National Institutes of Health, National Institute of General Medical Sciences
People: Justin Lessler
2021 – 2025 Continue Reading Merging machine learning and mechanistic models to improve prediction and inference in emerging epidemics
Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation: Global Health
People: Sean Moore, Justin Lessler
2016 – 2019 Continue Reading Enteric and Diarrheal Diseases
National Institutes of Health, National Institute on Aging
People: Justin Lessler
2015 – 2017 Continue Reading Influenza Immunity and Survival in Aging Populations
National Institutes of Health, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases
People: Justin Lessler
2013 – 2019 Continue Reading Methods for Reducing Spatial Uncertainty and Bias in Disease Surveillance
National Institutes of Health, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases
People: Justin Lessler
2011 – 2014 Continue Reading Estimation of Intervention Effects in Influenza Outbreaks
Thompson RN, Bansal S, Clapham H, Dyson L, Gutierrez MA, Hadley L, Hart WS, Heesterbeek H, Hollingsworth TD, House T, Howerton E, Isham V, Lessler J, Leung K, Li X, McBryde E, McCaw JM, Mollison D, Pan-Ngum W, Parag K, Pellis L, Scarabel F, Swallow B, Thumbi SM, Tran-Kiem C, Viboud C, Plank MJ. (2026). Infectious disease outbreak controllability: biological, social and public health factors. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 293(2063)
Lemaitre J, Lessler J. (2026). Generative diffusion models for spatiotemporal influenza forecasting. ArXiv
Hadley L, Ben Miled S, Clapham HE, Djaafara BA, Dyson L, Funk S, Gog JR, Heesterbeek H, Hill EM, Howerton E, Isham V, Kebir A, Keeling M, Kissler SM, Lessler J, Leung K, McBryde E, McCaw JM, Mercado CEG, Mollison D, Thumbi SM, Pan-Ngum W, Pellis L, Pérez-Reche FJ, Plank MJ, Thompson RN, Tran-Kiem C. (2026). How understanding the diversity of perspectives and systems in governments can increase the impact of scientific research. Communications health, 1(1)
Sendor R, Edwards J, Banek K, Kashamuka MM, Lessler J, Espinoza DO, Castillo IN, Vulu F, Mvuama N, Bala JA, Nkalani M, Kihuma G, Atibu J, Nseka T, Thwai KL, Premkumar L, Dinglasan RR, Emch M, Juliano JJ, Collins MH, Tshefu A, Parr JB. (2026). Dengue and chikungunya virus transmission in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of the Congo. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Tran-Kiem C, Perofsky AC, Lessler J, Bedford T. (2026). Characterizing the informativeness of pathogen genome sequence datasets about transmission between population groups. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 293(2067)
Lessler J, Christensen A. (2026). From wastewater analysis to public health action. Science (New York, N.Y.), 392(6799)
Smith CP, Lessler J, Hegde ST, Bhuiyan TR, Islam MT, Ahmmed F, Chowdhury F, Khan AI, LaRocque RC, Charles RC, Weil AA, Calderwood SB, Ryan ET, Harris JB, Azman AS, Qadri F, Wiens KE. (2026). Estimating the Transmission Potential of Symptomatic and Asymptomatic Cholera Cases from Household Microbiological and Clinical Data. The Journal of infectious diseases
Ngomtcho SCH, Akenji BM, Ndip R, Azman AS, Tayimetha YC, Guenou E, Engamba S, Okomo MCA, Lessler J, Wohl S. (2025). Continued T12 transmission and shared antibiotic resistance during 2018-2023 Vibrio cholerae outbreaks in Cameroon. PLOS global public health, 5(2)
Jung SM, Miura F, Murayama H, Funk S, Wallinga J, Lessler J, Endo A. (2025). Preemptive Mpox Vaccine Deployment: Aligning Strategy with Reality. The Journal of infectious diseases
Chen S, García-Carreras B, Hay JA, Zhu H, Jiang CQ, Kwok KO, Riley S, Read J, Lessler J, Cummings DAT, Metcalf CJE. (2025). Sex differences in antibody responses to influenza A/H3N2 across the life course. Research square
Perez-Saez J, Bellon M, Lessler J, Berthelot J, Hodcroft EB, Michielin G, Pennacchio F, Lamour J, Laubscher F, L'Huillier AG, Posfay-Barbe KM, Maerkl SJ, Guessous I, Azman AS, Eckerle I, Stringhini S, Lorthe E, . (2025). Evolving infectious disease dynamics shape school-based intervention effectiveness. Nature communications, 16(1)
Brown Marusiak A, Sickbert-Bennett E, Babcock H, Westreich D, Lessler J, Weber D. (2025). Characterizing presenteeism among healthcare personnel at an academic medical center across eras of the COVID-19 pandemic. Infection control and hospital epidemiology
Powers KA, Lessler J, Cole SR, Cohen MS. (2025). PEPFAR disruptions could cause HIV resurgence. Science (New York, N.Y.), 389(6756)
Perez-Saez J, Bugeme PM, O'Driscoll M, Bugale PK, Mukika TF, Bugwaja L, Shangula SM, Bengehya J, Ngai S, Carrion Martin AI, Jackson J, Mulopo-Mukanya N, Knee J, Eckerle I, Lee EC, Mukadi-Bamuleka D, Lessler J, Azman AS, Malembaka EB. (2025). The Incubation Periods of Mpox Virus Clade Ib. Annals of internal medicine
Perez-Saez J, Zheng Q, Kaminsky J, Zou K, Demby MN, Alam C, Landau D, DePencier R, Langa JPM, Chilengi R, Welo Okitayemba P, Bwire G, Esso L, Ngomba AV, Fouda Mbarga N, Okunga EW, Yennan S, Kapaya F, Ohize SO, Seriki AJ, Hegde ST, Sikder M, Lessler J, Datta A, Azman AS, Lee EC. (2025). Geographical shifting of cholera burden in Africa and its implications for disease control. Nature medicine
Pampati S, Stuart EA, Lessler J, Wiens KE, Waller LA, Lopman B, Guest JL, Kate Grabowski M, Jones J. (2025). Impact of School-Based Infection Prevention Strategies on Household COVID-19 and Respiratory Disease Outcomes: a Cross-Sectional Study. Annals of epidemiology
Jung SM, Jung J, Lessler J. (2025). Evaluating the effect of public health and social measures under rapid changes in population-level immunity against SARS-CoV-2: a mathematical modeling study. Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.)
Loo SL, Jung SM, Contamin L, Howerton E, Bents SJ, Hochheiser H, Runge MC, Smith CP, Carcelén EC, Yan K, Lemaitre JC, Przykucki E, McKee CD, Sato K, Hill AL, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Bay C, Vespignani A, Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Moore SM, Perkins TA, Srivastava A, Al Aawar M, Bi K, Bandekar SR, Bouchnita A, Fox SJ, Meyers LA, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Lewis B, Chen J, Marathe M, Ben-Nun M, Turtle J, Riley P, Shea K, Viboud C, Lessler J, Truelove S. (2025). Scenario Projections of COVID-19 Burden in the US, 2024-2025. JAMA network open, 8(9)
Zivich PN, Edwards JK, Shook-Sa BE, Lofgren ET, Lessler J, Cole SR. (2025). Synthesis estimators for transportability with positivity violations by a continuous covariate. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society), 188(1)
Smith CP, Read JM, Riley S, Cummings D, Kwok KO, Jiang CQ, Lessler J. (2025). First- and second-order social contact network structure in southern China. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 22(232)
Bugeme PM, Bugale PK, Mukika TF, O'Driscoll M, Perez-Saez J, Bugwaja L, Shangula SM, Kasi W, Bengehya J, Ngai S, Martin AIC, Jackson J, Katoto P, Bahizire E, Mulopo-Mukanya N, Lessler J, Knee J, Vetter P, Lee EC, Mukadi-Bamuleka D, Azman AS, Malembaka EB. (2025). Community transmission of mpox clade Ib not driven through sexual exposures, Uvira, eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo, June to October 2024. Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 30(50)
