Justin Lessler

Associate Professor





Fox MP, D'Agostino McGowan L, James BD, Lessler J, Mehta SH, Murray EJ. (2020). Concerns About the Special Article on Hydroxychloroquine and Azithromycin in High Risk Outpatients with COVID-19 by Dr. Harvey Risch. American journal of epidemiology

Lee EC, Chao DL, Lemaitre JC, Matrajt L, Pasetto D, Perez-Saez J, Finger F, Rinaldo A, Sugimoto JD, Halloran ME, Longini IM Jr., Ternier R, Vissieres K, Azman AS, Lessler J, Ivers LC. (2020). Achieving coordinated national immunity and cholera elimination in Haiti through vaccination: a modelling study. The Lancet. Global health, 8(8)

Bi Q, Wu Y, Mei S, Ye C, Zou X, Zhang Z, Liu X, Wei L, Truelove SA, Zhang T, Gao W, Cheng C, Tang X, Wu X, Wu Y, Sun B, Huang S, Sun Y, Zhang J, Ma T, Lessler J, Feng T. (2020). Epidemiology and transmission of COVID-19 in 391 cases and 1286 of their close contacts in Shenzhen, China: a retrospective cohort study. The Lancet. Infectious diseases

Lee EC, Wada NI, Grabowski MK, Gurley ES, Lessler J. (2020). The engines of SARS-CoV-2 spread. Science (New York, N.Y.), 370(6515)

Edwards JK, Lessler J. (2020). What Now? Epidemiology in the Wake of a Pandemic. American journal of epidemiology

Kate Grabowski M, Lessler J, Bazaale J, Nabukalu D, Nankinga J, Nantume B, Ssekasanvu J, Reynolds SJ, Ssekubugu R, Nalugoda F, Kigozi G, Kagaayi J, Santelli JS, Kennedy C, Wawer MJ, Serwadda D, Chang LW, Gray RH. (2020). Migration, hotspots, and dispersal of HIV infection in Rakai, Uganda. Nature communications, 11(1)

Huang AT, Garcia-Carreras B, Hitchings MDT, Yang B, Katzelnick LC, Rattigan SM, Borgert BA, Moreno CA, Solomon BD, Trimmer-Smith L, Etienne V, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Lessler J, Salje H, Burke DS, Wesolowski A, Cummings DAT. (2020). A systematic review of antibody mediated immunity to coronaviruses: kinetics, correlates of protection, and association with severity. Nature communications, 11(1)

Huang AT, Garcia-Carreras B, Hitchings MDT, Yang B, Katzelnick LC, Rattigan SM, Borgert BA, Moreno CA, Solomon BD, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Lessler J, Salje H, Burke D, Wesolowski A, Cummings DAT. (2020). A systematic review of antibody mediated immunity to coronaviruses: antibody kinetics, correlates of protection, and association of antibody responses with severity of disease. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences

Lessler J. (2020). An overlooked role for fecal transmission of SARS-CoV-2?. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America

Thielen PM, Wohl S, Mehoke T, Ramakrishnan S, Kirsche M, Falade-Nwulia O, Trovao NS, Erlund A, Howser C, Sadowski N, Morris P, Hopkins M, Schwartz M, Fan Y, Gniazdowski V, Lessler J, Sauer L, Schatz MC, Evans JD, Ray SC, Timp W, Mostafa HH. (2020). Genomic Diversity of SARS-CoV-2 During Early Introduction into the United States National Capital Region. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences

Kucirka LM, Lauer SA, Laeyendecker O, Boon D, Lessler J. (2020). Variation in False-Negative Rate of Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction-Based SARS-CoV-2 Tests by Time Since Exposure. Annals of internal medicine

Salje H, Tran Kiem C, Lefrancq N, Courtejoie N, Bosetti P, Paireau J, Andronico A, Hozé N, Richet J, Dubost CL, Le Strat Y, Lessler J, Lévy-Bruhl D, Fontanet A, Opatowski L, Boelle PY, Cauchemez S. (2020). Estimating the burden of SARS-CoV-2 in France. Science (New York, N.Y.)

