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Marco Ajelli

Associate Professor

Education

Affiliations

Projects

Papers

Zhang J, Litvinova M, Liang Y, Wang Y, Wang W, Zhao S, Wu Q, Merler S, Viboud C, Vespignani A, Ajelli M, Yu H. (2020). Changes in contact patterns shape the dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China. Science (New York, N.Y.)

Zhang J, Litvinova M, Wang W, Wang Y, Deng X, Chen X, Li M, Zheng W, Yi L, Chen X, Wu Q, Liang Y, Wang X, Yang J, Sun K, Longini IM Jr., Halloran ME, Wu P, Cowling BJ, Merler S, Viboud C, Vespignani A, Ajelli M, Yu H. (2020). Evolving epidemiology of novel coronavirus diseases 2019 and possible interruption of local transmission outside Hubei Province in China: a descriptive and modeling study. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences

Aleta A, Martin-Corral D, Pastore Y Piontti A, Ajelli M, Litvinova M, Chinazzi M, Dean NE, Halloran ME, Longini IM, Merler S, Pentland A, Vespignani A, Moro E, Moreno Y. (2020). Modeling the impact of social distancing, testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second-wave scenarios of the COVID-19 epidemic. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences

Deng X, Yang J, Wang W, Wang X, Zhou J, Chen Z, Li J, Chen Y, Yan H, Zhang J, Zhang Y, Wang Y, Qiu Q, Gong H, Wei X, Wang L, Sun K, Wu P, Ajelli M, Cowling BJ, Viboud C, Yu H. (2020). Case fatality risk of the first pandemic wave of novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America

Sun K, Wang W, Gao L, Wang Y, Luo K, Ren L, Zhan Z, Chen X, Zhao S, Huang Y, Sun Q, Liu Z, Litvinova M, Vespignani A, Ajelli M, Viboud C, Yu H. (2020). Transmission heterogeneities, kinetics, and controllability of SARS-CoV-2. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences

Chen X, Chen Z, Azman AS, Deng X, Chen X, Lu W, Zhao Z, Yang J, Viboud C, Ajelli M, Leung DT, Yu H. (2020). Serological evidence of human infection with SARS-CoV-2: a systematic review and meta-analysis. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences

Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Ajelli M, Gioannini C, Litvinova M, Merler S, Pastore Y Piontti A, Rossi L, Sun K, Viboud C, Xiong X, Yu H, Halloran ME, Longini IM Jr., Vespignani A. (2020). The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) outbreak. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences

Yang J, Gong H, Chen X, Chen Z, Deng X, Qian M, Hou Z, Ajelli M, Viboud C, Yu H. (2020). Health-seeking behaviors of patients with acute respiratory infections during the outbreak of novel coronavirus disease 2019 in Wuhan, China. Influenza and other respiratory viruses

Brett T, Ajelli M, Liu QH, Krauland MG, Grefenstette JJ, van Panhuis WG, Vespignani A, Drake JM, Rohani P. (2020). Detecting critical slowing down in high-dimensional epidemiological systems. PLoS computational biology, 16(3)

Hu S, Wang W, Wang Y, Litvinova M, Luo K, Ren L, Sun Q, Chen X, Zeng G, Li J, Liang L, Deng Z, Zheng W, Li M, Yang H, Guo J, Wang K, Chen X, Liu Z, Yan H, Shi H, Chen Z, Zhou Y, Sun K, Vespignani A, Viboud C, Gao L, Ajelli M, Yu H. (2020). Infectivity, susceptibility, and risk factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 transmission under intensive contact tracing in Hunan, China. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences

Aleta A, Martín-Corral D, Pastore Y Piontti A, Ajelli M, Litvinova M, Chinazzi M, Dean NE, Halloran ME, Longini IM Jr., Merler S, Pentland A, Vespignani A, Moro E, Moreno Y. (2020). Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of COVID-19. Nature human behaviour