Xiao S, Abade A, Boru W, Kasambara W, Mwaba J, Ongole F, Mmanywa M, Trovão NS, Chilengi R, Kwenda G, Orach CG, Chibwe I, Bwire G, Stine OC, Milstone AM, Lessler J, Azman AS, Luo W, Murt K, Sack DA, Debes AK, Wohl S. (2024). New Vibrio cholerae sequences from Eastern and Southern Africa alter our understanding of regional cholera transmission. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Jung SM, Miura F, Murayama H, Funk S, Wallinga J, Lessler J, Endo A. (2024). Dynamic landscape of mpox importation risks driven by heavy-tailed sexual contact networks among men who have sex with men in 2022. The Journal of infectious diseases
Mathis SM, Webber AE, León TM, Murray EL, Sun M, White LA, Brooks LC, Green A, Hu AJ, Rosenfeld R, Shemetov D, Tibshirani RJ, McDonald DJ, Kandula S, Pei S, Yaari R, Yamana TK, Shaman J, Agarwal P, Balusu S, Gururajan G, Kamarthi H, Prakash BA, Raman R, Zhao Z, Rodríguez A, Meiyappan A, Omar S, Baccam P, Gurung HL, Suchoski BT, Stage SA, Ajelli M, Kummer AG, Litvinova M, Ventura PC, Wadsworth S, Niemi J, Carcelen E, Hill AL, Loo SL, McKee CD, Sato K, Smith C, Truelove S, Jung SM, Lemaitre JC, Lessler J, McAndrew T, Ye W, Bosse N, Hlavacek WS, Lin YT, Mallela A, Gibson GC, Chen Y, Lamm SM, Lee J, Posner RG, Perofsky AC, Viboud C, Clemente L, Lu F, Meyer AG, Santillana M, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Pastore Y Piontti A, Vespignani A, Xiong X, Ben-Nun M, Riley P, Turtle J, Hulme-Lowe C, Jessa S, Nagraj VP, Turner SD, Williams D, Basu A, Drake JM, Fox SJ, Suez E, Cojocaru MG, Thommes EW, Cramer EY, Gerding A, Stark A, Ray EL, Reich NG, Shandross L, Wattanachit N, Wang Y, Zorn MW, Aawar MA, Srivastava A, Meyers LA, Adiga A, Hurt B, Kaur G, Lewis BL, Marathe M, Venkatramanan S, Butler P, Farabow A, Ramakrishnan N, Muralidhar N, Reed C, Biggerstaff M, Borchering RK. (2024). Title evaluation of FluSight influenza forecasting in the 2021-22 and 2022-23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations. Nature communications, 15(1)
Runge MC, Shea K, Howerton E, Yan K, Hochheiser H, Rosenstrom E, Probert WJM, Borchering R, Marathe MV, Lewis B, Venkatramanan S, Truelove S, Lessler J, Viboud C. (2024). Scenario design for infectious disease projections: Integrating concepts from decision analysis and experimental design. Epidemics, (47)
Popoola VO, Kagaayi J, Ssekasanvu J, Ssekubugu R, Kigozi G, Ndyanabo A, Nalugoda F, Chang LW, Lutalo T, Tobian AAR, Kabatesi D, Alamo S, Mills LA, Kigozi G, Wawer MJ, Santelli J, Gray RH, Reynolds SJ, Serwadda D, Lessler J, Grabowski MK. (2024). HIV epidemiologic trends among occupational groups in Rakai, Uganda: A population-based longitudinal study, 1999-2016. PLOS global public health, 4(2)
Malembaka EB, Bugeme PM, Hutchins C, Xu H, Hulse JD, Demby MN, Gallandat K, Saidi JM, Rumedeka BB, Itongwa M, Tshiwedi-Tsilabia E, Kitoga F, Bodisa-Matamu T, Kavunga-Membo H, Bengehya J, Kulondwa JC, Debes AK, Taty N, Lee EC, Lunguya O, Lessler J, Leung DT, Cumming O, Okitayemba PW, Mukadi-Bamuleka D, Knee J, Azman AS. (2024). Effectiveness of one dose of killed oral cholera vaccine in an endemic community in the Democratic Republic of the Congo: a matched case-control study. The Lancet. Infectious diseases
Jung SM, Loo SL, Howerton E, Contamin L, Smith CP, Carcelén EC, Yan K, Bents SJ, Levander J, Espino J, Lemaitre JC, Sato K, McKee CD, Hill AL, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Vespignani A, Rosenstrom ET, Rodriguez-Cartes SA, Ivy JS, Mayorga ME, Swann JL, España G, Cavany S, Moore SM, Perkins TA, Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Srivastava A, Aawar MA, Bi K, Bandekar SR, Bouchnita A, Fox SJ, Meyers LA, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Hurt B, Klahn B, Outten J, Chen J, Mortveit H, Wilson A, Hoops S, Bhattacharya P, Machi D, Vullikanti A, Lewis B, Marathe M, Hochheiser H, Runge MC, Shea K, Truelove S, Viboud C, Lessler J. (2024). Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: Lessons from the US COVID-19 scenario modeling hub. PLoS medicine, 21(4)
Lipsitch M, Bassett MT, Brownstein JS, Elliott P, Eyre D, Grabowski MK, Hay JA, Johansson MA, Kissler SM, Larremore DB, Layden JE, Lessler J, Lynfield R, MacCannell D, Madoff LC, Metcalf CJE, Meyers LA, Ofori SK, Quinn C, Bento AI, Reich NG, Riley S, Rosenfeld R, Samore MH, Sampath R, Slayton RB, Swerdlow DL, Truelove S, Varma JK, Grad YH. (2024). Infectious disease surveillance needs for the United States: lessons from Covid-19. Frontiers in public health, (12)
D'Agostino McGowan L, Wohl S, Lessler J. (2024). Power and sample size calculations for testing the ratio of reproductive values in phylogenetic samples. American journal of epidemiology
Bay C, St-Onge G, Davis JT, Chinazzi M, Howerton E, Lessler J, Runge MC, Shea K, Truelove S, Viboud C, Vespignani A. (2024). Ensemble(2): Scenarios ensembling for communication and performance analysis. Epidemics, (46)
Levintow SN, Remch M, Jones EP, Lessler J, Edwards JK, Brinkley-Rubinstein L, Rice DK, Rosen DL, Powers KA. (2024). Transmission models of respiratory infections in carceral settings: A systematic review. Epidemics, (50)
Lopez VK, Cramer EY, Pagano R, Drake JM, O'Dea EB, Adee M, Ayer T, Chhatwal J, Dalgic OO, Ladd MA, Linas BP, Mueller PP, Xiao J, Bracher J, Castro Rivadeneira AJ, Gerding A, Gneiting T, Huang Y, Jayawardena D, Kanji AH, Le K, Mühlemann A, Niemi J, Ray EL, Stark A, Wang Y, Wattanachit N, Zorn MW, Pei S, Shaman J, Yamana TK, Tarasewicz SR, Wilson DJ, Baccam S, Gurung H, Stage S, Suchoski B, Gao L, Gu Z, Kim M, Li X, Wang G, Wang L, Wang Y, Yu S, Gardner L, Jindal S, Marshall M, Nixon K, Dent J, Hill AL, Kaminsky J, Lee EC, Lemaitre JC, Lessler J, Smith CP, Truelove S, Kinsey M, Mullany LC, Rainwater-Lovett K, Shin L, Tallaksen K, Wilson S, Karlen D, Castro L, Fairchild G, Michaud I, Osthus D, Bian J, Cao W, Gao Z, Lavista Ferres J, Li C, Liu TY, Xie X, Zhang S, Zheng S, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Pastore Y Piontti A, Vespignani A, Xiong X, Walraven R, Chen J, Gu Q, Wang L, Xu P, Zhang W, Zou D, Gibson GC, Sheldon D, Srivastava A, Adiga A, Hurt B, Kaur G, Lewis B, Marathe M, Peddireddy AS, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Wang L, Prasad PV, Walker JW, Webber AE, Slayton RB, Biggerstaff M, Reich NG, Johansson MA. (2024). Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020-2021. PLoS computational biology, 20(5)
Lemaitre JC, Loo SL, Kaminsky J, Lee EC, McKee C, Smith C, Jung SM, Sato K, Carcelen E, Hill A, Lessler J, Truelove S. (2024). flepiMoP: The evolution of a flexible infectious disease modeling pipeline during the COVID-19 pandemic. Epidemics, (47)
Finger F, Lemaitre J, Juin S, Jackson B, Funk S, Lessler J, Mintz E, Dely P, Boncy J, Azman AS. (2024). Inferring the proportion of undetected cholera infections from serological and clinical surveillance in an immunologically naive population. Epidemiology and infection, (152)
Hay JA, Zhu H, Jiang CQ, Kwok KO, Shen R, Kucharski A, Yang B, Read JM, Lessler J, Cummings DAT, Riley S. (2024). Reconstructed influenza A/H3N2 infection histories reveal variation in incidence and antibody dynamics over the life course. PLoS biology, 22(11)
Loo SL, Howerton E, Contamin L, Smith CP, Borchering RK, Mullany LC, Bents S, Carcelen E, Jung SM, Bogich T, van Panhuis WG, Kerr J, Espino J, Yan K, Hochheiser H, Runge MC, Shea K, Lessler J, Viboud C, Truelove S. (2023). The US COVID-19 and Influenza Scenario Modeling Hubs: Delivering long-term projections to guide policy. Epidemics, (46)
Zivich PN, Edwards JK, Lofgren ET, Cole SR, Shook-Sa BE, Lessler J. (2023). Transportability without positivity: a synthesis of statistical and simulation modeling. Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.)