Lauer SA, Grantz KH, Bi Q, Jones FK, Zheng Q, Meredith HR, Azman AS, Reich NG, Lessler J. (2020). The Incubation Period of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) From Publicly Reported Confirmed Cases: Estimation and Application. Annals of internal medicine

Hay JA, Minter A, Ainslie KEC, Lessler J, Yang B, Cummings DAT, Kucharski AJ, Riley S. (2020). An open source tool to infer epidemiological and immunological dynamics from serological data: Serosolver. PLoS computational biology, 16(5)

Lauer Stephen A, Grantz Kyra H, Bi Qifang, Jones Forrest K, Zheng Qulu, Meredith Hannah, Azman Andrew S, Reich Nicholas G, Lessler Justin. (2020). The incubation period of 2019-nCoV from publicly reported confirmed cases: estimation and application

Jones FK, Wamala JF, Rumunu J, Mawien PN, Kol MT, Wohl S, Deng L, Pezzoli L, Omar LH, Lessler J, Quilici ML, Luquero FJ, Azman AS. (2020). Successive epidemic waves of cholera in South Sudan between 2014 and 2017: a descriptive epidemiological study. The Lancet. Planetary health, 4(12)

Azman AS, Lauer SA, Bhuiyan TR, Luquero FJ, Leung DT, Hegde ST, Harris JB, Paul KK, Khaton F, Ferdous J, Lessler J, Salje H, Qadri F, Gurley ES. (2020). O1 transmission in Bangladesh: insights from a nationally representative serosurvey. The Lancet. Microbe, 1(8)

Yang B, Lessler J, Zhu H, Jiang CQ, Read JM, Hay JA, Kwok KO, Shen R, Guan Y, Riley S, Cummings DAT. (2020). Life course exposures continually shape antibody profiles and risk of seroconversion to influenza. PLoS pathogens, 16(7)

Bi Qifang, Wu Yongsheng, Mei Shujiang, Ye Chenfei, Zou Xuan, Zhang Zhen, Liu Xiaojian, Wei Lan, Truelove Shaun A, Zhang Tong, Gao Wei, Cheng Cong, Tang Xiujuan, Wu Xiaoliang, Wu Yu, Sun Binbin, Huang Suli, Sun Yu, Zhang Juncen, Ma Ting, Lessler Justin, Feng Teijian. (2020). Epidemiology and Transmission of COVID-19 in Shenzhen China: Analysis of 391 cases and 1,286 of their close contacts. Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press

Azman AS, Moore SM, Lessler J. (2019). Surveillance and the global fight against cholera: Setting priorities and tracking progress. Vaccine

Kaminsky J, Keegan LT, Metcalf CJE, Lessler J. (2019). Perfect counterfactuals for epidemic simulations. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 374(1776)

Truelove SA, Keegan LT, Moss WJ, Chaisson LH, Macher E, Azman AS, Lessler J. (2019). Clinical and Epidemiological Aspects of Diphtheria:A Systematic Review and Pooled Analysis. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America

Borchering RK, Huang AT, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Rojas DP, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Katzelnick LC, Martinez SD, King GD, Cinkovich SC, Lessler J, Cummings DAT. (2019). Impacts of Zika emergence in Latin America on endemic dengue transmission. Nature communications, 10(1)

Wallace M, Sharfstein J, Lessler J. (2020). Performance and Priorities: A Cross-sectional Study of Local Health Department Approaches to Essential Public Health Services. Public health reports (Washington, D.C. : 1974), 135(1)

Bi Q, Goodman KE, Kaminsky J, Lessler J. (2019). What Is Machine Learning: a Primer for the Epidemiologist. American journal of epidemiology

Graham M, Winter AK, Ferrari M, Grenfell B, Moss WJ, Azman AS, Metcalf CJE, Lessler J. (2019). Measles and the canonical path to elimination. Science (New York, N.Y.), 364(6440)

Wallace M, Sharfstein JM, Kaminsky J, Lessler J. (2019). Comparison of US County-Level Public Health Performance Rankings With County Cluster and National Rankings: Assessment Based on Prevalence Rates of Smoking and Obesity and Motor Vehicle Crash Death Rates. JAMA network open, 2(1)

Lee EC, Azman AS, Kaminsky J, Moore SM, McKay HS, Lessler J. (2019). The projected impact of geographic targeting of oral cholera vaccination in sub-Saharan Africa: A modeling study. PLoS medicine, 16(12)

Haw DJ, Cummings DAT, Lessler J, Salje H, Read JM, Riley S. (2019). Differential mobility and local variation in infection attack rate. PLoS computational biology, 15(1)

