Nathanael Hoze





I have a training in Mathematics and computational biology and I work currently on infectious disease dynamics. I am particularly interested in serological surveys, of arboviruses mostly. My main topic is retrieving the history of a pathogen circulation using serological surveys while accounting for cross-reactivity in serological assays.

Preferred Pronouns


Personal Academic Website

Research/Topics of Interest

Apply models to public health
Between-host modeling
Compartmental models
New methods development
Statistical models
Surveillance/case detection

Pathogens/Diseases of Main Interest/Expertise

Neglected tropical diseases
Vector-borne diseases

Countries of Work/Collaboration




Paireau J, Andronico A, Hozé N, Layan M, Crépey P, Roumagnac A, Lavielle M, Boëlle PY, Cauchemez S. (2022). An ensemble model based on early predictors to forecast COVID-19 health care demand in France. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 119(18)

Blanquart F, Hozé N, Cowling BJ, Débarre F, Cauchemez S. (2022). Selection for infectivity profiles in slow and fast epidemics, and the rise of SARS-CoV-2 variants. eLife, (11)

Layan M, Gilboa M, Gonen T, Goldenfeld M, Meltzer L, Andronico A, Hozé N, Cauchemez S, Regev-Yochay G. (2022). Impact of BNT162b2 vaccination and isolation on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Israeli households: an observational study. American journal of epidemiology

Hozé N, Diarra I, Sangaré AK, Pastorino B, Pezzi L, Kouriba B, Sagara I, Dabo A, Djimdé A, Thera MA, Doumbo OK, de Lamballerie X, Cauchemez S. (2021). Model-based assessment of Chikungunya and O'nyong-nyong virus circulation in Mali in a serological cross-reactivity context. Nature communications, 12(1)

Hozé N, Paireau J, Lapidus N, Tran Kiem C, Salje H, Severi G, Touvier M, Zins M, de Lamballerie X, Lévy-Bruhl D, Carrat F, Cauchemez S. (2021). Monitoring the proportion of the population infected by SARS-CoV-2 using age-stratified hospitalisation and serological data: a modelling study. The Lancet. Public health

Ukita M, Hozé N, Nemoto T, Cauchemez S, Asakura S, Makingi G, Kazwala R, Makita K. (2021). Quantitative evaluation of the infection dynamics of bovine brucellosis in Tanzania. Preventive veterinary medicine, (194)

Bailly S, Rousset D, Fritzell C, Hozé N, Ben Achour S, Berthelot L, Enfissi A, Vanhomwegen J, Salje H, Fernandes-Pellerin S, Saout M, Lavergne A, Manuguerra JC, Carod JF, Djossou F, Cauchemez S, Flamand C. (2021). Spatial Distribution and Burden of Emerging Arboviruses in French Guiana. Viruses, 13(7)

Lefrancq N, Paireau J, Hozé N, Courtejoie N, Yazdanpanah Y, Bouadma L, Boelle PY, Chereau F, Salje H, Cauchemez S. (2021). Evolution of outcomes for patients hospitalised during the first 9 months of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in France: A retrospective national surveillance data analysis. The Lancet regional health. Europe, (5)

Diarra I, Nurtop E, Sangaré AK, Sagara I, Pastorino B, Sacko S, Zeguimé A, Coulibaly D, Fofana B, Gallian P, Priet S, Drexler JF, Failloux AB, Dabo A, Thera MA, Djimdé A, Kouriba B, Cauchemez S, de Lamballerie X, Hozé N, Doumbo OK. (2020). Zika Virus Circulation in Mali. Emerging infectious diseases, 26(5)

Salje H, Tran Kiem C, Lefrancq N, Courtejoie N, Bosetti P, Paireau J, Andronico A, Hozé N, Richet J, Dubost CL, Le Strat Y, Lessler J, Lévy-Bruhl D, Fontanet A, Opatowski L, Boelle PY, Cauchemez S. (2020). Estimating the burden of SARS-CoV-2 in France. Science (New York, N.Y.)

Hozé N, Salje H, Rousset D, Fritzell C, Vanhomwegen J, Bailly S, Najm M, Enfissi A, Manuguerra JC, Flamand C, Cauchemez S. (2020). Reconstructing Mayaro virus circulation in French Guiana shows frequent spillovers. Nature communications, 11(1)

Capai L, Hozé N, Chiaroni J, Gross S, Djoudi R, Charrel R, Izopet J, Bosseur F, Priet S, Cauchemez S, de Lamballerie X, Falchi A, Gallian P. (2020). Seroprevalence of hepatitis E virus among blood donors on Corsica, France, 2017. Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 25(5)

Cauchemez S, Hoze N, Cousien A, Nikolay B, Ten Bosch Q. (2019). How Modelling Can Enhance the Analysis of Imperfect Epidemic Data. Trends in parasitology, 35(5)

Scire J, Hozé N, Uecker H. (2019). Aggressive or moderate drug therapy for infectious diseases? Trade-offs between different treatment goals at the individual and population levels. PLoS computational biology, 15(8)

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