Wohl S, Lee EC, DiPrete BL, Lessler J. (2023). Sample size calculations for pathogen variant surveillance in the presence of biological and systematic biases. Cell reports. Medicine, 4(5)
Howerton E, Contamin L, Mullany LC, Qin M, Reich NG, Bents S, Borchering RK, Jung SM, Loo SL, Smith CP, Levander J, Kerr J, Espino J, van Panhuis WG, Hochheiser H, Galanti M, Yamana T, Pei S, Shaman J, Rainwater-Lovett K, Kinsey M, Tallaksen K, Wilson S, Shin L, Lemaitre JC, Kaminsky J, Hulse JD, Lee EC, McKee CD, Hill A, Karlen D, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Xiong X, Pastore Y Piontti A, Vespignani A, Rosenstrom ET, Ivy JS, Mayorga ME, Swann JL, España G, Cavany S, Moore S, Perkins A, Hladish T, Pillai A, Ben Toh K, Longini I Jr., Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Bouchnita A, Bi K, Lachmann M, Fox SJ, Meyers LA, Srivastava A, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Lewis B, Klahn B, Outten J, Hurt B, Chen J, Mortveit H, Wilson A, Marathe M, Hoops S, Bhattacharya P, Machi D, Cadwell BL, Healy JM, Slayton RB, Johansson MA, Biggerstaff M, Truelove S, Runge MC, Shea K, Viboud C, Lessler J. (2023). Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty. Nature communications, 14(1)
García-Carreras B, Hitchings MDT, Johansson MA, Biggerstaff M, Slayton RB, Healy JM, Lessler J, Quandelacy T, Salje H, Huang AT, Cummings DAT. (2023). Accounting for assay performance when estimating the temporal dynamics in SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in the U.S. Nature communications, 14(1)
Jung SM, Loo SL, Howerton E, Contamin L, Smith CP, Carcelén EC, Yan K, Bents SJ, Levander J, Espino J, Lemaitre JC, Sato K, McKee CD, Hill AL, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Vespignani A, Rosenstrom ET, Rodriguez-Cartes SA, Ivy JS, Mayorga ME, Swann JL, España G, Cavany S, Moore SM, Perkins A, Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Srivastava A, Al Aawar M, Bi K, Bandekar SR, Bouchnita A, Fox SJ, Meyers LA, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Hurt B, Klahn B, Outten J, Chen J, Mortveit H, Wilson A, Hoops S, Bhattacharya P, Machi D, Vullikanti A, Lewis B, Marathe M, Hochheiser H, Runge MC, Shea K, Truelove S, Viboud C, Lessler J. (2023). Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: lessons from the U.S. COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Wiens KE, Xu H, Zou K, Mwaba J, Lessler J, Malembaka EB, Demby MN, Bwire G, Qadri F, Lee EC, Azman AS. (2023). Estimating the proportion of clinically suspected cholera cases that are true Vibrio cholerae infections: A systematic review and meta-analysis. PLoS medicine, 20(9)
Mathis SM, Webber AE, León TM, Murray EL, Sun M, White LA, Brooks LC, Green A, Hu AJ, McDonald DJ, Rosenfeld R, Shemetov D, Tibshirani RJ, Kandula S, Pei S, Shaman J, Yaari R, Yamana TK, Agarwal P, Balusu S, Gururajan G, Kamarthi H, Prakash BA, Raman R, Rodríguez A, Zhao Z, Meiyappan A, Omar S, Baccam P, Gurung HL, Stage SA, Suchoski BT, Ajelli M, Kummer AG, Litvinova M, Ventura PC, Wadsworth S, Niemi J, Carcelen E, Hill AL, Jung SM, Lemaitre JC, Lessler J, Loo SL, McKee CD, Sato K, Smith C, Truelove S, McAndrew T, Ye W, Bosse N, Hlavacek WS, Lin YT, Mallela A, Chen Y, Lamm SM, Lee J, Posner RG, Perofsky AC, Viboud C, Clemente L, Lu F, Meyer AG, Santillana M, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Piontti APY, Vespignani A, Xiong X, Ben-Nun M, Riley P, Turtle J, Hulme-Lowe C, Jessa S, Nagraj VP, Turner SD, Williams D, Basu A, Drake JM, Fox SJ, Gibson GC, Suez E, Thommes EW, Cojocaru MG, Cramer EY, Gerding A, Stark A, Ray EL, Reich NG, Shandross L, Wattanachit N, Wang Y, Zorn MW, Al Aawar M, Srivastava A, Meyers LA, Adiga A, Hurt B, Kaur G, Lewis BL, Marathe M, Venkatramanan S, Butler P, Farabow A, Muralidhar N, Ramakrishnan N, Reed C, Biggerstaff M, Borchering RK. (2023). Evaluation of FluSight influenza forecasting in the 2021-22 and 2022-23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Sikder M, Deshpande A, Hegde ST, Malembaka EB, Gallandat K, Reiner RC, Lessler J, Lee EC, Azman AS. (2023). Water, Sanitation, and Cholera in Sub-Saharan Africa. Environmental science & technology, 57(28)
Howerton E, Contamin L, Mullany LC, Qin M, Reich NG, Bents S, Borchering RK, Jung SM, Loo SL, Smith CP, Levander J, Kerr J, Espino J, van Panhuis WG, Hochheiser H, Galanti M, Yamana T, Pei S, Shaman J, Rainwater-Lovett K, Kinsey M, Tallaksen K, Wilson S, Shin L, Lemaitre JC, Kaminsky J, Hulse JD, Lee EC, McKee C, Hill A, Karlen D, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Xiong X, Piontti APY, Vespignani A, Rosenstrom ET, Ivy JS, Mayorga ME, Swann JL, Espana G, Cavany S, Moore S, Perkins A, Hladish T, Pillai A, Toh KB, Longini I Jr., Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Bouchnita A, Bi K, Lachmann M, Fox S, Meyers LA, , Srivastava A, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Lewis B, Klahn B, Outten J, Hurt B, Chen J, Mortveit H, Wilson A, Marathe M, Hoops S, Bhattacharya P, Machi D, Cadwell BL, Healy JM, Slayton RB, Johansson MA, Biggerstaff M, Truelove S, Runge MC, Shea K, Viboud C, Lessler J. (2023). Informing pandemic response in the face of uncertainty. An evaluation of the U.S. COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Howerton E, Runge MC, Bogich TL, Borchering RK, Inamine H, Lessler J, Mullany LC, Probert WJM, Smith CP, Truelove S, Viboud C, Shea K. (2023). Context-dependent representation of within- and between-model uncertainty: aggregating probabilistic predictions in infectious disease epidemiology. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 20(198)
Borchering RK, Mullany LC, Howerton E, Chinazzi M, Smith CP, Qin M, Reich NG, Contamin L, Levander J, Kerr J, Espino J, Hochheiser H, Lovett K, Kinsey M, Tallaksen K, Wilson S, Shin L, Lemaitre JC, Hulse JD, Kaminsky J, Lee EC, Hill AL, Davis JT, Mu K, Xiong X, Pastore Y Piontti A, Vespignani A, Srivastava A, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Lewis B, Klahn B, Outten J, Hurt B, Chen J, Mortveit H, Wilson A, Marathe M, Hoops S, Bhattacharya P, Machi D, Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Galanti M, Yamana T, Pei S, Shaman J, España G, Cavany S, Moore S, Perkins A, Healy JM, Slayton RB, Johansson MA, Biggerstaff M, Shea K, Truelove SA, Runge MC, Viboud C, Lessler J. (2023). Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5-11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021-March 2022: A multi-model study. Lancet regional health. Americas, (17)
Jones FK, Bhuiyan TR, Muise RE, Khan AI, Slater DM, Hutt Vater KR, Chowdhury F, Kelly M, Xu P, Kováč P, Biswas R, Kamruzzaman M, Ryan ET, Calderwood SB, LaRocque RC, Lessler J, Charles RC, Leung DT, Qadri F, Harris JB, Azman AS. (2022). Identifying Recent Cholera Infections Using a Multiplex Bead Serological Assay. mBio
Truelove S, Smith CP, Qin M, Mullany LC, Borchering RK, Lessler J, Shea K, Howerton E, Contamin L, Levander J, Kerr J, Hochheiser H, Kinsey M, Tallaksen K, Wilson S, Shin L, Rainwater-Lovett K, Lemairtre JC, Dent J, Kaminsky J, Lee EC, Perez-Saez J, Hill A, Karlen D, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Xiong X, Pastore Y Piontti A, Vespignani A, Srivastava A, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Lewis B, Klahn B, Outten J, Orr M, Harrison G, Hurt B, Chen J, Vullikanti A, Marathe M, Hoops S, Bhattacharya P, Machi D, Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Galanti M, Yamana TK, Pei S, Shaman JL, Healy JM, Slayton RB, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Runge MC, Viboud C. (2022). Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July-December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination. eLife, (11)
