Sara Del Valle

Deputy Group Leader



Information Systems and Modeling Group, Los Alamos National Laboratory



Romero-Alvarez D, Parikh N, Osthus D, Martinez K, Generous N, Del Valle S, Manore CA. (2020). Google Health Trends performance reflecting dengue incidence for the Brazilian states. BMC infectious diseases, 20(1)

Caldwell WK, Fairchild G, Del Valle SY. (2020). Surveilling Influenza Incidence With Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Web Traffic Data: Demonstration Using a Novel Dataset. Journal of medical Internet research

Kobres PY, Chretien JP, Johansson MA, Morgan JJ, Whung PY, Mukundan H, Del Valle SY, Forshey BM, Quandelacy TM, Biggerstaff M, Viboud C, Pollett S. (2019). A systematic review and evaluation of Zika virus forecasting and prediction research during a public health emergency of international concern. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 13(10)

Del Valle SY, McMahon BH, Asher J, Hatchett R, Lega JC, Brown HE, Leany ME, Pantazis Y, Roberts DJ, Moore S, Peterson AT, Escobar LE, Qiao H, Hengartner NW, Mukundan H. (2018). Summary results of the 2014-2015 DARPA Chikungunya challenge. BMC Infectious Diseases, 18(1)

Shutt DP, Manore CA, Pankavich S, Porter AT, Del Valle SY. (2017). Estimating the reproductive number, total outbreak size, and reporting rates for Zika epidemics in South and Central America. Epidemics, (21)

Priedhorsky R, Osthus D, Daughton AR, Moran KR, Generous N, Fairchild G, Deshpande A, Del Valle SY. (2017). Measuring Global Disease with Wikipedia: Success, Failure, and a Research Agenda. CSCW : proceedings of the Conference on Computer-Supported Cooperative Work. Conference on Computer-Supported Cooperative Work, (2017)

Osthus D, Hickmann KS, Caragea PC, Higdon D, Del Valle SY. (2017). Forecasting seasonal influenza with a state-space SIR model. The Annals of Applied Statistics, 11(1)

Moran KR, Del Valle SY. (2016). A Meta-Analysis of the Association between Gender and Protective Behaviors in Response to Respiratory Epidemics and Pandemics. PLoS One, 11(10)

Moran KR, Fairchild G, Generous N, Hickmann K, Osthus D, Priedhorsky R, Hyman J, Del Valle SY. (2016). Epidemic Forecasting is Messier Than Weather Forecasting: The Role of Human Behavior and Internet Data Streams in Epidemic Forecast. The Journal of Infectious Diseases, 214(suppl_4)

Echevarria D, Gutfraind A, Boodram B, Major M, Del Valle S, Cotler SJ, Dahari H. (2015). Mathematical Modeling of Hepatitis C Prevalence Reduction with Antiviral Treatment Scale-Up in Persons Who Inject Drugs in Metropolitan Chicago. PLoS One, 10(8)

Hickmann KS, Fairchild G, Priedhorsky R, Generous N, Hyman JM, Deshpande A, Del Valle SY. (2015). Forecasting the 2013-2014 influenza season using Wikipedia. PLoS computational biology, 11(5)

Althouse BM, Scarpino SV, Meyers LA, Ayers JW, Bargsten M, Baumbach J, Brownstein JS, Castro L, Clapham H, Cummings DA, Del Valle S, Eubank S, Fairchild G, Finelli L, Generous N, George D, Harper DR, Hébert-Dufresne L, Johansson MA, Konty K, Lipsitch M, Milinovich G, Miller JD, Nsoesie EO, Olson DR, Paul M, Polgreen PM, Priedhorsky R, Read JM, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Smith DJ, Stefansen C, Swerdlow DL, Thompson D, Vespignani A, Wesolowski A. (2015). Enhancing disease surveillance with novel data streams: challenges and opportunities. EPJ data science, (4)

Fairchild G, Del Valle SY, De Silva L, Segre AM. (2015). Eliciting Disease Data from Wikipedia Articles. Proceedings of the ... International AAAI Conference on Weblogs and Social Media. International AAAI Conference on Weblogs and Social Media, (2015)

Pawelek KA, Salmeron C, Del Valle S. (2015). Connecting within and between-hosts dynamics in the influenza infection-staged epidemiological models with behavior change. Journal of coupled systems and multiscale dynamics, 3(3)

Ngonghala CN, Del Valle SY, Zhao R, Mohammed-Awel J. (2014). Quantifying the impact of decay in bed-net efficacy on malaria transmission. Journal of theoretical biology, (363)

Halloran ME, Vespignani A, Bharti N, Feldstein LR, Alexander KA, Ferrari M, Shaman J, Drake JM, Porco T, Eisenberg JN, Del Valle SY, Lofgren E, Scarpino SV, Eisenberg MC, Gao D, Hyman JM, Eubank S, Longini IM Jr.. (2014). Ebola: mobility data. Science (New York, N.Y.), 346(6208)

Fairchild G, Hickmann KS, Mniszewski SM, Del Valle SY, Hyman JM. (2014). Optimizing human activity patterns using global sensitivity analysis. Computational and mathematical organization theory, 20(4)

Priedhorsky R, Culotta A, Del Valle SY. (2014). Inferring the Origin Locations of Tweets with Quantitative Confidence. CSCW : proceedings of the Conference on Computer-Supported Cooperative Work. Conference on Computer-Supported Cooperative Work

Del Valle SY, Hyman JM, Chitnis N. (2013). Mathematical models of contact patterns between age groups for predicting the spread of infectious diseases. Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE, 10(5-6)

Agusto FB, Del Valle SY, Blayneh KW, Ngonghala CN, Goncalves MJ, Li N, Zhao R, Gong H. (2013). The impact of bed-net use on malaria prevalence. Journal of theoretical biology, (320)

Tracht SM, Del Valle SY, Edwards BK. (2012). Economic analysis of the use of facemasks during pandemic (H1N1) 2009. Journal of theoretical biology, (300)

Del Valle SY, Tellier R, Settles GS, Tang JW. (2010). Can we reduce the spread of influenza in schools with face masks?. American journal of infection control, 38(9)

Del Valle S, Morales Evangelista A, Velasco MC, Kribs-Zaleta CM, Hsu Schmitz SF. (2004). Effects of education, vaccination and treatment on HIV transmission in homosexuals with genetic heterogeneity. Mathematical biosciences, 187(2)