS, Koskella B, Singh P, Metcalf CJE. (2026). The bacterial march toward symbiosis: on-ramps and off-ramps. Trends in microbiology
Baker RE, Stamper AR, Burrows HA, Spacey OG, Chung MV, Rice BL, Yang W, Wagner CE, Metcalf CJE. (2026). Climate change and infectious diseases. Nature medicine, 32(5)
Rasambainarivo F, Hinson B, Rasolofoniaina O, Chelaghma S, Junge RE, Metcalf CJE, Williams CV, Rice B. (2025). Evolutionary history, longevity and terrestriality predict Toxoplasma gondii seroprevalence in free-ranging non-human primates. International journal for parasitology. Parasites and wildlife, (28)
Metcalf CJE, Anderson RM, Hochberg ME, Masel J, Moorad J, Promislow DEL, Tuljapurkar S, Snyder-Mackler N. (2025). How and why does aging occur? Updating evolutionary theory to meet a new era of data. Evolution, medicine, and public health, 14(1)
Howerton E, Williams TC, Casalegno JS, Dominguez S, Gunson R, Messacar K, Metcalf CJE, Park SW, Viboud C, Grenfell BT. (2025). Using COVID-19 pandemic perturbation to model RSV-hMPV interactions and potential implications under RSV interventions. Nature communications, 16(1)
Nielsen BF, Saad-Roy CM, Metcalf CJE, Viboud C, Grenfell BT. (2025). Eco-evolutionary dynamics of pathogen immune-escape: deriving a population-level phylodynamic curve. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 22(225)
Bruijning M, Henry LP, Forsberg SKG, Metcalf CJE, Ayroles JF. (2022). Publisher Correction: Natural selection for imprecise vertical transmission in host-microbiota systems. Nature ecology & evolution
Rice BL, Golden CD, Randriamady HJ, Rakotomalala AANA, Vonona MA, Anjaranirina EJG, Hazen J, Castro MC, Metcalf CJE, Hartl DL. (2021). Fine-scale variation in malaria prevalence across ecological regions in Madagascar: a cross-sectional study. BMC public health, 21(1)
Bruijning M, Henry LP, Forsberg SKG, Metcalf CJE, Ayroles JF. (2021). Natural selection for imprecise vertical transmission in host-microbiota systems. Nature ecology & evolution
Lau MSY, Becker AD, Korevaar HM, Caudron Q, Shaw DJ, Metcalf CJE, Bjørnstad ON, Grenfell BT. (2020). A competing-risks model explains hierarchical spatial coupling of measles epidemics en route to national elimination. Nature ecology & evolution, 4(7)
Buckee CO, Balsari S, Chan J, Crosas M, Dominici F, Gasser U, Grad YH, Grenfell B, Halloran ME, Kraemer MUG, Lipsitch M, Metcalf CJE, Meyers LA, Perkins TA, Santillana M, Scarpino SV, Viboud C, Wesolowski A, Schroeder A. (2020). Aggregated mobility data could help fight COVID-19. Science (New York, N.Y.)