Wiens KE, Smith CP, Badillo-Goicoechea E, Grantz KH, Grabowski MK, Azman AS, Stuart EA, Lessler J. (2022). In-person schooling and associated COVID-19 risk in the United States over spring semester 2021. Science advances, 8(16)
Perez-Saez J, Lessler J, Lee EC, Luquero FJ, Malembaka EB, Finger F, Langa JP, Yennan S, Zaitchik B, Azman AS. (2022). The seasonality of cholera in sub-Saharan Africa: a statistical modelling study. The Lancet. Global health
Zheng Q, Luquero FJ, Ciglenecki I, Wamala JF, Abubakar A, Welo P, Hussen M, Wossen M, Yennan S, Keita A, Lessler J, Azman AS, Lee EC. (2022). Cholera outbreaks in sub-Saharan Africa during 2010-2019: A Descriptive Analysis. International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases
García-Carreras B, Yang B, Grabowski MK, Sheppard LW, Huang AT, Salje H, Clapham HE, Iamsirithaworn S, Doung-Ngern P, Lessler J, Cummings DAT. (2022). Periodic synchronisation of dengue epidemics in Thailand over the last 5 decades driven by temperature and immunity. PLoS biology, 20(3)
Winter AK, Lambert B, Klein D, Klepac P, Papadopoulos T, Truelove S, Burgess C, Santos H, Knapp JK, Reef SE, Kayembe LK, Shendale S, Kretsinger K, Lessler J, Vynnycky E, McCarthy K, Ferrari M, Jit M. (2022). Feasibility of measles and rubella vaccination programmes for disease elimination: a modelling study. The Lancet. Global health, 10(10)
Reich NG, Lessler J, Funk S, Viboud C, Vespignani A, Tibshirani RJ, Shea K, Schienle M, Runge MC, Rosenfeld R, Ray EL, Niehus R, Johnson HC, Johansson MA, Hochheiser H, Gardner L, Bracher J, Borchering RK, Biggerstaff M. (2022). Collaborative Hubs: Making the Most of Predictive Epidemic Modeling. American journal of public health
Cramer EY, Ray EL, Lopez VK, Bracher J, Brennen A, Castro Rivadeneira AJ, Gerding A, Gneiting T, House KH, Huang Y, Jayawardena D, Kanji AH, Khandelwal A, Le K, Mühlemann A, Niemi J, Shah A, Stark A, Wang Y, Wattanachit N, Zorn MW, Gu Y, Jain S, Bannur N, Deva A, Kulkarni M, Merugu S, Raval A, Shingi S, Tiwari A, White J, Abernethy NF, Woody S, Dahan M, Fox S, Gaither K, Lachmann M, Meyers LA, Scott JG, Tec M, Srivastava A, George GE, Cegan JC, Dettwiller ID, England WP, Farthing MW, Hunter RH, Lafferty B, Linkov I, Mayo ML, Parno MD, Rowland MA, Trump BD, Zhang-James Y, Chen S, Faraone SV, Hess J, Morley CP, Salekin A, Wang D, Corsetti SM, Baer TM, Eisenberg MC, Falb K, Huang Y, Martin ET, McCauley E, Myers RL, Schwarz T, Sheldon D, Gibson GC, Yu R, Gao L, Ma Y, Wu D, Yan X, Jin X, Wang YX, Chen Y, Guo L, Zhao Y, Gu Q, Chen J, Wang L, Xu P, Zhang W, Zou D, Biegel H, Lega J, McConnell S, Nagraj VP, Guertin SL, Hulme-Lowe C, Turner SD, Shi Y, Ban X, Walraven R, Hong QJ, Kong S, van de Walle A, Turtle JA, Ben-Nun M, Riley S, Riley P, Koyluoglu U, DesRoches D, Forli P, Hamory B, Kyriakides C, Leis H, Milliken J, Moloney M, Morgan J, Nirgudkar N, Ozcan G, Piwonka N, Ravi M, Schrader C, Shakhnovich E, Siegel D, Spatz R, Stiefeling C, Wilkinson B, Wong A, Cavany S, España G, Moore S, Oidtman R, Perkins A, Kraus D, Kraus A, Gao Z, Bian J, Cao W, Lavista Ferres J, Li C, Liu TY, Xie X, Zhang S, Zheng S, Vespignani A, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Pastore Y Piontti A, Xiong X, Zheng A, Baek J, Farias V, Georgescu A, Levi R, Sinha D, Wilde J, Perakis G, Bennouna MA, Nze-Ndong D, Singhvi D, Spantidakis I, Thayaparan L, Tsiourvas A, Sarker A, Jadbabaie A, Shah D, Della Penna N, Celi LA, Sundar S, Wolfinger R, Osthus D, Castro L, Fairchild G, Michaud I, Karlen D, Kinsey M, Mullany LC, Rainwater-Lovett K, Shin L, Tallaksen K, Wilson S, Lee EC, Dent J, Grantz KH, Hill AL, Kaminsky J, Kaminsky K, Keegan LT, Lauer SA, Lemaitre JC, Lessler J, Meredith HR, Perez-Saez J, Shah S, Smith CP, Truelove SA, Wills J, Marshall M, Gardner L, Nixon K, Burant JC, Wang L, Gao L, Gu Z, Kim M, Li X, Wang G, Wang Y, Yu S, Reiner RC, Barber R, Gakidou E, Hay SI, Lim S, Murray C, Pigott D, Gurung HL, Baccam P, Stage SA, Suchoski BT, Prakash BA, Adhikari B, Cui J, Rodríguez A, Tabassum A, Xie J, Keskinocak P, Asplund J, Baxter A, Oruc BE, Serban N, Arik SO, Dusenberry M, Epshteyn A, Kanal E, Le LT, Li CL, Pfister T, Sava D, Sinha R, Tsai T, Yoder N, Yoon J, Zhang L, Abbott S, Bosse NI, Funk S, Hellewell J, Meakin SR, Sherratt K, Zhou M, Kalantari R, Yamana TK, Pei S, Shaman J, Li ML, Bertsimas D, Skali Lami O, Soni S, Tazi Bouardi H, Ayer T, Adee M, Chhatwal J, Dalgic OO, Ladd MA, Linas BP, Mueller P, Xiao J, Wang Y, Wang Q, Xie S, Zeng D, Green A, Bien J, Brooks L, Hu AJ, Jahja M, McDonald D, Narasimhan B, Politsch C, Rajanala S, Rumack A, Simon N, Tibshirani RJ, Tibshirani R, Ventura V, Wasserman L, O'Dea EB, Drake JM, Pagano R, Tran QT, Ho LST, Huynh H, Walker JW, Slayton RB, Johansson MA, Biggerstaff M, Reich NG. (2022). Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 119(15)
Quandelacy TM, Hitchings MDT, Lessler J, Read JM, Vukotich C, Azman AS, Salje H, Zimmer S, Gao H, Zheteyeva Y, Uzicanin A, Cummings DAT. (2022). Household transmission dynamics of seasonal human coronaviruses. The Journal of infectious diseases
Perez-Saez J, Lee EC, Wada NI, Alqunaibet AM, Almudarra SS, Alsukait RF, Dong D, Zhang Y, El Saharty S, Herbst CH, Lessler J. (2022). Effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions in the early phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in Saudi Arabia. PLOS global public health, 2(5)
Kostandova N, Drabo EF, Yenokyan K, Wesolowski A, Truelove S, Bloch EM, Tobian AAR, Vassallo RR, Bravo MD, Casadevall A, Lessler J, Lau B. (2022). Comparison of allocation strategies of convalescent plasma to reduce excess infections and mortality from SARS-CoV-2 in a US-like population. Transfusion
Rice BL, Lessler J, McKee C, Metcalf CJE. (2022). Why do some coronaviruses become pandemic threats when others do not?. PLoS biology, 20(5)
Yang B, García-Carreras B, Lessler J, Read JM, Zhu H, Metcalf CJE, Hay JA, Kwok KO, Shen R, Jiang CQ, Guan Y, Riley S, Cummings DA. (2022). Long term intrinsic cycling in human life course antibody responses to influenza A(H3N2): an observational and modeling study. eLife, (11)
Wohl S, Giles JR, Lessler J. (2021). Sample size calculation for phylogenetic case linkage. PLoS computational biology, 17(7)
Keegan LT, Truelove S, Lessler J. (2021). Analysis of Vaccine Effectiveness Against COVID-19 and the Emergence of Delta and Other Variants of Concern in Utah. JAMA network open, 4(12)
Grantz KH, Lee EC, D'Agostino McGowan L, Lee KH, Metcalf CJE, Gurley ES, Lessler J. (2021). Maximizing and evaluating the impact of test-trace-isolate programs: A modeling study. PLoS medicine, 18(4)
Li X, Mukandavire C, Cucunubá ZM, Echeverria Londono S, Abbas K, Clapham HE, Jit M, Johnson HL, Papadopoulos T, Vynnycky E, Brisson M, Carter ED, Clark A, de Villiers MJ, Eilertson K, Ferrari MJ, Gamkrelidze I, Gaythorpe KAM, Grassly NC, Hallett TB, Hinsley W, Jackson ML, Jean K, Karachaliou A, Klepac P, Lessler J, Li X, Moore SM, Nayagam S, Nguyen DM, Razavi H, Razavi-Shearer D, Resch S, Sanderson C, Sweet S, Sy S, Tam Y, Tanvir H, Tran QM, Trotter CL, Truelove S, van Zandvoort K, Verguet S, Walker N, Winter A, Woodruff K, Ferguson NM, Garske T, . (2021). Estimating the health impact of vaccination against ten pathogens in 98 low-income and middle-income countries from 2000 to 2030: a modelling study. Lancet, 397(10272)
Lessler J, Grabowski MK, Grantz KH, Badillo-Goicoechea E, Metcalf CJE, Lupton-Smith C, Azman AS, Stuart EA. (2021). Household COVID-19 risk and in-person schooling. Science (New York, N.Y.)
