Steven Riley

Professor of Infectious Disease Dynamics





Kwok KO, Tang A, Wei VWI, Park WH, Yeoh EK, Riley S. (2019). Epidemic Models of Contact Tracing: Systematic Review of Transmission Studies of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome and Middle East Respiratory Syndrome. Computational and structural biotechnology journal

Riley S, McDowell JJ. (2019). The WIG (weighted individual and group) shrinkage estimator. Journal of the experimental analysis of behavior, 111(2)

Kucharski AJ, Lessler J, Cummings DAT, Riley S. (2018). Timescales of influenza A/H3N2 antibody dynamics. PLoS biology, 16(8)

Nouvellet P, Cori A, Garske T, Blake IM, Dorigatti I, Hinsley W, Jombart T, Mills HL, Nedjati-Gilani G, Van Kerkhove MD, Fraser C, Donnelly CA, Ferguson NM, Riley S. (2018). A simple approach to measure transmissibility and forecast incidence. Epidemics

Pinsent A, Pepin KM, Zhu H, Guan Y, White MT, Riley S. (2017). The persistence of multiple strains of avian influenza in live bird markets. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 284(1868)

Yuan HY, Baguelin M, Kwok KO, Arinaminpathy N, van Leeuwen E, Riley S. (2017). The impact of stratified immunity on the transmission dynamics of influenza. Epidemics

Kucharski A, Riley S. (2017). Reducing uncertainty about flavivirus infections. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 17(1)

Riley S. (2016). Epidemiology: Making high-res Zika maps. Nature microbiology, 1(9)

Wu KM, Riley S. (2016). Estimation of the Basic Reproductive Number and Mean Serial Interval of a Novel Pathogen in a Small, Well-Observed Discrete Population. PLoS One, 11(2)

Pinsent A, Fraser C, Ferguson NM, Riley S. (2016). A systematic review of reported reassortant viral lineages of influenza A. BMC infectious diseases

Riley P, Cost AA, Riley S. (2016). Intra-Weekly Variations of Influenza-Like Illness in Military Populations. Military medicine, 181(4)

Lau MS, Cowling BJ, Cook AR, Riley S. (2015). Inferring influenza dynamics and control in households. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 112(29)

Van Kerkhove MD, Cooper MJ, Cost AA, Sanchez JL, Riley S. (2015). Risk factors for severe outcomes among members of the United States military hospitalized with pneumonia and influenza, 2000-2012. Vaccine, 33(49)

Kucharski AJ, Mills HL, Donnelly CA, Riley S. (2015). Transmission Potential of Influenza A(H7N9) Virus, China, 2013-2014. Emerging infectious diseases, 21(5)

Riley S, Eames K, Isham V, Mollison D, Trapman P. (2015). Five challenges for spatial epidemic models. Epidemics

Kucharski AJ, Lessler J, Read JM, Zhu H, Jiang CQ, Guan Y, Cummings DA, Riley S. (2015). Estimating the life course of influenza A(H3N2) antibody responses from cross-sectional data. PLoS biology, 13(3)

Riley P, Ben-Nun M, Linker JA, Cost AA, Sanchez JL, George D, Bacon DP, Riley S. (2015). Early Characterization of the Severity and Transmissibility of Pandemic Influenza Using Clinical Episode Data from Multiple Populations. PLoS computational biology, 11(9)

Kwok KO, Cowling BJ, Wei VW, Wu KM, Read JM, Lessler J, Cummings DA, Peiris JS, Riley S. (2014). Social contacts and the locations in which they occur as risk factors for influenza infection. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 281(1789)

Wu KM, Riley S. (2014). Simulation-guided design of serological surveys of the cumulative incidence of influenza infection. BMC infectious diseases

Kucharski A, Mills H, Pinsent A, Fraser C, Van Kerkhove M, Donnelly CA, Riley S. (2014). Distinguishing Between Reservoir Exposure and Human-to-Human Transmission for Emerging Pathogens Using Case Onset Data. PLoS currents

Riley S. (2014). Phylogenetic evidence for a mild H1 pandemic in the early 1900s. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 111(22)

Mills HL, Riley S. (2014). The spatial resolution of epidemic peaks. PLoS computational biology, 10(4)

Kucharski AJ, Kwok KO, Wei VW, Cowling BJ, Read JM, Lessler J, Cummings DA, Riley S. (2014). The contribution of social behaviour to the transmission of influenza A in a human population. PLoS pathogens, 10(6)

Pinsent A, Blake IM, White MT, Riley S. (2014). Surveillance of low pathogenic novel H7N9 avian influenza in commercial poultry barns: detection of outbreaks and estimation of virus introduction time. BMC infectious diseases

Riley P, Ben-Nun M, Armenta R, Linker JA, Eick AA, Sanchez JL, George D, Bacon DP, Riley S. (2013). Multiple estimates of transmissibility for the 2009 influenza pandemic based on influenza-like-illness data from small US military populations. PLoS computational biology, 9(5)

