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Piero Poletti

Research Scientist

Education

Affiliations

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Papers

Marziano V, Guzzetta G, Rondinone BM, Boccuni F, Riccardo F, Bella A, Poletti P, Trentini F, Pezzotti P, Brusaferro S, Rezza G, Iavicoli S, Ajelli M, Merler S. (2021). Retrospective analysis of the Italian exit strategy from COVID-19 lockdown. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 118(4)

Trentini F, Guzzetta G, Galli M, Zardini A, Manenti F, Putoto G, Marziano V, Gamshie WN, Tsegaye A, Greblo A, Melegaro A, Ajelli M, Merler S, Poletti P. (2021). Modeling the interplay between demography, social contact patterns, and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the South West Shewa Zone of Oromia Region, Ethiopia. BMC medicine, 19(1)

Yu H, Yang J, Marziano V, Deng X, Guzzetta G, Zhang J, Trentini F, Cai J, Poletti P, Zheng W, Wang W, Wu Q, Zhao Z, Dong K, Zhong G, Viboud C, Merler S, Ajelli M. (2021). Can a COVID-19 vaccination program guarantee the return to a pre-pandemic lifestyle?. Research square

Yang J, Marziano V, Deng X, Guzzetta G, Zhang J, Trentini F, Cai J, Poletti P, Zheng W, Wang W, Wu Q, Zhao Z, Dong K, Zhong G, Viboud C, Merler S, Ajelli M, Yu H. (2021). Can a COVID-19 vaccination program guarantee the return to a pre-pandemic lifestyle?. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences

Poletti P, Tirani M, Cereda D, Trentini F, Guzzetta G, Sabatino G, Marziano V, Castrofino A, Grosso F, Del Castillo G, Piccarreta R, Andreassi A, Melegaro A, Gramegna M, Ajelli M, Merler S,. (2021). Association of Age With Likelihood of Developing Symptoms and Critical Disease Among Close Contacts Exposed to Patients With Confirmed SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Italy. JAMA network open, 4(3)

Guzzetta G, Riccardo F, Marziano V, Poletti P, Trentini F, Bella A, Andrianou X, Del Manso M, Fabiani M, Bellino S, Boros S, Urdiales AM, Vescio MF, Piccioli A, , Brusaferro S, Rezza G, Pezzotti P, Ajelli M, Merler S. (2020). Impact of a Nationwide Lockdown on SARS-CoV-2 Transmissibility, Italy. Emerging infectious diseases, 27(1)

Bosetti P, Poletti P, Stella M, Lepri B, Merler S, De Domenico M. (2020). Heterogeneity in social and epidemiological factors determines the risk of measles outbreaks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117(48)

Guzzetta G, Vairo F, Mammone A, Lanini S, Poletti P, Manica M, Rosa R, Caputo B, Solimini A, Torre AD, Scognamiglio P, Zumla A, Ippolito G, Merler S. (2020). Spatial modes for transmission of chikungunya virus during a large chikungunya outbreak in Italy: a modeling analysis. BMC medicine, 18(1)

Guzzetta G, Poletti P, Ajelli M, Trentini F, Marziano V, Cereda D, Tirani M, Diurno G, Bodina A, Barone A, Crottogini L, Gramegna M, Melegaro A, Merler S. (2020). Potential short-term outcome of an uncontrolled COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy, February to March 2020. Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 25(12)

Riccardo F, Ajelli M, Andrianou XD, Bella A, Del Manso M, Fabiani M, Bellino S, Boros S, Urdiales AM, Marziano V, Rota MC, Filia A, D'Ancona F, Siddu A, Punzo O, Trentini F, Guzzetta G, Poletti P, Stefanelli P, Castrucci MR, Ciervo A, Di Benedetto C, Tallon M, Piccioli A, Brusaferro S, Rezza G, Merler S, Pezzotti P,. (2020). Epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 cases and estimates of the reproductive numbers 1 month into the epidemic, Italy, 28 January to 31 March 2020. Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 25(49)

Poletti P, Tirani M, Cereda D, Trentini F, Guzzetta G, Marziano V, Buoro S, Riboli S, Crottogini L, Piccarreta R, Piatti A, Grasselli G, Melegaro A, Gramegna M, Ajelli M, Merler S. (2020). Age-specific SARS-CoV-2 infection fatality ratio and associated risk factors, Italy, February to April 2020. Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 25(31)

Caputo B, Russo G, Manica M, Vairo F, Poletti P, Guzzetta G, Merler S, Scagnolari C, Solimini A. (2020). A comparative analysis of the 2007 and 2017 Italian chikungunya outbreaks and implication for public health response. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 14(6)

Trentini F, Poletti P, Melegaro A, Merler S. (2019). The introduction of 'No jab, No school' policy and the refinement of measles immunisation strategies in high-income countries. BMC medicine, 17(1)