Hegde ST, Lee EC, Khan AI, Lauer SA, Islam MT, Bhuiyan TR, Lessler J, Azman AS, Qadri F, Gurley ES. (2021). Clinical cholera surveillance sensitivity in Bangladesh and implications for large-scale disease control. The Journal of infectious diseases
Ackley SF, Lessler J, Glymour MM. (2021). Dynamical Modeling as a Tool for Inferring Causation. American journal of epidemiology
Glennon EE, Bruijning M, Lessler J, Miller IF, Rice BL, Thompson RN, Wells K, Metcalf CJE. (2021). Challenges in modeling the emergence of novel pathogens. Epidemics, (37)
Thielen PM, Wohl S, Mehoke T, Ramakrishnan S, Kirsche M, Falade-Nwulia O, Trovão NS, Ernlund A, Howser C, Sadowski N, Morris CP, Hopkins M, Schwartz M, Fan Y, Gniazdowski V, Lessler J, Sauer L, Schatz MC, Evans JD, Ray SC, Timp W, Mostafa HH. (2021). Genomic diversity of SARS-CoV-2 during early introduction into the Baltimore-Washington metropolitan area. JCI insight, 6(6)
Zhang Z, Bi Q, Fang S, Wei L, Wang X, He J, Wu Y, Liu X, Gao W, Zhang R, Gong W, Su Q, Azman AS, Lessler J, Zou X. (2021). Insight into the practical performance of RT-PCR testing for SARS-CoV-2 using serological data: a cohort study. The Lancet. Microbe
Ekeng E, Tchatchouang S, Akenji B, Issaka BB, Akintayo I, Chukwu C, Dano ID, Melingui S, Ousmane S, Popoola MO, Nzouankeu A, Boum Y, Luquero F, Ahumibe A, Naidoo D, Azman A, Lessler J, Wohl S. (2021). Regional sequencing collaboration reveals persistence of the T12 Vibrio cholerae O1 lineage in West Africa. eLife, (10)
Borchering RK, Viboud C, Howerton E, Smith CP, Truelove S, Runge MC, Reich NG, Contamin L, Levander J, Salerno J, van Panhuis W, Kinsey M, Tallaksen K, Obrecht RF, Asher L, Costello C, Kelbaugh M, Wilson S, Shin L, Gallagher ME, Mullany LC, Rainwater-Lovett K, Lemaitre JC, Dent J, Grantz KH, Kaminsky J, Lauer SA, Lee EC, Meredith HR, Perez-Saez J, Keegan LT, Karlen D, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Xiong X, Pastore Y Piontti A, Vespignani A, Srivastava A, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Lewis B, Klahn B, Outten J, Schlitt J, Corbett P, Telionis PA, Wang L, Peddireddy AS, Hurt B, Chen J, Vullikanti A, Marathe M, Healy JM, Slayton RB, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Shea K, Lessler J. (2021). Modeling of Future COVID-19 Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths, by Vaccination Rates and Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Scenarios - United States, April-September 2021. MMWR. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, 70(19)
Bi Q, Lessler J, Eckerle I, Lauer SA, Kaiser L, Vuilleumier N, Cummings DAT, Flahault A, Petrovic D, Guessous I, Stringhini S, Azman AS, . (2021). Insights into household transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from a population-based serological survey. Nature communications, 12(1)
Toor J, Echeverria-Londono S, Li X, Abbas K, Carter ED, Clapham HE, Clark A, de Villiers MJ, Eilertson K, Ferrari M, Gamkrelidze I, Hallett TB, Hinsley WR, Hogan D, Huber JH, Jackson ML, Jean K, Jit M, Karachaliou A, Klepac P, Kraay A, Lessler J, Li X, Lopman BA, Mengistu T, Metcalf CJE, Moore SM, Nayagam S, Papadopoulos T, Perkins TA, Portnoy A, Razavi H, Razavi-Shearer D, Resch S, Sanderson C, Sweet S, Tam Y, Tanvir H, Tran Minh Q, Trotter CL, Truelove SA, Vynnycky E, Walker N, Winter A, Woodruff K, Ferguson NM, Gaythorpe KA. (2021). Lives saved with vaccination for 10 pathogens across 112 countries in a pre-COVID-19 world. eLife, (10)
Wiens KE, Mawien PN, Rumunu J, Slater D, Jones FK, Moheed S, Caflish A, Bior BK, Jacob IA, Lako RLL, Guyo AG, Olu OO, Maleghemi S, Baguma A, Hassen JJ, Baya SK, Deng L, Lessler J, Demby MN, Sanchez V, Mills R, Fraser C, Charles RC, Harris JB, Azman AS, Wamala JF. (2021). Seroprevalence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies in Juba, South Sudan: a population-based study. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Yang B, Huang AT, Garcia-Carreras B, Hart WE, Staid A, Hitchings MDT, Lee EC, Howe CJ, Grantz KH, Wesolowksi A, Lemaitre JC, Rattigan S, Moreno C, Borgert BA, Dale C, Quigley N, Cummings A, McLorg A, LoMonaco K, Schlossberg S, Barron-Kraus D, Shrock H, , Lessler J, Laird CD, Cummings DAT. (2021). Effect of specific non-pharmaceutical intervention policies on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the counties of the United States. Nature communications, 12(1)
Lemaitre JC, Grantz KH, Kaminsky J, Meredith HR, Truelove SA, Lauer SA, Keegan LT, Shah S, Wills J, Kaminsky K, Perez-Saez J, Lessler J, Lee EC. (2021). A scenario modeling pipeline for COVID-19 emergency planning. Scientific reports, 11(1)
Quandelacy TM, Zimmer S, Lessler J, Vukotich C, Bieltz R, Grantz KH, Galloway D, Read JM, Zheteyeva Y, Gao H, Uzicanin A, Cummings DAT. (2021). Predicting virologically confirmed influenza using school absences in Allegheny County, Pennsylvania, USA during the 2007-2015 influenza seasons. Influenza and other respiratory viruses
Joshi K, Lessler J, Olawore O, Loevinsohn G, Bushey S, Tobian AAR, Grabowski MK. (2021). Declining HIV incidence in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis of empiric data. Journal of the International AIDS Society, 24(10)
Jones FK, Wamala JF, Rumunu J, Mawien PN, Kol MT, Wohl S, Deng L, Pezzoli L, Omar LH, Lessler J, Quilici ML, Luquero FJ, Azman AS. (2020). Successive epidemic waves of cholera in South Sudan between 2014 and 2017: a descriptive epidemiological study. The Lancet. Planetary health, 4(12)
Azman AS, Lauer SA, Bhuiyan TR, Luquero FJ, Leung DT, Hegde ST, Harris JB, Paul KK, Khaton F, Ferdous J, Lessler J, Salje H, Qadri F, Gurley ES. (2020). O1 transmission in Bangladesh: insights from a nationally representative serosurvey. The Lancet. Microbe, 1(8)
Yang B, Lessler J, Zhu H, Jiang CQ, Read JM, Hay JA, Kwok KO, Shen R, Guan Y, Riley S, Cummings DAT. (2020). Life course exposures continually shape antibody profiles and risk of seroconversion to influenza. PLoS pathogens, 16(7)
Fox MP, D'Agostino McGowan L, James BD, Lessler J, Mehta SH, Murray EJ. (2020). Concerns About the Special Article on Hydroxychloroquine and Azithromycin in High Risk Outpatients with COVID-19 by Dr. Harvey Risch. American journal of epidemiology
Quandelacy TM, Cummings DAT, Jiang CQ, Yang B, Kwok KO, Dai B, Shen R, Read JM, Zhu H, Guan Y, Riley S, Lessler J. (2020). Using serological measures to estimate influenza incidence in the presence of secular trends in exposure and immuno-modulation of antibody response. Influenza and other respiratory viruses
Lee EC, Chao DL, Lemaitre JC, Matrajt L, Pasetto D, Perez-Saez J, Finger F, Rinaldo A, Sugimoto JD, Halloran ME, Longini IM Jr., Ternier R, Vissieres K, Azman AS, Lessler J, Ivers LC. (2020). Achieving coordinated national immunity and cholera elimination in Haiti through vaccination: a modelling study. The Lancet. Global health, 8(8)
Bi Q, Wu Y, Mei S, Ye C, Zou X, Zhang Z, Liu X, Wei L, Truelove SA, Zhang T, Gao W, Cheng C, Tang X, Wu X, Wu Y, Sun B, Huang S, Sun Y, Zhang J, Ma T, Lessler J, Feng T. (2020). Epidemiology and transmission of COVID-19 in 391 cases and 1286 of their close contacts in Shenzhen, China: a retrospective cohort study. The Lancet. Infectious diseases
Lee EC, Wada NI, Grabowski MK, Gurley ES, Lessler J. (2020). The engines of SARS-CoV-2 spread. Science (New York, N.Y.), 370(6515)
Edwards JK, Lessler J. (2020). What Now? Epidemiology in the Wake of a Pandemic. American journal of epidemiology
Lee EC, Ternier R, Lessler J, Azman AS, Ivers LC, . (2020). Cholera in Haiti - Authors' reply. The Lancet. Global health, 8(12)
Kucirka LM, Lauer SA, Laeyendecker O, Boon D, Lessler J. (2020). Variation in False-Negative Rate of Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction-Based SARS-CoV-2 Tests by Time Since Exposure. Annals of internal medicine, 173(4)
Kate Grabowski M, Lessler J, Bazaale J, Nabukalu D, Nankinga J, Nantume B, Ssekasanvu J, Reynolds SJ, Ssekubugu R, Nalugoda F, Kigozi G, Kagaayi J, Santelli JS, Kennedy C, Wawer MJ, Serwadda D, Chang LW, Gray RH. (2020). Migration, hotspots, and dispersal of HIV infection in Rakai, Uganda. Nature communications, 11(1)
Ratmann O, Kagaayi J, Hall M, Golubchick T, Kigozi G, Xi X, Wymant C, Nakigozi G, Abeler-Dörner L, Bonsall D, Gall A, Hoppe A, Kellam P, Bazaale J, Kalibbala S, Laeyendecker O, Lessler J, Nalugoda F, Chang LW, de Oliveira T, Pillay D, Quinn TC, Reynolds SJ, Spencer SEF, Ssekubugu R, Serwadda D, Wawer MJ, Gray RH, Fraser C, Grabowski MK, . (2020). Quantifying HIV transmission flow between high-prevalence hotspots and surrounding communities: a population-based study in Rakai, Uganda. The lancet. HIV, 7(3)
Huang AT, Garcia-Carreras B, Hitchings MDT, Yang B, Katzelnick LC, Rattigan SM, Borgert BA, Moreno CA, Solomon BD, Trimmer-Smith L, Etienne V, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Lessler J, Salje H, Burke DS, Wesolowski A, Cummings DAT. (2020). A systematic review of antibody mediated immunity to coronaviruses: kinetics, correlates of protection, and association with severity. Nature communications, 11(1)
Huang AT, Garcia-Carreras B, Hitchings MDT, Yang B, Katzelnick LC, Rattigan SM, Borgert BA, Moreno CA, Solomon BD, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Lessler J, Salje H, Burke D, Wesolowski A, Cummings DAT. (2020). A systematic review of antibody mediated immunity to coronaviruses: antibody kinetics, correlates of protection, and association of antibody responses with severity of disease. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Lessler J. (2020). An overlooked role for fecal transmission of SARS-CoV-2?. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America
Thielen PM, Wohl S, Mehoke T, Ramakrishnan S, Kirsche M, Falade-Nwulia O, Trovao NS, Erlund A, Howser C, Sadowski N, Morris P, Hopkins M, Schwartz M, Fan Y, Gniazdowski V, Lessler J, Sauer L, Schatz MC, Evans JD, Ray SC, Timp W, Mostafa HH. (2020). Genomic Diversity of SARS-CoV-2 During Early Introduction into the United States National Capital Region. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Salje H, Tran Kiem C, Lefrancq N, Courtejoie N, Bosetti P, Paireau J, Andronico A, Hozé N, Richet J, Dubost CL, Le Strat Y, Lessler J, Lévy-Bruhl D, Fontanet A, Opatowski L, Boelle PY, Cauchemez S. (2020). Estimating the burden of SARS-CoV-2 in France. Science (New York, N.Y.)
