Justin Lessler

Associate Professor





Azman AS, Moore SM, Lessler J. (2019). Surveillance and the global fight against cholera: Setting priorities and tracking progress. Vaccine

Truelove SA, Graham M, Moss WJ, Metcalf CJE, Ferrari MJ, Lessler J. (2019). Characterizing the impact of spatial clustering of susceptibility for measles elimination. Vaccine, 37(5)

Truelove SA, Keegan LT, Moss WJ, Chaisson LH, Macher E, Azman AS, Lessler J. (2019). Clinical and Epidemiological Aspects of Diphtheria:A Systematic Review and Pooled Analysis. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America

Bi Q, Goodman KE, Kaminsky J, Lessler J. (2019). What Is Machine Learning: a Primer for the Epidemiologist. American journal of epidemiology

Kaminsky J, Keegan LT, Metcalf CJE, Lessler J. (2019). Perfect counterfactuals for epidemic simulations. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 374(1776)

Wallace M, Sharfstein JM, Kaminsky J, Lessler J. (2019). Comparison of US County-Level Public Health Performance Rankings With County Cluster and National Rankings: Assessment Based on Prevalence Rates of Smoking and Obesity and Motor Vehicle Crash Death Rates. JAMA network open, 2(1)

Shannon K, Hast M, Azman AS, Legros D, McKay H, Lessler J. (2019). Cholera prevention and control in refugee settings: Successes and continued challenges. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 13(6)

Azman AS, Luquero FJ, Salje H, Mbaïbardoum NN, Adalbert N, Ali M, Bertuzzo E, Finger F, Toure B, Massing LA, Ramazani R, Saga B, Allan M, Olson D, Leglise J, Porten K, Lessler J. (2018). Micro-Hotspots of Risk in Urban Cholera Epidemics. The Journal of infectious diseases, 218(7)

Lessler J, Moore SM, Luquero FJ, McKay HS, Grais R, Henkens M, Mengel M, Dunoyer J, M'bangombe M, Lee EC, Djingarey MH, Sudre B, Bompangue D, Fraser RSM, Abubakar A, Perea W, Legros D, Azman AS. (2018). Mapping the burden of cholera in sub-Saharan Africa and implications for control: an analysis of data across geographical scales. Lancet (London, England), 391(10133)

Viboud C, Lessler J. (2018). The 1918 Influenza Pandemic: Looking Back, Looking Forward. American journal of epidemiology, 187(12)

Graham M, Suk JE, Takahashi S, Metcalf CJ, Jimenez AP, Prikazsky V, Ferrari MJ, Lessler J. (2018). Challenges and Opportunities in Disease Forecasting in Outbreak Settings: A Case Study of Measles in Lola Prefecture, Guinea. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 98(5)

Takahashi S, Metcalf CJE, Ferrari MJ, Tatem AJ, Lessler J. (2017). The geography of measles vaccination in the African Great Lakes region. Nature communications

Moore SM, Azman AS, Zaitchik BF, Mintz ED, Brunkard J, Legros D, Hill A, McKay H, Luquero FJ, Olson D, Lessler J. (2017). El Niño and the shifting geography of cholera in Africa. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 114(17)

Lessler J, Azman AS, McKay HS, Moore SM. (2017). What is a Hotspot Anyway?. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 96(6)

Grabowski MK, Lessler J. (2017). Phylogenetic insights into age-disparate partnerships and HIV. The lancet. HIV, 4(1)

Ferguson NM, Cucunubá ZM, Dorigatti I, Nedjati-Gilani GL, Donnelly CA, Basáñez MG, Nouvellet P, Lessler J. (2016). EPIDEMIOLOGY. Countering the Zika epidemic in Latin America. Science (New York, N.Y.), 353(6297)

Lessler J, Salje H, Grabowski MK, Cummings DA. (2016). Measuring Spatial Dependence for Infectious Disease Epidemiology. PLoS One, 11(5)

Lessler J, Chaisson LH, Kucirka LM, Bi Q, Grantz K, Salje H, Carcelen AC, Ott CT, Sheffield JS, Ferguson NM, Cummings DA, Metcalf CJ, Rodriguez-Barraquer I. (2016). Assessing the global threat from Zika virus. Science (New York, N.Y.), 353(6300)

Lessler J, Ott CT, Carcelen AC, Konikoff JM, Williamson J, Bi Q, Kucirka LM, Cummings DA, Reich NG, Chaisson LH. (2016). Times to key events in Zika virus infection and implications for blood donation: a systematic review. Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 94(11)

Bi Q, Azman AS, Satter SM, Khan AI, Ahmed D, Riaj AA, Gurley ES, Lessler J. (2016). Micro-scale Spatial Clustering of Cholera Risk Factors in Urban Bangladesh. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 10(2)

Lessler J, Cummings DA. (2016). Mechanistic Models of Infectious Disease and Their Impact on Public Health. American journal of epidemiology, 183(5)

Lessler J, Salje H, Van Kerkhove MD, Ferguson NM, Cauchemez S, Rodriquez-Barraquer I, Hakeem R, Jombart T, Aguas R, Al-Barrak A, Cummings DA, . (2016). Estimating the Severity and Subclinical Burden of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Infection in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. American journal of epidemiology, 183(7)

Salje H, Cummings DAT, Lessler J. (2016). Estimating infectious disease transmission distances using the overall distribution of cases. Epidemics

