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Pejman Rohani

Pej Rohani

Bio

Education

Affiliations

Preferred Pronouns

He/him/his

Personal Academic Website

http://rohanilab.ecology.uga.edu/

Topics of Interest/Expertise
 

Countries of Work/Collaboration

Projects

Papers

Drake JM, Rohani P, Winter A. (2026). Can vaccine-preventable disease resurgence be anticipated? Leading indicators and tipping points. Future microbiology

Drake JM, Rohani P. (2026). No evidence for critical slowing down before measles outbreaks in the US, 2006-2025. Future microbiology

Arraes Rocha Felix V, Rohani P, Drake JM. (2026). A single autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous variable outperforms ensembles of autoregressive models for forecasting influenza hospitalizations in the contiguous United States. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 23(237)

Forna A, Damodaran L, Gunning CE, Rahimi P, Venkat A, Kannan N, Kondor R, Bahl J, Rohani P, Drake JM. (2026). Alignment-free prediction of cross-reactivity in influenza A (H3N2) anticipates antigenic drift. PLoS computational biology, 22(8)

Brett TS, Tredennick A, Briga M, Coudeville L, Macina D, Domenech de Cellès M, Rohani P. (2026). Quantifying the impact of vaccination on pertussis dynamics in Sweden. PLoS computational biology, 22(8)

Brett TS, Rohani P. (2025). Collateral effects of COVID-19 pandemic control on the US infectious disease landscape. Science (New York, N.Y.), 390(6772)

Arhami O, Rohani P. (2025). Topolow: A mapping algorithm for antigenic cross-reactivity and binding affinity assays. Bioinformatics (Oxford, England)

Qian Y, Marty É, Basu A, O'Dea EB, Wang X, Fox S, Rohani P, Drake JM, Li H. (2025). Physics-informed deep learning for infectious disease forecasting. ArXiv

Siceloff AT, Waltman D, Gunning CE, Nolan SP, Rohani P, Shariat NW. (2025). Longitudinal study highlights patterns of Salmonella serovar co-occurrence and exclusion in commercial poultry production. Frontiers in microbiology, (16)

Drake JM, Bahl J, Cacciatore MA, Ghadami A, Graeden E, Han BA, Nowak G, Marty É, Robertson H, Rohani P, Sarkar S, Stott GL, Winter AK, Epureanu BI. Leveraging Systems-of-Systems Analysis to Strengthen Epidemic Intelligence for Preparedness and Response. Health security, 23(6)

Chen J, Gokhale DV, Carmola LR, Liu L, Rohani P, Bahl J. (2025). Characterizing potential interaction between respiratory syncytial virus and seasonal influenza in the U.S. Epidemics, (52)

Domenech de Cellès M, Wong A, Dalby T, Rohani P. (2025). Natural immune boosting biases pertussis infection estimates in seroprevalence studies. Nature communications, 16(1)

Anderson KM, Nowak GJ, Cacciatore MA, Rohani P, Drake JM. (2025). Understanding influenza vaccination attitudes and behaviors: An assessment of health decision-making preferences. Vaccine, (65)

Qian Y, Zhang K, Marty E, Basu A, O'Dea EB, Wang X, Fox SJ, Rohani P, Drake JM, Li H. (2025). Physics-informed deep learning for infectious disease forecasting. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 22(232)

Briga M, Goult E, Brett TS, Rohani P, Domenech de Cellès M. (2024). Maternal pertussis immunization and the blunting of routine vaccine effectiveness: a meta-analysis and modeling study. Nature communications, 15(1)

Domenech de Cellès M, Rohani P. (2024). Pertussis vaccines, epidemiology and evolution. Nature reviews. Microbiology

Rohani P, Bahl J. (2024). Collateral effects of pandemic control. Science (New York, N.Y.), 386(6722)

Forna A, Weedop KB, Damodaran L, Hassell N, Kondor R, Bahl J, Drake JM, Rohani P. (2024). Sequence-based detection of emerging antigenically novel influenza A viruses. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 291(2028)