Lauer SA, Grantz KH, Bi Q, Jones FK, Zheng Q, Meredith HR, Azman AS, Reich NG, Lessler J. (2020). The Incubation Period of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) From Publicly Reported Confirmed Cases: Estimation and Application. Annals of internal medicine
Cummings DAT, Radonovich LJ, Gorse GJ, Gaydos CA, Bessesen MT, Brown AC, Gibert CL, Hitchings MDT, Lessler J, Nyquist AC, Rattigan SM, Rodriguez-Barradas MC, Price CS, Reich NG, Simberkoff MS, Perl TM. (2020). Risk Factors for Healthcare Personnel Infection with Endemic Coronaviruses (HKU1, OC43, NL63, 229E): Results from the Respiratory Protection Effectiveness Clinical Trial (ResPECT). Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America
Hay JA, Minter A, Ainslie KEC, Lessler J, Yang B, Cummings DAT, Kucharski AJ, Riley S. (2020). An open source tool to infer epidemiological and immunological dynamics from serological data: Serosolver. PLoS computational biology, 16(5)
Bi Qifang, Wu Yongsheng, Mei Shujiang, Ye Chenfei, Zou Xuan, Zhang Zhen, Liu Xiaojian, Wei Lan, Truelove Shaun A, Zhang Tong, Gao Wei, Cheng Cong, Tang Xiujuan, Wu Xiaoliang, Wu Yu, Sun Binbin, Huang Suli, Sun Yu, Zhang Juncen, Ma Ting, Lessler Justin, Feng Teijian. (2020). Epidemiology and Transmission of COVID-19 in Shenzhen China: Analysis of 391 cases and 1,286 of their close contacts. Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press
Lauer Stephen A, Grantz Kyra H, Bi Qifang, Jones Forrest K, Zheng Qulu, Meredith Hannah, Azman Andrew S, Reich Nicholas G, Lessler Justin. (2019). The incubation period of 2019-nCoV from publicly reported confirmed cases: estimation and application
Shannon K, Hast M, Azman AS, Legros D, McKay H, Lessler J. (2019). Cholera prevention and control in refugee settings: Successes and continued challenges. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 13(6)
Lee EC, Azman AS, Kaminsky J, Moore SM, McKay HS, Lessler J. (2019). The projected impact of geographic targeting of oral cholera vaccination in sub-Saharan Africa: A modeling study. PLoS medicine, 16(12)
Azman AS, Moore SM, Lessler J. (2019). Surveillance and the global fight against cholera: Setting priorities and tracking progress. Vaccine
Kaminsky J, Keegan LT, Metcalf CJE, Lessler J. (2019). Perfect counterfactuals for epidemic simulations. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 374(1776)
Truelove SA, Keegan LT, Moss WJ, Chaisson LH, Macher E, Azman AS, Lessler J. (2019). Clinical and Epidemiological Aspects of Diphtheria:A Systematic Review and Pooled Analysis. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America
Borchering RK, Huang AT, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Rojas DP, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Katzelnick LC, Martinez SD, King GD, Cinkovich SC, Lessler J, Cummings DAT. (2019). Impacts of Zika emergence in Latin America on endemic dengue transmission. Nature communications, 10(1)
Wallace M, Sharfstein J, Lessler J. (2019). Performance and Priorities: A Cross-sectional Study of Local Health Department Approaches to Essential Public Health Services. Public health reports (Washington, D.C. : 1974), 135(1)
Johansson MA, Apfeldorf KM, Dobson S, Devita J, Buczak AL, Baugher B, Moniz LJ, Bagley T, Babin SM, Guven E, Yamana TK, Shaman J, Moschou T, Lothian N, Lane A, Osborne G, Jiang G, Brooks LC, Farrow DC, Hyun S, Tibshirani RJ, Rosenfeld R, Lessler J, Reich NG, Cummings DAT, Lauer SA, Moore SM, Clapham HE, Lowe R, Bailey TC, García-Díez M, Carvalho MS, Rodó X, Sardar T, Paul R, Ray EL, Sakrejda K, Brown AC, Meng X, Osoba O, Vardavas R, Manheim D, Moore M, Rao DM, Porco TC, Ackley S, Liu F, Worden L, Convertino M, Liu Y, Reddy A, Ortiz E, Rivero J, Brito H, Juarrero A, Johnson LR, Gramacy RB, Cohen JM, Mordecai EA, Murdock CC, Rohr JR, Ryan SJ, Stewart-Ibarra AM, Weikel DP, Jutla A, Khan R, Poultney M, Colwell RR, Rivera-García B, Barker CM, Bell JE, Biggerstaff M, Swerdlow D, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Forshey BM, Trtanj J, Asher J, Clay M, Margolis HS, Hebbeler AM, George D, Chretien JP. (2019). An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 116(48)
Bi Q, Goodman KE, Kaminsky J, Lessler J. (2019). What Is Machine Learning: a Primer for the Epidemiologist. American journal of epidemiology
Graham M, Winter AK, Ferrari M, Grenfell B, Moss WJ, Azman AS, Metcalf CJE, Lessler J. (2019). Measles and the canonical path to elimination. Science (New York, N.Y.), 364(6440)
Utazi CE, Thorley J, Alegana VA, Ferrari MJ, Takahashi S, Metcalf CJE, Lessler J, Cutts FT, Tatem AJ. (2019). Mapping vaccination coverage to explore the effects of delivery mechanisms and inform vaccination strategies. Nature communications, 10(1)
Lessler J, Orenstein WA. (2019). The Many Faces of Emerging and Re-emerging Infectious Disease. Epidemiologic reviews
Wallace M, Sharfstein JM, Kaminsky J, Lessler J. (2019). Comparison of US County-Level Public Health Performance Rankings With County Cluster and National Rankings: Assessment Based on Prevalence Rates of Smoking and Obesity and Motor Vehicle Crash Death Rates. JAMA network open, 2(1)
Kucharski AJ, Lessler J, Cummings DAT, Riley S. (2018). Timescales of influenza A/H3N2 antibody dynamics. PLoS biology, 16(8)
M'bangombe M, Pezzoli L, Reeder B, Kabuluzi S, Msyamboza K, Masuku H, Ngwira B, Cavailler P, Grandesso F, Palomares A, Beck N, Shaffer A, MacDonald E, Senbete M, Lessler J, Moore SM, Azman AS. (2018). Oral cholera vaccine in cholera prevention and control, Malawi. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 96(6)
Haw DJ, Cummings DAT, Lessler J, Salje H, Read JM, Riley S. (2018). Differential mobility and local variation in infection attack rate. PLoS computational biology, 15(1)
Salje H, Cummings DAT, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Katzelnick LC, Lessler J, Klungthong C, Thaisomboonsuk B, Nisalak A, Weg A, Ellison D, Macareo L, Yoon IK, Jarman R, Thomas S, Rothman AL, Endy T, Cauchemez S. (2018). Reconstruction of antibody dynamics and infection histories to evaluate dengue risk. Nature, 557(7707)
Truelove SA, Graham M, Moss WJ, Metcalf CJE, Ferrari MJ, Lessler J. (2019). Characterizing the impact of spatial clustering of susceptibility for measles elimination. Vaccine, 37(5)
Viboud C, Lessler J. (2018). The 1918 Influenza Pandemic: Looking Back, Looking Forward. American journal of epidemiology, 187(12)
Lauer SA, Sakrejda K, Ray EL, Keegan LT, Bi Q, Suangtho P, Hinjoy S, Iamsirithaworn S, Suthachana S, Laosiritaworn Y, Cummings DAT, Lessler J, Reich NG. (2018). Prospective forecasts of annual dengue hemorrhagic fever incidence in Thailand, 2010-2014. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 115(10)
Winter AK, Martinez ME, Cutts FT, Moss WJ, Ferrari MJ, McKee A, Lessler J, Hayford K, Wallinga J, Metcalf CJE. (2018). Benefits and Challenges in Using Seroprevalence Data to Inform Models for Measles and Rubella Elimination. The Journal of infectious diseases, 218(3)
Reich NG, Lessler J, Varma JK, Vora NM. (2018). Quantifying the Risk and Cost of Active Monitoring for Infectious Diseases. Scientific reports, 8(1)
Azman AS, Luquero FJ, Salje H, Mbaïbardoum NN, Adalbert N, Ali M, Bertuzzo E, Finger F, Toure B, Massing LA, Ramazani R, Saga B, Allan M, Olson D, Leglise J, Porten K, Lessler J. (2018). Micro-Hotspots of Risk in Urban Cholera Epidemics. The Journal of infectious diseases, 218(7)
Graham M, Suk JE, Takahashi S, Metcalf CJ, Jimenez AP, Prikazsky V, Ferrari MJ, Lessler J. (2018). Challenges and Opportunities in Disease Forecasting in Outbreak Settings: A Case Study of Measles in Lola Prefecture, Guinea. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 98(5)
Lessler J, Moore SM, Luquero FJ, McKay HS, Grais R, Henkens M, Mengel M, Dunoyer J, M'bangombe M, Lee EC, Djingarey MH, Sudre B, Bompangue D, Fraser RSM, Abubakar A, Perea W, Legros D, Azman AS. (2018). Mapping the burden of cholera in sub-Saharan Africa and implications for control: an analysis of data across geographical scales. Lancet, 391(10133)
Lessler J, Azman AS, McKay HS, Moore SM. (2017). What is a Hotspot Anyway?. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 96(6)
Halloran ME, Auranen K, Baird S, Basta NE, Bellan SE, Brookmeyer R, Cooper BS, DeGruttola V, Hughes JP, Lessler J, Lofgren ET, Longini IM, Onnela JP, Özler B, Seage GR, Smith TA, Vespignani A, Vynnycky E, Lipsitch M. (2017). Simulations for designing and interpreting intervention trials in infectious diseases. BMC medicine, 15(1)