Shannon K, Hast M, Azman AS, Legros D, McKay H, Lessler J. (2019). Cholera prevention and control in refugee settings: Successes and continued challenges. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 13(6)

Truelove SA, Graham M, Moss WJ, Metcalf CJE, Ferrari MJ, Lessler J. (2019). Characterizing the impact of spatial clustering of susceptibility for measles elimination. Vaccine, 37(5)

Viboud C, Lessler J. (2018). The 1918 Influenza Pandemic: Looking Back, Looking Forward. American journal of epidemiology, 187(12)

Lauer SA, Sakrejda K, Ray EL, Keegan LT, Bi Q, Suangtho P, Hinjoy S, Iamsirithaworn S, Suthachana S, Laosiritaworn Y, Cummings DAT, Lessler J, Reich NG. (2018). Prospective forecasts of annual dengue hemorrhagic fever incidence in Thailand, 2010-2014. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 115(10)

Winter AK, Martinez ME, Cutts FT, Moss WJ, Ferrari MJ, McKee A, Lessler J, Hayford K, Wallinga J, Metcalf CJE. (2018). Benefits and Challenges in Using Seroprevalence Data to Inform Models for Measles and Rubella Elimination. The Journal of infectious diseases, 218(3)

Reich NG, Lessler J, Varma JK, Vora NM. (2018). Quantifying the Risk and Cost of Active Monitoring for Infectious Diseases. Scientific reports, 8(1)

Azman AS, Luquero FJ, Salje H, Mbaïbardoum NN, Adalbert N, Ali M, Bertuzzo E, Finger F, Toure B, Massing LA, Ramazani R, Saga B, Allan M, Olson D, Leglise J, Porten K, Lessler J. (2018). Micro-Hotspots of Risk in Urban Cholera Epidemics. The Journal of infectious diseases, 218(7)

Graham M, Suk JE, Takahashi S, Metcalf CJ, Jimenez AP, Prikazsky V, Ferrari MJ, Lessler J. (2018). Challenges and Opportunities in Disease Forecasting in Outbreak Settings: A Case Study of Measles in Lola Prefecture, Guinea. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 98(5)

Lessler J, Moore SM, Luquero FJ, McKay HS, Grais R, Henkens M, Mengel M, Dunoyer J, M'bangombe M, Lee EC, Djingarey MH, Sudre B, Bompangue D, Fraser RSM, Abubakar A, Perea W, Legros D, Azman AS. (2018). Mapping the burden of cholera in sub-Saharan Africa and implications for control: an analysis of data across geographical scales. Lancet, 391(10133)

Kucharski AJ, Lessler J, Cummings DAT, Riley S. (2018). Timescales of influenza A/H3N2 antibody dynamics. PLoS biology, 16(8)

Salje H, Cummings DAT, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Katzelnick LC, Lessler J, Klungthong C, Thaisomboonsuk B, Nisalak A, Weg A, Ellison D, Macareo L, Yoon IK, Jarman R, Thomas S, Rothman AL, Endy T, Cauchemez S. (2018). Reconstruction of antibody dynamics and infection histories to evaluate dengue risk. Nature, 557(7707)

Halloran ME, Auranen K, Baird S, Basta NE, Bellan SE, Brookmeyer R, Cooper BS, DeGruttola V, Hughes JP, Lessler J, Lofgren ET, Longini IM, Onnela JP, Özler B, Seage GR, Smith TA, Vespignani A, Vynnycky E, Lipsitch M. (2017). Simulations for designing and interpreting intervention trials in infectious diseases. BMC medicine, 15(1)

Takahashi S, Metcalf CJE, Ferrari MJ, Tatem AJ, Lessler J. (2017). The geography of measles vaccination in the African Great Lakes region. Nature communications, (8)

Grabowski MK, Serwadda DM, Gray RH, Nakigozi G, Kigozi G, Kagaayi J, Ssekubugu R, Nalugoda F, Lessler J, Lutalo T, Galiwango RM, Makumbi F, Kong X, Kabatesi D, Alamo ST, Wiersma S, Sewankambo NK, Tobian AAR, Laeyendecker O, Quinn TC, Reynolds SJ, Wawer MJ, Chang LW, . (2017). HIV Prevention Efforts and Incidence of HIV in Uganda. The New England journal of medicine, 377(22)

