National Institutes of Health, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases
People: Seth Blumberg
2026 – 2031 Continue Reading Advancing Analytical Tools to Quantify and Mitigate the Risk for Transitioning from Episodic to Endemic Transmission for Emerging Infections
National Institutes of Health, National Institute of General Medical Sciences
People: Seth Blumberg
2022 – 2027 Continue Reading Modeling the dynamics of disease elimination
Blumberg S, Cárdenas SD, Liu AW, Faniran TS, Pulliam JRC, Lloyd-Smith JO. (2026). Bias in Estimating Subcritical Reproduction Numbers Under Imperfect Observation and Overlapping Transmission Chains: Theoretical Framework and Application to Mpox. American journal of epidemiology
Srivathsan A, Arzika AM, Maliki R, Abdou A, Lipsitch M, Blumberg S, O'Brien KS, Porco TC, Hinterwirth A, Doan T, Keenan JD, Lietman TM, Arnold BF. (2026). Geographic spillover of antimicrobial resistance from mass distribution of azithromycin. Nature communications
De-la-Rosa-Martinez D, Porco TC, Hazel A, Liu X, Khader K, Blumberg S. (2026). Colonization amplification despite limited in-hospital transmission: A modeling study. PLoS medicine, 23(4)
Tan ST, Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Kwan AT, Blumberg S, Park HJ, Hutchinson J, Leidner D, Lewnard JA, Sears D, Lo NC. (2025). Strength and durability of indirect protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection through vaccine and infection-acquired immunity. Nature communications, 16(1)
De-la-Rosa-Martínez D, Villaseñor-Echavarri R, Vilar-Compte D, Mosqueda-Larrauri V, Zinser-Peniche P, Blumberg S. (2025). Heterogeneity of Clostridioides difficile asymptomatic colonization prevalence: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Gut pathogens, 17(1)
Pei S, Seeram D, Blumberg S, Shopsin B, Uhlemann AC, Shaman J. (2025). Inferring asymptomatic carriers of antimicrobial-resistant organisms in hospitals using genomic, microbiological and patient mobility data. Nature communications, 16(1)
Lin G, Poleon S, Hamilton A, Salvekar N, Jara M, Haghpanah F, Lanzas C, Hazel A, Blumberg S, Lenhart S, Lloyd AL, Vullikanti A, Klein E, . (2025). The contribution of community transmission to the burden of hospital-associated pathogens: A systematic scoping review of epidemiological models. One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands), (20)
Kamau E, Ante-Testard PA, Gwyn S, Blumberg S, Abdalla Z, Aiemjoy K, Amza A, Aragie S, Arzika AM, Awoussi MS, Bailey RL, Butcher R, Callahan EK, Chaima D, Dawed AA, Díaz MIS, Domingo AS, Drakeley C, Elshafie BE, Emerson PM, Fornace K, Gass K, Goodhew EB, Hammou J, Harding-Esch EM, Hooper PJ, Kadri B, Kalua K, Kanyi S, Kasubi M, Kello AB, Ko R, Lammie PJ, Lescano AG, Maliki R, Masika MP, Migchelsen SJ, Nassirou B, Nesemann JM, Parameswaran N, Pomat W, Renneker KK, Roberts C, Rymil P, Sata E, Senyonjo L, Seife F, Sillah A, Sokana O, Srivathsan A, Tadesse Z, Taleo F, Taylor EM, Tekeraoi R, Togbey K, West SK, Wickens K, William T, Wittberg DM, Yeboah-Manu D, Youbi M, Zeru T, Keenan JD, Lietman TM, Solomon AW, Nash SD, Martin DL, Arnold BF. (2025). Characterizing trachoma elimination using serology. Nature communications, 16(1)
Vasconcelos A, King JD, Nunes-Alves C, Anderson R, Argaw D, Basáñez MG, Bilal S, Blok DJ, Blumberg S, Borlase A, Brady OJ, Browning R, Chitnis N, Coffeng LE, Crowley EH, Cucunubá ZM, Cummings DAT, Davis CN, Davis EL, Dixon M, Dobson A, Dyson L, French M, Fronterre C, Giorgi E, Huang CI, Jain S, James A, Kim SH, Kura K, Lucianez A, Marks M, Mbabazi PS, Medley GF, Michael E, Montresor A, Mutono N, Mwangi TS, Rock KS, Saboyá-Díaz MI, Sasanami M, Schwehm M, Spencer SEF, Srivathsan A, Stawski RS, Stolk WA, Sutherland SA, Tchuenté LT, de Vlas SJ, Walker M, Brooker SJ, Hollingsworth TD, Solomon AW, Fall IS. (2024). Accelerating Progress Towards the 2030 Neglected Tropical Diseases Targets: How Can Quantitative Modeling Support Programmatic Decisions?. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 78(Supplement_2)