Takahashi S, Metcalf CJE, Ferrari MJ, Tatem AJ, Lessler J. (2017). The geography of measles vaccination in the African Great Lakes region. Nature communications, (8)
Grabowski MK, Serwadda DM, Gray RH, Nakigozi G, Kigozi G, Kagaayi J, Ssekubugu R, Nalugoda F, Lessler J, Lutalo T, Galiwango RM, Makumbi F, Kong X, Kabatesi D, Alamo ST, Wiersma S, Sewankambo NK, Tobian AAR, Laeyendecker O, Quinn TC, Reynolds SJ, Wawer MJ, Chang LW, . (2017). HIV Prevention Efforts and Incidence of HIV in Uganda. The New England journal of medicine, 377(22)
Salje H, Lessler J, Maljkovic Berry I, Melendrez MC, Endy T, Kalayanarooj S, A-Nuegoonpipat A, Chanama S, Sangkijporn S, Klungthong C, Thaisomboonsuk B, Nisalak A, Gibbons RV, Iamsirithaworn S, Macareo LR, Yoon IK, Sangarsang A, Jarman RG, Cummings DA. (2017). Dengue diversity across spatial and temporal scales: Local structure and the effect of host population size. Science (New York, N.Y.), 355(6331)
Kirsch TD, Moseson H, Massaquoi M, Nyenswah TG, Goodermote R, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Lessler J, Cumings DA, Peters DH. (2017). Impact of interventions and the incidence of ebola virus disease in Liberia-implications for future epidemics. Health policy and planning, 32(2)
Keegan LT, Lessler J, Johansson MA. (2017). Quantifying Zika: Advancing the Epidemiology of Zika With Quantitative Models. The Journal of infectious diseases, 216(suppl_10)
Metcalf CJE, Lessler J. (2017). Opportunities and challenges in modeling emerging infectious diseases. Science (New York, N.Y.), 357(6347)
Moore SM, Azman AS, Zaitchik BF, Mintz ED, Brunkard J, Legros D, Hill A, McKay H, Luquero FJ, Olson D, Lessler J. (2017). El Niño and the shifting geography of cholera in Africa. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 114(17)
Lessler J, Ott CT, Carcelen AC, Konikoff JM, Williamson J, Bi Q, Kucirka LM, Cummings DA, Reich NG, Chaisson LH. (2016). Times to key events in Zika virus infection and implications for blood donation: a systematic review. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 94(11)
Bi Q, Azman AS, Satter SM, Khan AI, Ahmed D, Riaj AA, Gurley ES, Lessler J. (2016). Micro-scale Spatial Clustering of Cholera Risk Factors in Urban Bangladesh. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 10(2)
Reich NG, Lauer SA, Sakrejda K, Iamsirithaworn S, Hinjoy S, Suangtho P, Suthachana S, Clapham HE, Salje H, Cummings DA, Lessler J. (2016). Challenges in Real-Time Prediction of Infectious Disease: A Case Study of Dengue in Thailand. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 10(6)
Lessler J, Metcalf CJ, Cutts FT, Grenfell BT. (2016). Impact on Epidemic Measles of Vaccination Campaigns Triggered by Disease Outbreaks or Serosurveys: A Modeling Study. PLoS medicine, 13(10)
Chang LW, Grabowski MK, Ssekubugu R, Nalugoda F, Kigozi G, Nantume B, Lessler J, Moore SM, Quinn TC, Reynolds SJ, Gray RH, Serwadda D, Wawer MJ. (2016). Heterogeneity of the HIV epidemic in agrarian, trading, and fishing communities in Rakai, Uganda: an observational epidemiological study. The lancet. HIV, 3(8)
Nisalak A, Clapham HE, Kalayanarooj S, Klungthong C, Thaisomboonsuk B, Fernandez S, Reiser J, Srikiatkhachorn A, Macareo LR, Lessler JT, Cummings DA, Yoon IK. (2016). Forty Years of Dengue Surveillance at a Tertiary Pediatric Hospital in Bangkok, Thailand, 1973-2012. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 94(6)
Azman AS, Luquero FJ, Ciglenecki I, Grais RF, Sack DA, Lessler J. (2016). Correction: The Impact of a One-Dose versus Two-Dose Oral Cholera Vaccine Regimen in Outbreak Settings: A Modeling Study. PLoS medicine, 13(3)
Cauchemez S, Nouvellet P, Cori A, Jombart T, Garske T, Clapham H, Moore S, Mills HL, Salje H, Collins C, Rodriquez-Barraquer I, Riley S, Truelove S, Algarni H, Alhakeem R, AlHarbi K, Turkistani A, Aguas RJ, Cummings DA, Van Kerkhove MD, Donnelly CA, Lessler J, Fraser C, Al-Barrak A, Ferguson NM. (2016). Unraveling the drivers of MERS-CoV transmission. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 113(32)
Lessler J, Cummings DA. (2016). Mechanistic Models of Infectious Disease and Their Impact on Public Health. American journal of epidemiology, 183(5)
Lessler J, Salje H, Grabowski MK, Cummings DA. (2016). Measuring Spatial Dependence for Infectious Disease Epidemiology. PLoS One, 11(5)
Salje H, Cummings DAT, Lessler J. (2016). Estimating infectious disease transmission distances using the overall distribution of cases. Epidemics, (17)
Ferguson NM, Cucunubá ZM, Dorigatti I, Nedjati-Gilani GL, Donnelly CA, Basáñez MG, Nouvellet P, Lessler J. (2016). EPIDEMIOLOGY. Countering the Zika epidemic in Latin America. Science (New York, N.Y.), 353(6297)
Jiang CQ, Lessler J, Kim L, Kwok KO, Read JM, Wang S, Tan L, Hast M, Zhu H, Guan Y, Riley S, Cummings DA. (2017). Cohort Profile: A study of influenza immunity in the urban and rural Guangzhou region of China: the Fluscape Study. International journal of epidemiology, 46(2)
Lessler J, Chaisson LH, Kucirka LM, Bi Q, Grantz K, Salje H, Carcelen AC, Ott CT, Sheffield JS, Ferguson NM, Cummings DA, Metcalf CJ, Rodriguez-Barraquer I. (2016). Assessing the global threat from Zika virus. Science (New York, N.Y.), 353(6300)
Truelove S, Zhu H, Lessler J, Riley S, Read JM, Wang S, Kwok KO, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Cummings DA. (2016). A comparison of hemagglutination inhibition and neutralization assays for characterizing immunity to seasonal influenza A. Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 10(6)
Metcalf CJ, Farrar J, Cutts FT, Basta NE, Graham AL, Lessler J, Ferguson NM, Burke DS, Grenfell BT. (2016). Use of serological surveys to generate key insights into the changing global landscape of infectious disease. Lancet, 388(10045)
Reich NG, Lessler J, Sakrejda K, Lauer SA, Iamsirithaworn S, Cummings DA. (2016). Case study in evaluating time series prediction models using the relative mean absolute error. The American statistician, 70(3)
Salje H, Lessler J, Paul KK, Azman AS, Rahman MW, Rahman M, Cummings D, Gurley ES, Cauchemez S. (2016). How social structures, space, and behaviors shape the spread of infectious diseases using chikungunya as a case study. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 113(47)
Lessler J, Salje H, Van Kerkhove MD, Ferguson NM, Cauchemez S, Rodriquez-Barraquer I, Hakeem R, Jombart T, Aguas R, Al-Barrak A, Cummings DA, . (2016). Estimating the Severity and Subclinical Burden of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Infection in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. American journal of epidemiology, 183(7)
Grabowski MK, Lessler J. (2016). Phylogenetic insights into age-disparate partnerships and HIV. The lancet. HIV, 4(1)
Lessler J, Azman AS, Grabowski MK, Salje H, Rodriguez-Barraquer I. (2016). Trends in the Mechanistic and Dynamic Modeling of Infectious Diseases. Current epidemiology reports, 3(3)
Azman AS, Luquero FJ, Ciglenecki I, Grais RF, Sack DA, Lessler J. (2015). The Impact of a One-Dose versus Two-Dose Oral Cholera Vaccine Regimen in Outbreak Settings: A Modeling Study. PLoS medicine, 12(8)
Clapham H, Cummings DA, Nisalak A, Kalayanarooj S, Thaisomboonsuk B, Klungthong C, Fernandez S, Srikiatkhachorn A, Macareo LR, Lessler J, Reiser J, Yoon IK. (2015). Epidemiology of Infant Dengue Cases Illuminates Serotype-Specificity in the Interaction between Immunity and Disease, and Changes in Transmission Dynamics. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 9(12)
Kucharski AJ, Lessler J, Read JM, Zhu H, Jiang CQ, Guan Y, Cummings DA, Riley S. (2015). Estimating the life course of influenza A(H3N2) antibody responses from cross-sectional data. PLoS biology, 13(3)
Wesolowski A, Metcalf CJ, Eagle N, Kombich J, Grenfell BT, Bjørnstad ON, Lessler J, Tatem AJ, Buckee CO. (2015). Quantifying seasonal population fluxes driving rubella transmission dynamics using mobile phone data. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 112(35)
Takahashi S, Metcalf CJ, Ferrari MJ, Moss WJ, Truelove SA, Tatem AJ, Grenfell BT, Lessler J. (2015). Reduced vaccination and the risk of measles and other childhood infections post-Ebola. Science (New York, N.Y.), 347(6227)