Azman AS, Luquero FJ, Ciglenecki I, Grais RF, Sack DA, Lessler J. (2016). Correction: The Impact of a One-Dose versus Two-Dose Oral Cholera Vaccine Regimen in Outbreak Settings: A Modeling Study. PLoS medicine, 13(3)

Reich NG, Lauer SA, Sakrejda K, Iamsirithaworn S, Hinjoy S, Suangtho P, Suthachana S, Clapham HE, Salje H, Cummings DA, Lessler J. (2016). Challenges in Real-Time Prediction of Infectious Disease: A Case Study of Dengue in Thailand. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 10(6)

Takahashi S, Metcalf CJ, Ferrari MJ, Moss WJ, Truelove SA, Tatem AJ, Grenfell BT, Lessler J. (2015). Reduced vaccination and the risk of measles and other childhood infections post-Ebola. Science (New York, N.Y.), 347(6227)

Azman AS, Lessler J. (2015). Reactive vaccination in the presence of disease hotspots. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 282(1798)

Truelove SA, Moss WJ, Lessler J. (2015). Mitigating measles outbreaks in West Africa post-Ebola. Expert review of anti-infective therapy, 13(11)

Moore SM, Lessler J. (2015). Optimal allocation of the limited oral cholera vaccine supply between endemic and epidemic settings. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 12(111)

Azman AS, Luquero FJ, Ciglenecki I, Grais RF, Sack DA, Lessler J. (2015). The Impact of a One-Dose versus Two-Dose Oral Cholera Vaccine Regimen in Outbreak Settings: A Modeling Study. PLoS medicine, 12(8)

Lessler J, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Cummings DA, Garske T, Van Kerkhove M, Mills H, Truelove S, Hakeem R, Albarrak A, Ferguson NM, , . (2014). Estimating Potential Incidence of MERS-CoV Associated with Hajj Pilgrims to Saudi Arabia, 2014. PLoS currents

Lessler J. (2014). Immunology. Charting the life-course epidemiology of influenza. Science (New York, N.Y.), 346(6212)

Moore SM, Shannon KL, Zelaya CE, Azman AS, Lessler J. (2014). Epidemic risk from cholera introductions into Mexico. PLoS currents

Rainwater-Lovett K, Chun K, Lessler J. (2014). Influenza outbreak control practices and the effectiveness of interventions in long-term care facilities: a systematic review. Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 8(1)

Lessler J, Metcalf CJ. (2013). Balancing evidence and uncertainty when considering rubella vaccine introduction. PLoS One, 8(7)

Azman AS, Rudolph KE, Cummings DA, Lessler J. (2013). The incubation period of cholera: a systematic review. The Journal of infection, 66(5)

Rainwater-Lovett K, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Cummings DA, Lessler J. (2012). Variation in dengue virus plaque reduction neutralization testing: systematic review and pooled analysis. BMC infectious diseases

Lessler J, Riley S, Read JM, Wang S, Zhu H, Smith GJ, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Cummings DA. (2012). Evidence for antigenic seniority in influenza A (H3N2) antibody responses in southern China. PLoS pathogens, 8(7)

Azman AS, Luquero FJ, Rodrigues A, Palma PP, Grais RF, Banga CN, Grenfell BT, Lessler J. (2012). Urban cholera transmission hotspots and their implications for reactive vaccination: evidence from Bissau city, Guinea bissau. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 6(11)

Lessler J, Metcalf CJ, Grenfell BT. (2012). Measurement of vaccine-derived immunity: how do we use all the data?. Expert review of vaccines, 11(7)

Reich NG, Perl TM, Cummings DA, Lessler J. (2011). Visualizing clinical evidence: citation networks for the incubation periods of respiratory viral infections. PLoS One, 6(4)

Lessler J, Cummings DA, Read JM, Wang S, Zhu H, Smith GJ, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Riley S. (2011). Location-specific patterns of exposure to recent pre-pandemic strains of influenza A in southern China. Nature communications

Lessler J, Metcalf CJ, Grais RF, Luquero FJ, Cummings DA, Grenfell BT. (2011). Measuring the performance of vaccination programs using cross-sectional surveys: a likelihood framework and retrospective analysis. PLoS medicine, 8(10)

Lessler J, Brookmeyer R, Reich NG, Nelson KE, Cummings DA, Perl TM. (2010). Identifying the probable timing and setting of respiratory virus infections. Infection control and hospital epidemiology, 31(8)

Lessler J, Dos Santos T, Aguilera X, Brookmeyer R, , Cummings DAT. (2010). H1N1pdm in the Americas. Epidemics, 2(3)

Lessler J, Reich NG, Cummings DA, , Nair HP, Jordan HT, Thompson N. (2009). Outbreak of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) at a New York City school. The New England journal of medicine, 361(27)

Lessler J, Kaufman JH, Ford DA, Douglas JV. (2009). The cost of simplifying air travel when modeling disease spread. PLoS One, 4(2)

Lessler J, Reich NG, Brookmeyer R, Perl TM, Nelson KE, Cummings DA. (2009). Incubation periods of acute respiratory viral infections: a systematic review. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 9(5)

Lessler J, Cummings DA, Fishman S, Vora A, Burke DS. (2007). Transmissibility of swine flu at Fort Dix, 1976. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 4(15)

Lessler J, Brookmeyer R, Perl TM. (2007). An evaluation of classification rules based on date of symptom onset to identify health-care associated infections. American journal of epidemiology, 166(10)