Brett TS, Bansal S, Rohani P. (2023). Charting the spatial dynamics of early SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Washington state. PLoS computational biology, 19(6)

Rane MS, Wakefield J, Rohani P, Halloran ME. (2023). Association between pertussis vaccination coverage and other sociodemographic factors and pertussis incidence using surveillance data. Epidemics, (44)

Hempel K, McDonald W, Osgood ND, Fisman D, Halperin SA, Crowcroft N, Klein NP, Rohani P, Doroshenko A. (2023). Evaluation of the effectiveness of maternal immunization against pertussis in Alberta using agent-based modeling: A Canadian immunization research network study. Vaccine, 41(15)

Gunning CE, Rohani P, Mwananyanda L, Kwenda G, Mupila Z, Gill CJ. (2023). Young Zambian infants with symptomatic RSV and pertussis infections are frequently prescribed inappropriate antibiotics: a retrospective analysis. PeerJ, (11)

Gokhale DV, Brett TS, He B, King AA, Rohani P. (2023). Disentangling the causes of mumps reemergence in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 120(3)

Brett TS, Rohani P. (2022). Containing novel SARS-CoV-2 variants at source is possible with high-intensity sequencing. PNAS nexus, 1(4)

Saeidpour A, Rohani P. (2022). Optimal non-pharmaceutical intervention policy for Covid-19 epidemic via neuroevolution algorithm. Evolution, medicine, and public health, 10(1)

Saeidpour A, Bansal S, Rohani P. (2022). Dissecting recurrent waves of pertussis across the boroughs of London. PLoS computational biology, 18(4)

Hayman DTS, Sam John R, Rohani P. (2022). Transmission models indicate Ebola virus persistence in non-human primate populations is unlikely. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 19(187)

Domenech de Cellès M, Wong A, Andrea Barrero Guevara L, Rohani P. (2022). Immunological heterogeneity informs estimation of the durability of vaccine protection. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 19(190)

Tredennick AT, O'Dea EB, Ferrari MJ, Park AW, Rohani P, Drake JM. (2022). Anticipating infectious disease re-emergence and elimination: a test of early warning signals using empirically based models. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 19(193)

Li X, Ghadami A, Drake JM, Rohani P, Epureanu BI. (2021). Mathematical model of the feedback between global supply chain disruption and COVID-19 dynamics. Scientific reports, 11(1)

Drake JM, Dahlin K, Rohani P, Handel A. (2021). Five approaches to the suppression of SARS-CoV-2 without intensive social distancing. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 288(1949)

Borchering RK, Gunning CE, Gokhale DV, Weedop KB, Saeidpour A, Brett TS, Rohani P. (2021). Anomalous influenza seasonality in the United States and the emergence of novel influenza B viruses. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 118(5)

Rohani P, Drake JM. (2021). Untangling the evolution of dengue viruses. Science (New York, N.Y.), 374(6570)

Le A, King AA, Magpantay FMG, Mesbahi A, Rohani P. (2021). The impact of infection-derived immunity on disease dynamics. Journal of mathematical biology, 83(6-7)

Kostoulas P, Meletis E, Pateras K, Eusebi P, Kostoulas T, Furuya-Kanamori L, Speybroeck N, Denwood M, Doi SAR, Althaus CL, Kirkeby C, Rohani P, Dhand NK, Peñalvo JL, Thabane L, BenMiled S, Sharifi H, Walter SD. (2021). The epidemic volatility index, a novel early warning tool for identifying new waves in an epidemic. Scientific reports, 11(1)

Gill CJ, Gunning CE, MacLeod WB, Mwananyanda L, Thea DM, Pieciak RC, Kwenda G, Mupila Z, Rohani P. (2021). Asymptomatic Bordetella pertussis infections in a longitudinal cohort of young African infants and their mothers. eLife, (10)