Salje H, Lessler J, Maljkovic Berry I, Melendrez MC, Endy T, Kalayanarooj S, A-Nuegoonpipat A, Chanama S, Sangkijporn S, Klungthong C, Thaisomboonsuk B, Nisalak A, Gibbons RV, Iamsirithaworn S, Macareo LR, Yoon IK, Sangarsang A, Jarman RG, Cummings DA. (2017). Dengue diversity across spatial and temporal scales: Local structure and the effect of host population size. Science (New York, N.Y.), 355(6331)

Kirsch TD, Moseson H, Massaquoi M, Nyenswah TG, Goodermote R, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Lessler J, Cumings DA, Peters DH. (2017). Impact of interventions and the incidence of ebola virus disease in Liberia-implications for future epidemics. Health policy and planning, 32(2)

Keegan LT, Lessler J, Johansson MA. (2017). Quantifying Zika: Advancing the Epidemiology of Zika With Quantitative Models. The Journal of infectious diseases, 216(suppl_10)

Metcalf CJE, Lessler J. (2017). Opportunities and challenges in modeling emerging infectious diseases. Science (New York, N.Y.), 357(6347)

Moore SM, Azman AS, Zaitchik BF, Mintz ED, Brunkard J, Legros D, Hill A, McKay H, Luquero FJ, Olson D, Lessler J. (2017). El Niño and the shifting geography of cholera in Africa. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 114(17)

Lessler J, Azman AS, McKay HS, Moore SM. (2017). What is a Hotspot Anyway?. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 96(6)

Chang LW, Grabowski MK, Ssekubugu R, Nalugoda F, Kigozi G, Nantume B, Lessler J, Moore SM, Quinn TC, Reynolds SJ, Gray RH, Serwadda D, Wawer MJ. (2016). Heterogeneity of the HIV epidemic in agrarian, trading, and fishing communities in Rakai, Uganda: an observational epidemiological study. The lancet. HIV, 3(8)

Nisalak A, Clapham HE, Kalayanarooj S, Klungthong C, Thaisomboonsuk B, Fernandez S, Reiser J, Srikiatkhachorn A, Macareo LR, Lessler JT, Cummings DA, Yoon IK. (2016). Forty Years of Dengue Surveillance at a Tertiary Pediatric Hospital in Bangkok, Thailand, 1973-2012. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 94(6)

Cauchemez S, Nouvellet P, Cori A, Jombart T, Garske T, Clapham H, Moore S, Mills HL, Salje H, Collins C, Rodriquez-Barraquer I, Riley S, Truelove S, Algarni H, Alhakeem R, AlHarbi K, Turkistani A, Aguas RJ, Cummings DA, Van Kerkhove MD, Donnelly CA, Lessler J, Fraser C, Al-Barrak A, Ferguson NM. (2016). Unraveling the drivers of MERS-CoV transmission. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 113(32)

Lessler J, Cummings DA. (2016). Mechanistic Models of Infectious Disease and Their Impact on Public Health. American journal of epidemiology, 183(5)

Lessler J, Salje H, Grabowski MK, Cummings DA. (2016). Measuring Spatial Dependence for Infectious Disease Epidemiology. PLoS One, 11(5)

Salje H, Cummings DAT, Lessler J. (2016). Estimating infectious disease transmission distances using the overall distribution of cases. Epidemics, (17)

Ferguson NM, Cucunubá ZM, Dorigatti I, Nedjati-Gilani GL, Donnelly CA, Basáñez MG, Nouvellet P, Lessler J. (2016). EPIDEMIOLOGY. Countering the Zika epidemic in Latin America. Science (New York, N.Y.), 353(6297)

Jiang CQ, Lessler J, Kim L, Kwok KO, Read JM, Wang S, Tan L, Hast M, Zhu H, Guan Y, Riley S, Cummings DA. (2017). Cohort Profile: A study of influenza immunity in the urban and rural Guangzhou region of China: the Fluscape Study. International journal of epidemiology, 46(2)

Lessler J, Chaisson LH, Kucirka LM, Bi Q, Grantz K, Salje H, Carcelen AC, Ott CT, Sheffield JS, Ferguson NM, Cummings DA, Metcalf CJ, Rodriguez-Barraquer I. (2016). Assessing the global threat from Zika virus. Science (New York, N.Y.), 353(6300)