Pepin KM, Lloyd-Smith JO, Webb CT, Holcomb K, Zhu H, Guan Y, Riley S. (2013). Minimizing the threat of pandemic emergence from avian influenza in poultry systems. BMC infectious diseases

Pepin KM, Wang J, Webb CT, Hoeting JA, Poss M, Hudson PJ, Hong W, Zhu H, Guan Y, Riley S. (2013). Anticipating the prevalence of avian influenza subtypes H9 and H5 in live-bird markets. PLoS One, 8(2)

Riley S. (2013). Complex disease dynamics and the design of influenza vaccination programs. PLoS medicine, 10(11)

Kwok KO, Leung GM, Mak P, Riley S. (2013). Antiviral stockpiles for influenza pandemics from the household perspective: treatment alone versus treatment with prophylaxis. Epidemics, 5(2)

Riley S, Leung GM, Ho LM, Cowling BJ. (2012). Transmission of Japanese encephalitis virus in Hong Kong. Hong Kong medical journal = Xianggang yi xue za zhi

Kwok KO, Leung GM, Riley S. (2011). Modelling the proportion of influenza infections within households during pandemic and non-pandemic years. PLoS One, 6(7)

Lessler J, Cummings DA, Read JM, Wang S, Zhu H, Smith GJ, Guan Y, Jiang CQ, Riley S. (2011). Location-specific patterns of exposure to recent pre-pandemic strains of influenza A in southern China. Nature communications

Riley S, Kwok KO, Wu KM, Ning DY, Cowling BJ, Wu JT, Ho LM, Tsang T, Lo SV, Chu DK, Ma ES, Peiris JS. (2011). Epidemiological characteristics of 2009 (H1N1) pandemic influenza based on paired sera from a longitudinal community cohort study. PLoS medicine, 8(6)

Riley S. (2010). Coping without farm location data during a foot-and-mouth outbreak. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 107(3)

Wu JT, Cowling BJ, Lau EH, Ip DK, Ho LM, Tsang T, Chuang SK, Leung PY, Lo SV, Liu SH, Riley S. (2010). School closure and mitigation of pandemic (H1N1) 2009, Hong Kong. Emerging infectious diseases, 16(3)

Wu JT, Leung GM, Lipsitch M, Cooper BS, Riley S. (2009). Hedging against antiviral resistance during the next influenza pandemic using small stockpiles of an alternative chemotherapy. PLoS medicine, 6(5)

Redmond EC, Griffith CJ, Riley S. (2009). Contamination of bottles used for feeding reconstituted powdered infant formula and implications for public health. Perspectives in public health, 129(2)

Riley S, Carabin H, Bélisle P, Joseph L, Tallo V, Balolong E, Willingham AL, Fernandez TJ, Gonzales RO, Olveda R, McGarvey ST. (2008). Multi-host transmission dynamics of Schistosoma japonicum in Samar province, the Philippines. PLoS medicine, 5(1)

Riley S. (2008). A prospective study of spatial clusters gives valuable insights into dengue transmission. PLoS medicine, 5(11)

Riley S. (2007). Doping destroys the story at the heart of cycling. Nature, 449(7160)

Kwok KO, Leung GM, Lam WY, Riley S. (2007). Using models to identify routes of nosocomial infection: a large hospital outbreak of SARS in Hong Kong. Proceedings. Biological sciences, 274(1610)

Tatem AJ, Riley S. (2007). Effect of poor census data on population maps. Science (New York, N.Y.), 318(5847)

Riley S, Wu JT, Leung GM. (2007). Optimizing the dose of pre-pandemic influenza vaccines to reduce the infection attack rate. PLoS medicine, 4(6)

Riley S. (2007). Large-scale spatial-transmission models of infectious disease. Science (New York, N.Y.), 316(5829)

Riley S, Ferguson NM. (2006). Smallpox transmission and control: spatial dynamics in Great Britain. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 103(33)

Riley S, Carabin H, Marshall C, Olveda R, Willingham AL, McGarvey ST. (2005). Estimating and modeling the dynamics of the intensity of infection with schistosoma japonicum in villagers of leyte, Philippines. Part II: Intensity-specific transmission of S. japonicum. The schistosomiasis transmission and ecology project. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 72(6)

Riley S, Donnelly CA, Ferguson NM. (2003). Robust parameter estimation techniques for stochastic within-host macroparasite models. Journal of theoretical biology, 225(4)

Riley S, Fraser C, Donnelly CA, Ghani AC, Abu-Raddad LJ, Hedley AJ, Leung GM, Ho LM, Lam TH, Thach TQ, Chau P, Chan KP, Lo SV, Leung PY, Tsang T, Ho W, Lee KH, Lau EM, Ferguson NM, Anderson RM. (2003). Transmission dynamics of the etiological agent of SARS in Hong Kong: impact of public health interventions. Science (New York, N.Y.), 300(5627)

Riley C, Riley S. (2003). Influenza and pneumococcal disease in the community. Nursing standard (Royal College of Nursing (Great Britain) : 1987), 18(4)