Marziano V, Poletti P, Trentini F, Melegaro A, Ajelli M, Merler S. (2019). Parental vaccination to reduce measles immunity gaps in Italy. eLife, (8)

Sun K, Zhang Q, Pastore-Piontti A, Chinazzi M, Mistry D, Dean NE, Rojas DP, Merler S, Poletti P, Rossi L, Halloran ME, Longini IM Jr., Vespignani A. (2018). Quantifying the risk of local Zika virus transmission in the contiguous US during the 2015-2016 ZIKV epidemic. BMC medicine, 16(1)

Melegaro A, Marziano V, Del Fava E, Poletti P, Tirani M, Rizzo C, Merler S. (2018). The impact of demographic changes, exogenous boosting and new vaccination policies on varicella and herpes zoster in Italy: a modelling and cost-effectiveness study. BMC medicine, 16(1)

Marziano V, Poletti P, Béraud G, Boëlle PY, Merler S, Colizza V. (2018). Modeling the impact of changes in day-care contact patterns on the dynamics of varicella transmission in France between 1991 and 2015. PLoS computational biology, 14(8)

Zhang Q, Sun K, Chinazzi M, Pastore Y Piontti A, Dean NE, Rojas DP, Merler S, Mistry D, Poletti P, Rossi L, Bray M, Halloran ME, Longini IM Jr., Vespignani A. (2017). Spread of Zika virus in the Americas. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 114(22)

Poletti P, Visintainer R, Lepri B, Merler S. (2017). The interplay between individual social behavior and clinical symptoms in small clustered groups. BMC infectious diseases, 17(1)

Guzzetta G, Tagliapietra V, Perkins SE, Hauffe HC, Poletti P, Merler S, Rizzoli A. (2017). Population dynamics of wild rodents induce stochastic fadeouts of a zoonotic pathogen. The Journal of animal ecology, 86(3)

Melegaro A, Del Fava E, Poletti P, Merler S, Nyamukapa C, Williams J, Gregson S, Manfredi P. (2017). Social Contact Structures and Time Use Patterns in the Manicaland Province of Zimbabwe. PloS one, 12(1)

Trentini F, Poletti P, Merler S, Melegaro A. (2017). Measles immunity gaps and the progress towards elimination: a multi-country modelling analysis. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 17(10)

Manica M, Guzzetta G, Poletti P, Filipponi F, Solimini A, Caputo B, Della Torre A, Rosà R, Merler S. (2017). Transmission dynamics of the ongoing chikungunya outbreak in Central Italy: from coastal areas to the metropolitan city of Rome, summer 2017. Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 22(44)

Guzzetta G, Trentini F, Poletti P, Baldacchino FA, Montarsi F, Capelli G, Rizzoli A, Rosà R, Merler S, Melegaro A. (2017). Effectiveness and economic assessment of routine larviciding for prevention of chikungunya and dengue in temperate urban settings in Europe. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 11(9)

Marini G, Poletti P, Giacobini M, Pugliese A, Merler S, Rosà R. (2016). The Role of Climatic and Density Dependent Factors in Shaping Mosquito Population Dynamics: The Case of Culex pipiens in Northwestern Italy. PloS one, 11(4)

Guzzetta G, Poletti P, Merler S, Manfredi P. (2016). The Epidemiology of Herpes Zoster After Varicella Immunization Under Different Biological Hypotheses: Perspectives From Mathematical Modeling. American journal of epidemiology, 183(8)

Guzzetta G, Poletti P, Montarsi F, Baldacchino F, Capelli G, Rizzoli A, Rosà R, Merler S. (2016). Assessing the potential risk of Zika virus epidemics in temperate areas with established Aedes albopictus populations. Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 21(15)

Guzzetta G, Montarsi F, Baldacchino FA, Metz M, Capelli G, Rizzoli A, Pugliese A, Rosà R, Poletti P, Merler S. (2016). Potential Risk of Dengue and Chikungunya Outbreaks in Northern Italy Based on a Population Model of Aedes albopictus (Diptera: Culicidae). PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 10(6)

Marziano V, Poletti P, Guzzetta G, Ajelli M, Manfredi P, Merler S. (2015). The impact of demographic changes on the epidemiology of herpes zoster: Spain as a case study. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 282(1804)

Ajelli M, Poletti P, Melegaro A, Merler S. (2014). The role of different social contexts in shaping influenza transmission during the 2009 pandemic. Scientific reports, (4)

Poletti P, Melegaro A, Ajelli M, Del Fava E, Guzzetta G, Faustini L, Scalia Tomba G, Lopalco P, Rizzo C, Merler S, Manfredi P. (2013). Perspectives on the impact of varicella immunization on herpes zoster. A model-based evaluation from three European countries. PloS one, 8(4)

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