Truelove S, Zhu H, Lessler J, Riley S, Read JM, Wang S, Kwok KO, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Cummings DA. (2016). A comparison of hemagglutination inhibition and neutralization assays for characterizing immunity to seasonal influenza A. Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 10(6)

Reich NG, Lessler J, Sakrejda K, Lauer SA, Iamsirithaworn S, Cummings DA. (2016). Case study in evaluating time series prediction models using the relative mean absolute error. The American statistician, 70(3)

Salje H, Lessler J, Paul KK, Azman AS, Rahman MW, Rahman M, Cummings D, Gurley ES, Cauchemez S. (2016). How social structures, space, and behaviors shape the spread of infectious diseases using chikungunya as a case study. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 113(47)

Lessler J, Salje H, Van Kerkhove MD, Ferguson NM, Cauchemez S, Rodriquez-Barraquer I, Hakeem R, Jombart T, Aguas R, Al-Barrak A, Cummings DA, . (2016). Estimating the Severity and Subclinical Burden of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Infection in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. American journal of epidemiology, 183(7)

Grabowski MK, Lessler J. (2017). Phylogenetic insights into age-disparate partnerships and HIV. The lancet. HIV, 4(1)

Lessler J, Azman AS, Grabowski MK, Salje H, Rodriguez-Barraquer I. (2016). Trends in the Mechanistic and Dynamic Modeling of Infectious Diseases. Current epidemiology reports, 3(3)

Lessler J, Ott CT, Carcelen AC, Konikoff JM, Williamson J, Bi Q, Kucirka LM, Cummings DA, Reich NG, Chaisson LH. (2016). Times to key events in Zika virus infection and implications for blood donation: a systematic review. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 94(11)

Bi Q, Azman AS, Satter SM, Khan AI, Ahmed D, Riaj AA, Gurley ES, Lessler J. (2016). Micro-scale Spatial Clustering of Cholera Risk Factors in Urban Bangladesh. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 10(2)

Lessler J, Metcalf CJ, Cutts FT, Grenfell BT. (2016). Impact on Epidemic Measles of Vaccination Campaigns Triggered by Disease Outbreaks or Serosurveys: A Modeling Study. PLoS medicine, 13(10)

Azman AS, Luquero FJ, Ciglenecki I, Grais RF, Sack DA, Lessler J. (2016). Correction: The Impact of a One-Dose versus Two-Dose Oral Cholera Vaccine Regimen in Outbreak Settings: A Modeling Study. PLoS medicine, 13(3)

Reich NG, Lauer SA, Sakrejda K, Iamsirithaworn S, Hinjoy S, Suangtho P, Suthachana S, Clapham HE, Salje H, Cummings DA, Lessler J. (2016). Challenges in Real-Time Prediction of Infectious Disease: A Case Study of Dengue in Thailand. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 10(6)

Wesolowski A, Metcalf CJ, Eagle N, Kombich J, Grenfell BT, Bjørnstad ON, Lessler J, Tatem AJ, Buckee CO. (2015). Quantifying seasonal population fluxes driving rubella transmission dynamics using mobile phone data. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 112(35)

Takahashi S, Metcalf CJ, Ferrari MJ, Moss WJ, Truelove SA, Tatem AJ, Grenfell BT, Lessler J. (2015). Reduced vaccination and the risk of measles and other childhood infections post-Ebola. Science (New York, N.Y.), 347(6227)

Heesterbeek H, Anderson RM, Andreasen V, Bansal S, De Angelis D, Dye C, Eames KT, Edmunds WJ, Frost SD, Funk S, Hollingsworth TD, House T, Isham V, Klepac P, Lessler J, Lloyd-Smith JO, Metcalf CJ, Mollison D, Pellis L, Pulliam JR, Roberts MG, Viboud C, . (2015). Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health. Science (New York, N.Y.), 347(6227)

Truelove SA, Moss WJ, Lessler J. (2015). Mitigating measles outbreaks in West Africa post-Ebola. Expert review of anti-infective therapy, 13(11)

Moore SM, Lessler J. (2015). Optimal allocation of the limited oral cholera vaccine supply between endemic and epidemic settings. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 12(111)

Azman AS, Luquero FJ, Ciglenecki I, Grais RF, Sack DA, Lessler J. (2015). The Impact of a One-Dose versus Two-Dose Oral Cholera Vaccine Regimen in Outbreak Settings: A Modeling Study. PLoS medicine, 12(8)