Zhang J, Litvinova M, Wang W, Wang Y, Deng X, Chen X, Li M, Zheng W, Yi L, Chen X, Wu Q, Liang Y, Wang X, Yang J, Sun K, Longini IM Jr., Halloran ME, Wu P, Cowling BJ, Merler S, Viboud C, Vespignani A, Ajelli M, Yu H. (2020). Evolving epidemiology and transmission dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 outside Hubei province, China: a descriptive and modelling study. The Lancet. Infectious diseases

Chinazzi Matteo, Davis Jessica T., Ajelli Marco, Gioannini Corrado, Litvinova Maria, Merler Stefano, Pastore y Piontti Ana, Mu Kunpeng, Rossi Luca, Sun Kaiyuan, Viboud Cécile, Xiong Xinyue, Yu Hongjie, Halloran M. Elizabeth, Longini Ira M., Vespignani Alessandro. (2020). The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak. Science

Yang J, Chen X, Deng X, Chen Z, Gong H, Yan H, Wu Q, Shi H, Lai S, Ajelli M, Viboud C, Yu H. (2020). Disease burden and clinical severity of the first pandemic wave of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences

Deng Xiaowei, Yang Juan, Wang Wei, Wang Xiling, Zhou Jiaxin, Chen Zhiyuan, Li Jing, Chen Yinzi, Yan Han, Zhang Juanjuan, Zhang Yongli, Wang Yan, Qiu Qi, Gong Hui, Wei Xianglin, Wang Lili, Sun Kaiyuan, Wu Peng, Ajelli Marco, Cowling Benjamin J., Viboud Cecile, Yu Hongjie. (2020). Case fatality risk of novel coronavirus diseases 2019 in China. Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press

Litvinova M, Liu QH, Kulikov ES, Ajelli M. (2019). Reactive school closure weakens the network of social interactions and reduces the spread of influenza. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 116(27)

Liu QH, Ajelli M, Aleta A, Merler S, Moreno Y, Vespignani A. (2018). Measurability of the epidemic reproduction number in data-driven contact networks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 115(50)

Viboud C, Sun K, Gaffey R, Ajelli M, Fumanelli L, Merler S, Zhang Q, Chowell G, Simonsen L, Vespignani A, . (2018). The RAPIDD ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt. Epidemics, (22)

Ajelli M, Zhang Q, Sun K, Merler S, Fumanelli L, Chowell G, Simonsen L, Viboud C, Vespignani A. (2018). The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge: Model description and synthetic data generation. Epidemics, (22)

Ajelli M, Merler S, Fumanelli L, Pastore Y Piontti A, Dean NE, Longini IM Jr., Halloran ME, Vespignani A. (2016). Spatiotemporal dynamics of the Ebola epidemic in Guinea and implications for vaccination and disease elimination: a computational modeling analysis. BMC medicine, 14(1)

Fumanelli L, Ajelli M, Merler S, Ferguson NM, Cauchemez S. (2016). Model-Based Comprehensive Analysis of School Closure Policies for Mitigating Influenza Epidemics and Pandemics. PLoS computational biology, 12(1)

Merler S, Ajelli M, Fumanelli L, Parlamento S, Pastore Y Piontti A, Dean NE, Putoto G, Carraro D, Longini IM Jr., Halloran ME, Vespignani A. (2016). Containing Ebola at the Source with Ring Vaccination. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 10(11)

Merler S, Ajelli M, Fumanelli L, Gomes MF, Piontti AP, Rossi L, Chao DL, Longini IM Jr., Halloran ME, Vespignani A. (2015). Spatiotemporal spread of the 2014 outbreak of Ebola virus disease in Liberia and the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions: a computational modelling analysis. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 15(2)

Merler S, Ajelli M, Fumanelli L, Vespignani A. (2013). Containing the accidental laboratory escape of potential pandemic influenza viruses. BMC medicine, (11)

Merler S, Ajelli M, Pugliese A, Ferguson NM. (2011). Determinants of the spatiotemporal dynamics of the 2009 H1N1 pandemic in Europe: implications for real-time modelling. PLoS computational biology, 7(9)

Ajelli M, Gonçalves B, Balcan D, Colizza V, Hu H, Ramasco JJ, Merler S, Vespignani A. (2010). Comparing large-scale computational approaches to epidemic modeling: agent-based versus structured metapopulation models. BMC infectious diseases, (10)