Rane MS, Rohani P, Halloran ME. (2021). Durability of protection after 5 doses of acellular pertussis vaccine among 5-9 year old children in King County, Washington. Vaccine

Rane MS, Rohani P, Halloran ME. (2021). Association of Diphtheria-Tetanus-Acellular Pertussis Vaccine Timeliness and Number of Doses With Age-Specific Pertussis Risk in Infants and Young Children. JAMA network open, 4(8)

Gunning CE, Mwananyanda L, MacLeod WB, Mwale M, Thea DM, Pieciak RC, Rohani P, Gill CJ. (2020). Implementation and adherence of routine pertussis vaccination (DTP) in a low-resource urban birth cohort. BMJ open, 10(12)

Brett TS, Rohani P. (2020). Dynamical footprints enable detection of disease emergence. PLoS biology, 18(5)

Rohani P, Ahmadi Badi S, Moshiri A, Siadat SD. Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and pediatric gastroenterology. Gastroenterology and hepatology from bed to bench, 13(4)

Brett TS, Rohani P. (2020). Transmission dynamics reveal the impracticality of COVID-19 herd immunity strategies. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

Kwuimy CAK, Nazari F, Jiao X, Rohani P, Nataraj C. (2020). Nonlinear dynamic analysis of an epidemiological model for COVID-19 including public behavior and government action. Nonlinear dynamics

Damron FH, Barbier M, Dubey P, Edwards KM, Gu XX, Klein NP, Lu K, Mills KHG, Pasetti MF, Read RC, Rohani P, Sebo P, Harvill ET. (2020). Overcoming Waning Immunity in Pertussis Vaccines: Workshop of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. Journal of immunology (Baltimore, Md. : 1950), 205(4)

Brett T, Ajelli M, Liu QH, Krauland MG, Grefenstette JJ, van Panhuis WG, Vespignani A, Drake JM, Rohani P. (2020). Detecting critical slowing down in high-dimensional epidemiological systems. PLoS computational biology, 16(3)

Brett TS, Rohani P. (2020). COVID-19 herd immunity strategies: walking an elusive and dangerous tightrope. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences

O'Regan SM, O'Dea EB, Rohani P, Drake JM. (2020). Transient indicators of tipping points in infectious diseases. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 17(170)

Drake JM, Brett TS, Chen S, Epureanu BI, Ferrari MJ, Marty É, Miller PB, O'Dea EB, O'Regan SM, Park AW, Rohani P. (2019). The statistics of epidemic transitions. PLoS computational biology, 15(5)

Domenech de Cellès M, Rohani P, King AA. (2019). Duration of Immunity and Effectiveness of Diphtheria-Tetanus-Acellular Pertussis Vaccines in Children. JAMA pediatrics, 173(6)

Ettehad Marvasti F, Moshiri A, Taghavi MS, Riazi S, Taati M, Sadati SF, Ghaheri A, Masoomi M, Vaziri F, Fateh A, Rohani, Tarashi S, Masotti A, Ahmadi Badi S, Siadat SD. (2019). The First Report of Differences in Gut Microbiota Composition between Obese and Normal Weight Iranian Subjects. Iranian biomedical journal

Noori N, Rohani P. (2019). Quantifying the consequences of measles-induced immune modulation for whooping cough epidemiology. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 374(1775)

Brett TS, O'Dea EB, Marty É, Miller PB, Park AW, Drake JM, Rohani P. (2018). Anticipating epidemic transitions with imperfect data. PLoS computational biology, 14(6)

Domenech de Cellès M, Magpantay FMG, King AA, Rohani P. (2018). The impact of past vaccination coverage and immunity on pertussis resurgence. Science translational medicine, 10(434)

Domenech de Cellès M, King AA, Rohani P. (2018). Response to Comment on "The impact of past vaccination coverage and immunity on pertussis resurgence". Science translational medicine, 10(472)