Baker RE, Yang W, Vecchi GA, Metcalf CJE, Grenfell BT. (2020). Susceptible supply limits the role of climate in the early SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. Science (New York, N.Y.), 369(6501)
Clapham H, Hay J, Routledge I, Takahashi S, Choisy M, Cummings D, Grenfell B, Metcalf CJE, Mina M, Barraquer IR, Salje H, Tam CC. (2020). Seroepidemiologic Study Designs for Determining SARS-COV-2 Transmission and Immunity. Emerging infectious diseases, 26(9)
Kaminsky J, Keegan LT, Metcalf CJE, Lessler J. (2019). Perfect counterfactuals for epidemic simulations. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 374(1776)
Mina MJ, Grenfell BT, Metcalf CJE. (2019). Response to Comment on "Long-term measles-induced immunomodulation increases overall childhood infectious disease mortality". Science (New York, N.Y.), 365(6449)
Graham M, Winter AK, Ferrari M, Grenfell B, Moss WJ, Azman AS, Metcalf CJE, Lessler J. (2019). Measles and the canonical path to elimination. Science (New York, N.Y.), 364(6440)
Baker RE, Mahmud AS, Wagner CE, Yang W, Pitzer VE, Viboud C, Vecchi GA, Metcalf CJE, Grenfell BT. (2019). Epidemic dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus in current and future climates. Nature communications, 10(1)
Truelove SA, Graham M, Moss WJ, Metcalf CJE, Ferrari MJ, Lessler J. (2019). Characterizing the impact of spatial clustering of susceptibility for measles elimination. Vaccine, 37(5)
Graham M, Suk JE, Takahashi S, Metcalf CJ, Jimenez AP, Prikazsky V, Ferrari MJ, Lessler J. (2018). Challenges and Opportunities in Disease Forecasting in Outbreak Settings: A Case Study of Measles in Lola Prefecture, Guinea. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 98(5)
Takahashi S, Metcalf CJE, Arima Y, Fujimoto T, Shimizu H, Rogier van Doorn H, Le Van T, Chan YF, Farrar JJ, Oishi K, Grenfell BT. (2018). Epidemic dynamics, interactions and predictability of enteroviruses associated with hand, foot and mouth disease in Japan. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 15(146)
Prada JM, Metcalf CJE, Ferrari MJ. (2018). Improving measles incidence inference using age-structured serological data. Epidemiology and infection, 146(13)
Dalziel BD, Kissler S, Gog JR, Viboud C, Bjørnstad ON, Metcalf CJE, Grenfell BT. (2018). Urbanization and humidity shape the intensity of influenza epidemics in U.S. cities. Science (New York, N.Y.), 362(6410)
Wesolowski A, Winter A, Tatem AJ, Qureshi T, Engø-Monsen K, Buckee CO, Cummings DAT, Metcalf CJE. (2018). Measles outbreak risk in Pakistan: exploring the potential of combining vaccination coverage and incidence data with novel data-streams to strengthen control. Epidemiology and infection, 146(12)
Takahashi S, Metcalf CJE, Ferrari MJ, Tatem AJ, Lessler J. (2017). The geography of measles vaccination in the African Great Lakes region. Nature communications, (8)
Metcalf CJE, Walter KS, Wesolowski A, Buckee CO, Shevliakova E, Tatem AJ, Boos WR, Weinberger DM, Pitzer VE. (2017). Identifying climate drivers of infectious disease dynamics: recent advances and challenges ahead. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 284(1860)
Lau MS, Dalziel BD, Funk S, McClelland A, Tiffany A, Riley S, Metcalf CJ, Grenfell BT. (2017). Spatial and temporal dynamics of superspreading events in the 2014-2015 West Africa Ebola epidemic. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 114(9)
Metcalf CJE, Lessler J. (2017). Opportunities and challenges in modeling emerging infectious diseases. Science (New York, N.Y.), 357(6347)
Dalziel BD, Bjørnstad ON, van Panhuis WG, Burke DS, Metcalf CJ, Grenfell BT. (2016). Persistent Chaos of Measles Epidemics in the Prevaccination United States Caused by a Small Change in Seasonal Transmission Patterns. PLoS computational biology, 12(2)