Worden L, Wannier R, Archer H, Blumberg S, Kwan A, Sears D, Porco TC. (2024). COVID-19 Reproduction Numbers and Long COVID Prevalences in California State Prisons. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Cooper LN, Beauchamp AM, Ingle TA, Diaz MI, Wakene AD, Katterpalli C, Keller T, Walker C, Blumberg S, Kanjilal S, Chen JH, Radunsky AP, Most ZM, Hanna JJ, Perl TM, Lehmann CU, Medford RJ. (2024). Socioeconomic Disparities and the Prevalence of Antimicrobial Resistance. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America
Hoover CM, Skaff NK, Blumberg S, Fukunaga R. (2023). Aligning staff schedules, testing, and isolation reduces the risk of COVID-19 outbreaks in carceral and other congregate settings: A simulation study. PLoS Global Public Health, 3(1)
Blumberg S, Lu P, Kwan AT, Hoover CM, Lloyd-Smith JO, Sears D, Bertozzi SM, Worden L. (2022). Modeling scenarios for mitigating outbreaks in congregate settings. PLoS computational biology, 18(7)
Ramaswamy P, Gong JJ, Saleh SN, McDonald SA, Blumberg S, Medford RJ, Liu X. (2022). Developing a COVID-19 WHO Clinical Progression Scale Inpatient Database from Electronic Health Record Data. Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA
Blumberg S, Prada JM, Tedijanto C, Deiner MS, Godwin WW, Emerson PM, Hooper PJ, Borlase A, Hollingsworth TD, Oldenburg CE, Porco TC, Arnold BF, Lietman TM. (2021). Forecasting trachoma control and identifying transmission-hotspots. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America
Borlase A, Blumberg S, Callahan EK, Deiner MS, Nash SD, Porco TC, Solomon AW, Lietman TM, Prada JM, Hollingsworth TD. (2021). Modelling trachoma post-2020: opportunities for mitigating the impact of COVID-19 and accelerating progress towards elimination. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
Blumberg S, Borlase A, Prada JM, Solomon AW, Emerson P, Hooper PJ, Deiner MS, Amoah B, Hollingsworth D, Porco TC, Lietman TM. (2021). Implications of the COVID-19 pandemic in eliminating trachoma as a public health problem. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
Blumberg S, Lu P, Hoover CM, Lloyd-Smith JO, Kwan AT, Sears D, Bertozzi SM, Worden L. (2021). Mitigating outbreaks in congregate settings by decreasing the size of the susceptible population. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Toor J, Adams ER, Aliee M, Amoah B, Anderson RM, Ayabina D, Bailey R, Basáñez MG, Blok DJ, Blumberg S, Borlase A, Rivera RC, Castaño MS, Chitnis N, Coffeng LE, Crump RE, Das A, Davis CN, Davis EL, Deiner MS, Diggle PJ, Fronterre C, Giardina F, Giorgi E, Graham M, Hamley JID, Huang CI, Kura K, Lietman TM, Lucas TCD, Malizia V, Medley GF, Meeyai A, Michael E, Porco TC, Prada JM, Rock KS, Le Rutte EA, Smith ME, Spencer SEF, Stolk WA, Touloupou P, Vasconcelos A, Vegvari C, de Vlas SJ, Walker M, Hollingsworth TD. (2020). Predicted Impact of COVID-19 on Neglected Tropical Disease Programs and the Opportunity for Innovation. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America