Bento AI, Riolo MA, Choi YH, King AA, Rohani P. (2018). Core pertussis transmission groups in England and Wales: A tale of two eras. Vaccine, 36(9)

Brett TS, Drake JM, Rohani P. (2017). Anticipating the emergence of infectious diseases. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 14(132)

Rohani P, Najafi Sani M, Ahmadi M, Ziaee V. (2017). A Case of Eosinophilic Esophagitis Accompanying Familial Mediterranean Fever. Case reports in gastrointestinal medicine, (2017)

Gill C, Rohani P, Thea DM. (2017). The relationship between mucosal immunity, nasopharyngeal carriage, asymptomatic transmission and the resurgence of Bordetella pertussis. F1000Research, (6)

Bento AI, King AA, Rohani P. (2017). Maternal pertussis immunisation: clinical gains and epidemiological legacy. Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 22(15)

Noori N, Drake JM, Rohani P. (2017). Comparative epidemiology of poliovirus transmission. Scientific reports, 7(1)

Miller PB, O'Dea EB, Rohani P, Drake JM. (2017). Forecasting infectious disease emergence subject to seasonal forcing. Theoretical biology & medical modelling, 14(1)

Vinson JE, Drake JM, Rohani P, Park AW. (2016). The potential for sexual transmission to compromise control of Ebola virus outbreaks. Biology letters, 12(6)

Kramer AM, Pulliam JT, Alexander LW, Park AW, Rohani P, Drake JM. (2016). Spatial spread of the West Africa Ebola epidemic. Royal Society open science, 3(8)

Bento AI, Rohani P. (2016). Forecasting Epidemiological Consequences of Maternal Immunization. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 63(suppl 4)

Domenech de Cellès M, Magpantay FM, King AA, Rohani P. (2016). The pertussis enigma: reconciling epidemiology, immunology and evolution. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 283(1822)

Martinez-Bakker M, King AA, Rohani P. (2015). Unraveling the Transmission Ecology of Polio. PLoS biology, 13(6)

Chiapaikeo D, Rohani P. (2015). Acute iatrogenic polycythemia induced by massive red blood cell transfusion during subtotal abdominal colectomy. Hematology reports, 7(1)

Riolo MA, Rohani P. (2015). Combating pertussis resurgence: One booster vaccination schedule does not fit all. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 112(5)

Shrestha S, Foxman B, Berus J, van Panhuis WG, Steiner C, Viboud C, Rohani P. (2015). The role of influenza in the epidemiology of pneumonia. Scientific reports, (5)

Handel A, Rohani P. (2015). Crossing the scale from within-host infection dynamics to between-host transmission fitness: a discussion of current assumptions and knowledge. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 370(1675)

King AA, Domenech de Cellès M, Magpantay FM, Rohani P. (2015). Avoidable errors in the modelling of outbreaks of emerging pathogens, with special reference to Ebola. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 282(1806)

Roche B, Drake JM, Brown J, Stallknecht DE, Bedford T, Rohani P. (2014). Adaptive evolution and environmental durability jointly structure phylodynamic patterns in avian influenza viruses. PLoS biology, 12(8)

Brown VL, Drake JM, Barton HD, Stallknecht DE, Brown JD, Rohani P. (2014). Neutrality, cross-immunity and subtype dominance in avian influenza viruses. PLoS One, 9(2)

Handel A, Lebarbenchon C, Stallknecht D, Rohani P. (2015). Correction to: Trade-offs between and within scales: environmental persistence and within-host fitness of avian influenza viruses. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 282(1800)

Domenech de Cellès M, Riolo MA, Magpantay FM, Rohani P, King AA. (2014). Epidemiological evidence for herd immunity induced by acellular pertussis vaccines. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111(7)

Handel A, Lebarbenchon C, Stallknecht D, Rohani P. (2014). Trade-offs between and within scales: environmental persistence and within-host fitness of avian influenza viruses. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 281(1787)