Heesterbeek H, Anderson RM, Andreasen V, Bansal S, De Angelis D, Dye C, Eames KT, Edmunds WJ, Frost SD, Funk S, Hollingsworth TD, House T, Isham V, Klepac P, Lessler J, Lloyd-Smith JO, Metcalf CJ, Mollison D, Pellis L, Pulliam JR, Roberts MG, Viboud C, . (2015). Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health. Science (New York, N.Y.), 347(6227)
Truelove SA, Moss WJ, Lessler J. (2015). Mitigating measles outbreaks in West Africa post-Ebola. Expert review of anti-infective therapy, 13(11)
Moore SM, Lessler J. (2015). Optimal allocation of the limited oral cholera vaccine supply between endemic and epidemic settings. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 12(111)
Kucharski AJ, Kwok KO, Wei VW, Cowling BJ, Read JM, Lessler J, Cummings DA, Riley S. (2014). The contribution of social behaviour to the transmission of influenza A in a human population. PLoS pathogens, 10(6)
Kaufman J, Lessler J, Harry A, Edlund S, Hu K, Douglas J, Thoens C, Appel B, Käsbohrer A, Filter M. (2014). A likelihood-based approach to identifying contaminated food products using sales data: performance and challenges. PLoS computational biology, 10(7)
Grabowski MK, Lessler J, Redd AD, Kagaayi J, Laeyendecker O, Ndyanabo A, Nelson MI, Cummings DA, Bwanika JB, Mueller AC, Reynolds SJ, Munshaw S, Ray SC, Lutalo T, Manucci J, Tobian AA, Chang LW, Beyrer C, Jennings JM, Nalugoda F, Serwadda D, Wawer MJ, Quinn TC, Gray RH, . (2014). The role of viral introductions in sustaining community-based HIV epidemics in rural Uganda: evidence from spatial clustering, phylogenetics, and egocentric transmission models. PLoS medicine, 11(3)
Lessler J, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Cummings DA, Garske T, Van Kerkhove M, Mills H, Truelove S, Hakeem R, Albarrak A, Ferguson NM, , . (2014). Estimating Potential Incidence of MERS-CoV Associated with Hajj Pilgrims to Saudi Arabia, 2014. PLoS currents, (6)
Lessler J. (2014). Immunology. Charting the life-course epidemiology of influenza. Science (New York, N.Y.), 346(6212)
Moore SM, Shannon KL, Zelaya CE, Azman AS, Lessler J. (2014). Epidemic risk from cholera introductions into Mexico. PLoS currents, (6)
Rudolph KE, Lessler J, Moloney RM, Kmush B, Cummings DA. (2014). Incubation periods of mosquito-borne viral infections: a systematic review. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 90(5)
Azman AS, Lessler J. (2015). Reactive vaccination in the presence of disease hotspots. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 282(1798)
Kwok KO, Cowling BJ, Wei VW, Wu KM, Read JM, Lessler J, Cummings DA, Peiris JS, Riley S. (2014). Social contacts and the locations in which they occur as risk factors for influenza infection. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 281(1789)
Read JM, Lessler J, Riley S, Wang S, Tan LJ, Kwok KO, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Cummings DA. (2014). Social mixing patterns in rural and urban areas of southern China. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 281(1785)
Rainwater-Lovett K, Chun K, Lessler J. (2013). Influenza outbreak control practices and the effectiveness of interventions in long-term care facilities: a systematic review. Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 8(1)
Lee RM, Lessler J, Lee RA, Rudolph KE, Reich NG, Perl TM, Cummings DA. (2013). Incubation periods of viral gastroenteritis: a systematic review. BMC infectious diseases, (13)
Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Buathong R, Iamsirithaworn S, Nisalak A, Lessler J, Jarman RG, Gibbons RV, Cummings DA. (2014). Revisiting Rayong: shifting seroprofiles of dengue in Thailand and their implications for transmission and control. American journal of epidemiology, 179(3)
Reich NG, Shrestha S, King AA, Rohani P, Lessler J, Kalayanarooj S, Yoon IK, Gibbons RV, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2013). Interactions between serotypes of dengue highlight epidemiological impact of cross-immunity. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 10(86)
Lessler J, Metcalf CJ. (2013). Balancing evidence and uncertainty when considering rubella vaccine introduction. PLoS One, 8(7)
Salje H, Lessler J, Endy TP, Curriero FC, Gibbons RV, Nisalak A, Nimmannitya S, Kalayanarooj S, Jarman RG, Thomas SJ, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2012). Revealing the microscale spatial signature of dengue transmission and immunity in an urban population. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 109(24)
Lessler J, Metcalf CJ, Grenfell BT. (2012). Measurement of vaccine-derived immunity: how do we use all the data?. Expert review of vaccines, 11(7)
Althouse BM, Lessler J, Sall AA, Diallo M, Hanley KA, Watts DM, Weaver SC, Cummings DA. (2012). Synchrony of sylvatic dengue isolations: a multi-host, multi-vector SIR model of dengue virus transmission in Senegal. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 6(11)
Rainwater-Lovett K, Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Cummings DA, Lessler J. (2012). Variation in dengue virus plaque reduction neutralization testing: systematic review and pooled analysis. BMC infectious diseases, (12)
Reich NG, Lessler J, Cummings DA, Brookmeyer R. (2012). Estimating absolute and relative case fatality ratios from infectious disease surveillance data. Biometrics, 68(2)
Lessler J, Riley S, Read JM, Wang S, Zhu H, Smith GJ, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Cummings DA. (2012). Evidence for antigenic seniority in influenza A (H3N2) antibody responses in southern China. PLoS pathogens, 8(7)
Azman AS, Luquero FJ, Rodrigues A, Palma PP, Grais RF, Banga CN, Grenfell BT, Lessler J. (2012). Urban cholera transmission hotspots and their implications for reactive vaccination: evidence from Bissau city, Guinea bissau. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 6(11)
Azman AS, Rudolph KE, Cummings DA, Lessler J. (2013). The incubation period of cholera: a systematic review. The Journal of infection, 66(5)
Lessler J, Metcalf CJ, Grais RF, Luquero FJ, Cummings DA, Grenfell BT. (2011). Measuring the performance of vaccination programs using cross-sectional surveys: a likelihood framework and retrospective analysis. PLoS medicine, 8(10)
Reich NG, Perl TM, Cummings DA, Lessler J. (2011). Visualizing clinical evidence: citation networks for the incubation periods of respiratory viral infections. PLoS One, 6(4)
Lessler J, Cummings DA, Read JM, Wang S, Zhu H, Smith GJ, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Riley S. (2011). Location-specific patterns of exposure to recent pre-pandemic strains of influenza A in southern China. Nature communications, (2)
Reich NG, Lessler J, Chu H, Cole SR. (2011). Identification of the asymptomatic ratio. Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.), 22(3)
Lessler J, Dos Santos T, Aguilera X, Brookmeyer R, , Cummings DAT. (2010). H1N1pdm in the Americas. Epidemics, 2(3)
Lessler J, Brookmeyer R, Reich NG, Nelson KE, Cummings DA, Perl TM. (2010). Identifying the probable timing and setting of respiratory virus infections. Infection control and hospital epidemiology, 31(8)
Cummings DA, Iamsirithaworn S, Lessler JT, McDermott A, Prasanthong R, Nisalak A, Jarman RG, Burke DS, Gibbons RV. (2009). The impact of the demographic transition on dengue in Thailand: insights from a statistical analysis and mathematical modeling. PLoS medicine, 6(9)
Lessler J, Reich NG, Cummings DA, , Nair HP, Jordan HT, Thompson N. (2009). Outbreak of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) at a New York City school. The New England journal of medicine, 361(27)
Lessler J, Reich NG, Brookmeyer R, Perl TM, Nelson KE, Cummings DA. (2009). Incubation periods of acute respiratory viral infections: a systematic review. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 9(5)
Reich NG, Lessler J, Cummings DA, Brookmeyer R. (2009). Estimating incubation period distributions with coarse data. Statistics in medicine, 28(22)
Lessler J, Kaufman JH, Ford DA, Douglas JV. (2009). The cost of simplifying air travel when modeling disease spread. PLoS One, 4(2)
Lessler J, Brookmeyer R, Perl TM. (2007). An evaluation of classification rules based on date of symptom onset to identify health-care associated infections. American journal of epidemiology, 166(10)
Lessler J, Cummings DA, Fishman S, Vora A, Burke DS. (2007). Transmissibility of swine flu at Fort Dix, 1976. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 4(15)
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