Kucharski AJ, Lessler J, Read JM, Zhu H, Jiang CQ, Guan Y, Cummings DA, Riley S. (2015). Estimating the life course of influenza A(H3N2) antibody responses from cross-sectional data. PLoS biology, 13(3)

Clapham H, Cummings DA, Nisalak A, Kalayanarooj S, Thaisomboonsuk B, Klungthong C, Fernandez S, Srikiatkhachorn A, Macareo LR, Lessler J, Reiser J, Yoon IK. (2015). Epidemiology of Infant Dengue Cases Illuminates Serotype-Specificity in the Interaction between Immunity and Disease, and Changes in Transmission Dynamics. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 9(12)

Lessler J, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Cummings DA, Garske T, Van Kerkhove M, Mills H, Truelove S, Hakeem R, Albarrak A, Ferguson NM, , . (2014). Estimating Potential Incidence of MERS-CoV Associated with Hajj Pilgrims to Saudi Arabia, 2014. PLoS currents, (6)

Lessler J. (2014). Immunology. Charting the life-course epidemiology of influenza. Science (New York, N.Y.), 346(6212)

Moore SM, Shannon KL, Zelaya CE, Azman AS, Lessler J. (2014). Epidemic risk from cholera introductions into Mexico. PLoS currents, (6)

Rudolph KE, Lessler J, Moloney RM, Kmush B, Cummings DA. (2014). Incubation periods of mosquito-borne viral infections: a systematic review. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 90(5)

Azman AS, Lessler J. (2015). Reactive vaccination in the presence of disease hotspots. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 282(1798)

Kwok KO, Cowling BJ, Wei VW, Wu KM, Read JM, Lessler J, Cummings DA, Peiris JS, Riley S. (2014). Social contacts and the locations in which they occur as risk factors for influenza infection. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 281(1789)

Read JM, Lessler J, Riley S, Wang S, Tan LJ, Kwok KO, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Cummings DA. (2014). Social mixing patterns in rural and urban areas of southern China. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 281(1785)

Grabowski MK, Lessler J, Redd AD, Kagaayi J, Laeyendecker O, Ndyanabo A, Nelson MI, Cummings DA, Bwanika JB, Mueller AC, Reynolds SJ, Munshaw S, Ray SC, Lutalo T, Manucci J, Tobian AA, Chang LW, Beyrer C, Jennings JM, Nalugoda F, Serwadda D, Wawer MJ, Quinn TC, Gray RH, . (2014). The role of viral introductions in sustaining community-based HIV epidemics in rural Uganda: evidence from spatial clustering, phylogenetics, and egocentric transmission models. PLoS medicine, 11(3)

Kucharski AJ, Kwok KO, Wei VW, Cowling BJ, Read JM, Lessler J, Cummings DA, Riley S. (2014). The contribution of social behaviour to the transmission of influenza A in a human population. PLoS pathogens, 10(6)

Rainwater-Lovett K, Chun K, Lessler J. (2014). Influenza outbreak control practices and the effectiveness of interventions in long-term care facilities: a systematic review. Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 8(1)

Kaufman J, Lessler J, Harry A, Edlund S, Hu K, Douglas J, Thoens C, Appel B, Käsbohrer A, Filter M. (2014). A likelihood-based approach to identifying contaminated food products using sales data: performance and challenges. PLoS computational biology, 10(7)

Lee RM, Lessler J, Lee RA, Rudolph KE, Reich NG, Perl TM, Cummings DA. (2013). Incubation periods of viral gastroenteritis: a systematic review. BMC infectious diseases, (13)

Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Buathong R, Iamsirithaworn S, Nisalak A, Lessler J, Jarman RG, Gibbons RV, Cummings DA. (2014). Revisiting Rayong: shifting seroprofiles of dengue in Thailand and their implications for transmission and control. American journal of epidemiology, 179(3)

Reich NG, Shrestha S, King AA, Rohani P, Lessler J, Kalayanarooj S, Yoon IK, Gibbons RV, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2013). Interactions between serotypes of dengue highlight epidemiological impact of cross-immunity. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 10(86)

Lessler J, Metcalf CJ. (2013). Balancing evidence and uncertainty when considering rubella vaccine introduction. PLoS One, 8(7)