Martinez-Bakker M, Bakker KM, King AA, Rohani P. (2014). Human birth seasonality: latitudinal gradient and interplay with childhood disease dynamics. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 281(1783)

Barton HD, Rohani P, Stallknecht DE, Brown J, Drake JM. (2014). Subtype diversity and reassortment potential for co-circulating avian influenza viruses at a diversity hot spot. The Journal of animal ecology, 83(3)

Shrestha S, Foxman B, Weinberger DM, Steiner C, Viboud C, Rohani P. (2013). Identifying the interaction between influenza and pneumococcal pneumonia using incidence data. Science translational medicine, 5(191)

Blackwood JC, Cummings DA, Broutin H, Iamsirithaworn S, Rohani P. (2013). Deciphering the impacts of vaccination and immunity on pertussis epidemiology in Thailand. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 110(23)

Riolo MA, King AA, Rohani P. (2013). Can vaccine legacy explain the British pertussis resurgence?. Vaccine, 31(49)

Handel A, Brown J, Stallknecht D, Rohani P. (2013). A multi-scale analysis of influenza A virus fitness trade-offs due to temperature-dependent virus persistence. PLoS computational biology, 9(3)

Jackson DW, Rohani P. (2014). Perplexities of pertussis: recent global epidemiological trends and their potential causes. Epidemiology and infection, 142(4)

Shrestha S, Foxman B, Dawid S, Aiello AE, Davis BM, Berus J, Rohani P. (2013). Time and dose-dependent risk of pneumococcal pneumonia following influenza: a model for within-host interaction between influenza and Streptococcus pneumoniae. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 10(86)

Reich NG, Shrestha S, King AA, Rohani P, Lessler J, Kalayanarooj S, Yoon IK, Gibbons RV, Burke DS, Cummings DA. (2013). Interactions between serotypes of dengue highlight epidemiological impact of cross-immunity. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 10(86)

Blackwood JC, Streicker DG, Altizer S, Rohani P. (2013). Resolving the roles of immunity, pathogenesis, and immigration for rabies persistence in vampire bats. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 110(51)

Lavine JS, Rohani P. (2012). Resolving pertussis immunity and vaccine effectiveness using incidence time series. Expert review of vaccines, 11(11)

Brown VL, Rohani P. (2012). The consequences of climate change at an avian influenza 'hotspot'. Biology letters, 8(6)

Choisy M, Rohani P. (2012). Changing spatial epidemiology of pertussis in continental USA. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 279(1747)

Beatty M, Boni MF, Brown S, Buathong R, Burke D, Coudeville L, Cummings DA, Edelman R, Farrar J, Focks DA, Gomes MG, Guignard A, Halstead S, Hombach J, Knerer G, Koelle K, Lam FC, Lang J, Longini I, Medlock J, Namgyal P, Powell M, Recker M, Rohani P, Standaert B, Struchiner C, Teyssou R, Wearing H. (2012). Assessing the potential of a candidate dengue vaccine with mathematical modeling. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 6(3)

Streicker DG, Recuenco S, Valderrama W, Gomez Benavides J, Vargas I, Pacheco V, Condori Condori RE, Montgomery J, Rupprecht CE, Rohani P, Altizer S. (2012). Ecological and anthropogenic drivers of rabies exposure in vampire bats: implications for transmission and control. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 279(1742)

Roche B, Dobson AP, Guégan JF, Rohani P. (2012). Linking community and disease ecology: the impact of biodiversity on pathogen transmission. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 367(1604)

Goldwyn EE, Rohani P. (2013). Bias in pertussis incidence data and its implications for public health epidemiology. Journal of public health management and practice : JPHMP, 19(4)

Rohani P, Drake JM. (2011). The decline and resurgence of pertussis in the US. Epidemics, 3(3-4)

Shrestha S, King AA, Rohani P. (2011). Statistical inference for multi-pathogen systems. PLoS computational biology, 7(8)