Blumberg S, Borlase A, Prada JM, Solomon AW, Emerson P, Hooper PJ, Deiner MS, Amoah B, Hollingsworth D, Porco TC, Lietman TM. (2020). Implications of the COVID-19 pandemic on eliminating trachoma as a public health problem. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Worden L, Wannier R, Blumberg S, Ge AY, Rutherford GW, Porco TC. (2020). Estimation of effects of contact tracing and mask adoption on COVID-19 transmission in San Francisco: a modeling study. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Kelly JD, Wannier SR, Sinai C, Moe CA, Hoff NA, Blumberg S, Selo B, Mossoko M, Chowell-Puente G, Jones JH, Okitolonda-Wemakoy E, Rutherford GW, Lietman TM, Muyembe-Tamfum JJ, Rimoin AW, Porco TC, Richardson ET. (2020). The impact of different types of violence on Ebola virus disease transmission during the 2018-2020 outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. The Journal of infectious diseases
Tariq A, Lee Y, Roosa K, Blumberg S, Yan P, Ma S, Chowell G. (2020). Real-time monitoring the transmission potential of COVID-19 in Singapore, March 2020. BMC medicine, 18(1)
Tariq Amna, Lee Yiseul, Roosa Kimberlyn, Blumberg Seth, Yan Ping, MA Stefan, Chowell Gerardo. (2020). Real-time monitoring the transmission potential of COVID-19 in Singapore, February 2020. Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press
Blumberg Seth, Lietman Thomas M, Porco Travis C. (2020). Assessing the plausibility of subcritical transmission of 2019-nCoV in the United States. Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press
Ackley SF, Hacker JK, Enanoria WTA, Worden L, Blumberg S, Porco TC, Zipprich J. (2018). Genotype-Specific Measles Transmissibility: A Branching Process Analysis. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 66(8)
Menda SA, Driver TH, Neiman AE, Blumberg S, Naseri A, Stewart JM. (2016). Risk Factors for Return to the Operating Room after Resident-Performed Cataract Surgery. Seminars in ophthalmology, 33(2)
Enanoria WT, Liu F, Zipprich J, Harriman K, Ackley S, Blumberg S, Worden L, Porco TC. (2016). The Effect of Contact Investigations and Public Health Interventions in the Control and Prevention of Measles Transmission: A Simulation Study. PLoS One, 11(12)
Blumberg S, Enanoria WT, Porco TC. (2015). Vaccination Compliance and the US Measles Epidemic. JAMA pediatrics, 169(9)
Liu F, Enanoria WT, Zipprich J, Blumberg S, Harriman K, Ackley SF, Wheaton WD, Allpress JL, Porco TC. (2015). The role of vaccination coverage, individual behaviors, and the public health response in the control of measles epidemics: an agent-based simulation for California. BMC Public Health, (15)
Lietman TM, Gebre T, Abdou A, Alemayehu W, Emerson P, Blumberg S, Keenan JD, Porco TC. (2015). The distribution of the prevalence of ocular chlamydial infection in communities where trachoma is disappearing. Epidemics, (11)
Blumberg S, Worden L, Enanoria W, Ackley S, Deiner M, Liu F, Gao D, Lietman T, Porco T. (2015). Assessing Measles Transmission in the United States Following a Large Outbreak in California. PLoS currents, (7)
Chowell G, Blumberg S, Simonsen L, Miller MA, Viboud C. (2014). Synthesizing data and models for the spread of MERS-CoV, 2013: key role of index cases and hospital transmission. Epidemics, (9)
Blumberg S, Funk S, Pulliam JR. (2014). Detecting differential transmissibilities that affect the size of self-limited outbreaks. PLoS pathogens, 10(10)
O'Brien KS, Blumberg S, Enanoria WT, Ackley S, Sippl-Swezey N, Lietman TM. (2014). Antibiotic use as a tragedy of the commons: a cross-sectional survey. Computational and mathematical methods in medicine, (2014)
Blumberg S, Enanoria WT, Lloyd-Smith JO, Lietman TM, Porco TC. (2014). Identifying postelimination trends for the introduction and transmissibility of measles in the United States. American journal of epidemiology, 179(11)
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