Salje H, Lessler J, Endy TP, Curriero FC, Gibbons RV, Nisalak A, Nimmannitya S, Kalayanarooj S, Jarman RG, Thomas SJ, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2012). Revealing the microscale spatial signature of dengue transmission and immunity in an urban population. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 109(24)

Althouse BM, Lessler J, Sall AA, Diallo M, Hanley KA, Watts DM, Weaver SC, Cummings DA. (2012). Synchrony of sylvatic dengue isolations: a multi-host, multi-vector SIR model of dengue virus transmission in Senegal. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 6(11)

Rainwater-Lovett K, Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Cummings DA, Lessler J. (2012). Variation in dengue virus plaque reduction neutralization testing: systematic review and pooled analysis. BMC infectious diseases, (12)

Reich NG, Lessler J, Cummings DA, Brookmeyer R. (2012). Estimating absolute and relative case fatality ratios from infectious disease surveillance data. Biometrics, 68(2)

Lessler J, Riley S, Read JM, Wang S, Zhu H, Smith GJ, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Cummings DA. (2012). Evidence for antigenic seniority in influenza A (H3N2) antibody responses in southern China. PLoS pathogens, 8(7)

Azman AS, Luquero FJ, Rodrigues A, Palma PP, Grais RF, Banga CN, Grenfell BT, Lessler J. (2012). Urban cholera transmission hotspots and their implications for reactive vaccination: evidence from Bissau city, Guinea bissau. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 6(11)

Azman AS, Rudolph KE, Cummings DA, Lessler J. (2013). The incubation period of cholera: a systematic review. The Journal of infection, 66(5)

Lessler J, Metcalf CJ, Grenfell BT. (2012). Measurement of vaccine-derived immunity: how do we use all the data?. Expert review of vaccines, 11(7)

Reich NG, Perl TM, Cummings DA, Lessler J. (2011). Visualizing clinical evidence: citation networks for the incubation periods of respiratory viral infections. PLoS One, 6(4)

Lessler J, Cummings DA, Read JM, Wang S, Zhu H, Smith GJ, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Riley S. (2011). Location-specific patterns of exposure to recent pre-pandemic strains of influenza A in southern China. Nature communications, (2)

Reich NG, Lessler J, Chu H, Cole SR. (2011). Identification of the asymptomatic ratio. Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.), 22(3)

Lessler J, Metcalf CJ, Grais RF, Luquero FJ, Cummings DA, Grenfell BT. (2011). Measuring the performance of vaccination programs using cross-sectional surveys: a likelihood framework and retrospective analysis. PLoS medicine, 8(10)

Lessler J, Brookmeyer R, Reich NG, Nelson KE, Cummings DA, Perl TM. (2010). Identifying the probable timing and setting of respiratory virus infections. Infection control and hospital epidemiology, 31(8)

Lessler J, Dos Santos T, Aguilera X, Brookmeyer R, , Cummings DAT. (2010). H1N1pdm in the Americas. Epidemics, 2(3)

Lessler J, Reich NG, Cummings DA, , Nair HP, Jordan HT, Thompson N. (2009). Outbreak of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) at a New York City school. The New England journal of medicine, 361(27)

Lessler J, Reich NG, Brookmeyer R, Perl TM, Nelson KE, Cummings DA. (2009). Incubation periods of acute respiratory viral infections: a systematic review. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 9(5)

Reich NG, Lessler J, Cummings DA, Brookmeyer R. (2009). Estimating incubation period distributions with coarse data. Statistics in medicine, 28(22)

Lessler J, Kaufman JH, Ford DA, Douglas JV. (2009). The cost of simplifying air travel when modeling disease spread. PLoS One, 4(2)

Cummings DA, Iamsirithaworn S, Lessler JT, McDermott A, Prasanthong R, Nisalak A, Jarman RG, Burke DS, Gibbons RV. (2009). The impact of the demographic transition on dengue in Thailand: insights from a statistical analysis and mathematical modeling. PLoS medicine, 6(9)

Lessler J, Brookmeyer R, Perl TM. (2007). An evaluation of classification rules based on date of symptom onset to identify health-care associated infections. American journal of epidemiology, 166(10)

Lessler J, Cummings DA, Fishman S, Vora A, Burke DS. (2007). Transmissibility of swine flu at Fort Dix, 1976. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 4(15)

If you’d like to update your profile, please email modifications to