Roche B, Drake JM, Rohani P. (2011). An agent-based model to study the epidemiological and evolutionary dynamics of Influenza viruses. BMC Bioinformatics, (12)

Roche B, Drake JM, Rohani P. (2011). The curse of the Pharaoh revisited: evolutionary bi-stability in environmentally transmitted pathogens. Ecology letters, 14(6)

Roche B, Rohani P. (2010). Environmental transmission scrambles coexistence patterns of avian influenza viruses. Epidemics, 2(2)

Rohani P, King AA. (2010). Never mind the length, feel the quality: the impact of long-term epidemiological data sets on theory, application and policy. Trends in ecology & evolution, 25(10)

Rohani P, Zhong X, King AA. (2010). Contact network structure explains the changing epidemiology of pertussis. Science (New York, N.Y.), 330(6006)

Breban R, Drake JM, Rohani P. (2010). A general multi-strain model with environmental transmission: invasion conditions for the disease-free and endemic states. Journal of theoretical biology, 264(3)

Breban R, Drake JM, Stallknecht DE, Rohani P. (2009). The role of environmental transmission in recurrent avian influenza epidemics. PLoS computational biology, 5(4)

Rohani P. (2009). The link between dengue incidence and El Niño southern oscillation. PLoS medicine, 6(11)

Wearing HJ, Rohani P. (2009). Estimating the duration of pertussis immunity using epidemiological signatures. PLoS pathogens, 5(10)

Bonds MH, Rohani P. (2010). Herd immunity acquired indirectly from interactions between the ecology of infectious diseases, demography and economics. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 7(44)

Rohani P, Breban R, Stallknecht DE, Drake JM. (2009). Environmental transmission of low pathogenicity avian influenza viruses and its implications for pathogen invasion. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 106(25)

Nguyen HT, Rohani P. (2008). Noise, nonlinearity and seasonality: the epidemics of whooping cough revisited. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 5(21)

Altizer S, Dobson A, Hosseini P, Hudson P, Pascual M, Rohani P. (2006). Seasonality and the dynamics of infectious diseases. Ecology letters, 9(4)

Wearing HJ, Rohani P. (2006). Ecological and immunological determinants of dengue epidemics. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 103(31)

Huang Y, Rohani P. (2006). Age-structured effects and disease interference in childhood infections. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 273(1591)

Choisy M, Rohani P. (2006). Harvesting can increase severity of wildlife disease epidemics. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 273(1597)

Vasco DA, Wearing HJ, Rohani P. (2007). Tracking the dynamics of pathogen interactions: modeling ecological and immune-mediated processes in a two-pathogen single-host system. Journal of theoretical biology, 245(1)

Broutin H, Mantilla-Beniers NB, Simondon F, Aaby P, Grenfell BT, Guégan JF, Rohani P. (2005). Epidemiological impact of vaccination on the dynamics of two childhood diseases in rural Senegal. Microbes and infection, 7(4)

Wearing HJ, Rohani P, Keeling MJ. (2005). Appropriate models for the management of infectious diseases. PLoS medicine, 2(7)

Huang Y, Rohani P. (2005). The dynamical implications of disease interference: correlations and coexistence. Theoretical population biology, 68(3)

Bonds MH, Keenan DC, Leidner AJ, Rohani P. (2005). Higher disease prevalence can induce greater sociality: a game theoretic coevolutionary model. Evolution; international journal of organic evolution, 59(9)

Wearing HJ, Rohani P, Cameron TC, Sait SM. (2004). The dynamical consequences of developmental variability and demographic stochasticity for host-parasitoid interactions. The American naturalist, 164(4)

Rohani P, Miramontes O, Keeling MJ. (2004). The colour of noise in short ecological time series data. Mathematical medicine and biology : a journal of the IMA, 21(1)

Rohani P, Keeling MJ, Grenfell BT. (2002). The interplay between determinism and stochasticity in childhood diseases. The American naturalist, 159(5)

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