Wesolowski A, Mensah K, Brook CE, Andrianjafimasy M, Winter A, Buckee CO, Razafindratsimandresy R, Tatem AJ, Heraud JM, Metcalf CJ. (2016). Introduction of rubella-containing-vaccine to Madagascar: implications for roll-out and local elimination. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 13(117)
Takahashi S, Liao Q, Van Boeckel TP, Xing W, Sun J, Hsiao VY, Metcalf CJ, Chang Z, Liu F, Zhang J, Wu JT, Cowling BJ, Leung GM, Farrar JJ, van Doorn HR, Grenfell BT, Yu H. (2016). Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in China: Modeling Epidemic Dynamics of Enterovirus Serotypes and Implications for Vaccination. PLoS medicine, 13(2)
Lessler J, Metcalf CJ, Cutts FT, Grenfell BT. (2016). Impact on Epidemic Measles of Vaccination Campaigns Triggered by Disease Outbreaks or Serosurveys: A Modeling Study. PLoS medicine, 13(10)
Buckee CO, Tatem AJ, Metcalf CJE. (2016). Seasonal Population Movements and the Surveillance and Control of Infectious Diseases. Trends in parasitology, 33(1)
Lessler J, Chaisson LH, Kucirka LM, Bi Q, Grantz K, Salje H, Carcelen AC, Ott CT, Sheffield JS, Ferguson NM, Cummings DA, Metcalf CJ, Rodriguez-Barraquer I. (2016). Assessing the global threat from Zika virus. Science (New York, N.Y.), 353(6300)
Birger RB, Kouyos RD, Cohen T, Griffiths EC, Huijben S, Mina MJ, Volkova V, Grenfell B, Metcalf CJE. (2015). Erratum to: 'The potential impact of coinfection on antimicrobial chemotherapy and drug resistance'. Trends in microbiology, 23(11)
Takahashi S, Metcalf CJ, Ferrari MJ, Moss WJ, Truelove SA, Tatem AJ, Grenfell BT, Lessler J. (2015). Reduced vaccination and the risk of measles and other childhood infections post-Ebola. Science (New York, N.Y.), 347(6227)
Heesterbeek H, Anderson RM, Andreasen V, Bansal S, De Angelis D, Dye C, Eames KT, Edmunds WJ, Frost SD, Funk S, Hollingsworth TD, House T, Isham V, Klepac P, Lessler J, Lloyd-Smith JO, Metcalf CJ, Mollison D, Pellis L, Pulliam JR, Roberts MG, Viboud C, . (2015). Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health. Science (New York, N.Y.), 347(6227)
Mina MJ, Metcalf CJ, de Swart RL, Osterhaus AD, Grenfell BT. (2015). Long-term measles-induced immunomodulation increases overall childhood infectious disease mortality. Science (New York, N.Y.), 348(6235)
Birger RB, Kouyos RD, Cohen T, Griffiths EC, Huijben S, Mina MJ, Volkova V, Grenfell B, Metcalf CJE. (2015). The potential impact of coinfection on antimicrobial chemotherapy and drug resistance. Trends in microbiology, 23(9)
Pitzer VE, Viboud C, Alonso WJ, Wilcox T, Metcalf CJ, Steiner CA, Haynes AK, Grenfell BT. (2014). Environmental drivers of the spatiotemporal dynamics of respiratory syncytial virus in the United States. PLoS pathogens, 11(1)
Kouyos RD, Metcalf CJ, Birger R, Klein EY, Abel zur Wiesch P, Ankomah P, Arinaminpathy N, Bogich TL, Bonhoeffer S, Brower C, Chi-Johnston G, Cohen T, Day T, Greenhouse B, Huijben S, Metlay J, Mideo N, Pollitt LC, Read AF, Smith DL, Standley C, Wale N, Grenfell B. (2014). The path of least resistance: aggressive or moderate treatment?. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 281(1794)
Lessler J, Metcalf CJ. (2013). Balancing evidence and uncertainty when considering rubella vaccine introduction. PLoS One, 8(7)
Lessler J, Metcalf CJ, Grenfell BT. (2012). Measurement of vaccine-derived immunity: how do we use all the data?. Expert review of vaccines, 11(7)
Lessler J, Metcalf CJ, Grais RF, Luquero FJ, Cummings DA, Grenfell BT. (2011). Measuring the performance of vaccination programs using cross-sectional surveys: a likelihood framework and retrospective analysis. PLoS medicine, 8(10)
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