W Edmunds
John Edmunds

Professor of Infectious Disease Modelling





Munday JD, Sherratt K, Meakin S, Endo A, Pearson CAB, Hellewell J, Abbott S, Bosse NI, , Atkins KE, Wallinga J, Edmunds WJ, van Hoek AJ, Funk S. (2021). Implications of the school-household network structure on SARS-CoV-2 transmission under school reopening strategies in England. Nature communications, 12(1)

Quilty BJ, Clifford S, Hellewell J, Russell TW, Kucharski AJ, Flasche S, Edmunds WJ,. (2021). Quarantine and testing strategies in contact tracing for SARS-CoV-2: a modelling study. The Lancet. Public health

Henderson AD, Kama M, Aubry M, Hue S, Teissier A, Naivalu T, Bechu VD, Kailawadoko J, Rabukawaqa I, Sahukhan A, Hibberd ML, Nilles EJ, Funk S, Whitworth J, Watson CH, Lau CL, Edmunds WJ, Cao-Lormeau VM, Kucharski AJ. (2021). Interactions between timing and transmissibility explain diverse flavivirus dynamics in Fiji. Nature communications, 12(1)

Davies NG, Abbott S, Barnard RC, Jarvis CI, Kucharski AJ, Munday JD, Pearson CAB, Russell TW, Tully DC, Washburne AD, Wenseleers T, Gimma A, Waites W, Wong KLM, van Zandvoort K, Silverman JD, , , Diaz-Ordaz K, Keogh R, Eggo RM, Funk S, Jit M, Atkins KE, Edmunds WJ. (2021). Estimated transmissibility and impact of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England. Science (New York, N.Y.)

Jombart T, Ghozzi S, Schumacher D, Taylor TJ, Leclerc QJ, Jit M, Flasche S, Greaves F, Ward T, Eggo RM, Nightingale E, Meakin S, Brady OJ, , Medley GF, Höhle M, Edmunds WJ. (2021). Real-time monitoring of COVID-19 dynamics using automated trend fitting and anomaly detection. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 376(1829)

Brady OJ, Kucharski AJ, Funk S, Jafari Y, Loock MV, Herrera-Taracena G, Menten J, Edmunds WJ, Sim S, Ng LC, Hué S, Hibberd ML. (2021). Case-area targeted interventions (CATI) for reactive dengue control: Modelling effectiveness of vector control and prophylactic drugs in Singapore. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 15(8)

Jombart T, van Zandvoort K, Russell TW, Jarvis CI, Gimma A, Abbott S, Clifford S, Funk S, Gibbs H, Liu Y, Pearson CAB, Bosse NI, , Eggo RM, Kucharski AJ, Edmunds WJ. (2020). Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. Wellcome open research, (5)

Davies NG, Barnard RC, Jarvis CI, Russell TW, Semple MG, Jit M, Edmunds WJ, , . (2020). Association of tiered restrictions and a second lockdown with COVID-19 deaths and hospital admissions in England: a modelling study. The Lancet. Infectious diseases

Russell TW, Golding N, Hellewell J, Abbott S, Wright L, Pearson CAB, van Zandvoort K, Jarvis CI, Gibbs H, Liu Y, Eggo RM, Edmunds WJ, Kucharski AJ,. (2020). Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained COVID-19 cases and infections. BMC medicine, 18(1)

Ratnayake R, Finger F, Azman AS, Lantagne D, Funk S, Edmunds WJ, Checchi F. (2020). Highly targeted spatiotemporal interventions against cholera epidemics, 2000-19: a scoping review. The Lancet. Infectious diseases

Kucharski AJ, Klepac P, Conlan AJK, Kissler SM, Tang ML, Fry H, Gog JR, Edmunds WJ,. (2020). Effectiveness of isolation, testing, contact tracing, and physical distancing on reducing transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in different settings: a mathematical modelling study. The Lancet. Infectious diseases

Métras R, Edmunds WJ, Youssouffi C, Dommergues L, Fournié G, Camacho A, Funk S, Cardinale E, Le Godais G, Combo S, Filleul L, Youssouf H, Subiros M. (2020). Estimation of Rift Valley fever virus spillover to humans during the Mayotte 2018-2019 epidemic. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America

Jombart T, van Zandvoort K, Russell TW, Jarvis CI, Gimma A, Abbott S, Clifford S, Funk S, Gibbs H, Liu Y, Pearson CAB, Bosse NI, , Eggo RM, Kucharski AJ, Edmunds WJ. (2020). Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences

Simpson K, Heymann D, Brown CS, Edmunds WJ, Elsgaard J, Fine P, Hochrein H, Hoff NA, Green A, Ihekweazu C, Jones TC, Lule S, Maclennan J, McCollum A, Mühlemann B, Nightingale E, Ogoina D, Ogunleye A, Petersen B, Powell J, Quantick O, Rimoin AW, Ulaeato D, Wapling A. (2020). Human monkeypox - After 40 years, an unintended consequence of smallpox eradication. Vaccine

Flasche S, Edmunds WJ. (2020). The role of schools and school-aged children in SARS-CoV-2 transmission. The Lancet. Infectious diseases

Jarvis CI, Van Zandvoort K, Gimma A, Prem K, , Klepac P, Rubin GJ, Edmunds WJ. (2020). Quantifying the impact of physical distance measures on the transmission of COVID-19 in the UK. BMC medicine, 18(1)

Russell TW, Wu JT, Clifford S, Edmunds WJ, Kucharski AJ, Jit M,. (2020). Effect of internationally imported cases on internal spread of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study. The Lancet. Public health

Quaife M, van Zandvoort K, Gimma A, Shah K, McCreesh N, Prem K, Barasa E, Mwanga D, Kangwana B, Pinchoff J, , Edmunds WJ, Jarvis CI, Austrian K. (2020). The impact of COVID-19 control measures on social contacts and transmission in Kenyan informal settlements. BMC medicine, 18(1)

Edmunds WJ. (2020). Finding a path to reopen schools during the COVID-19 pandemic. The Lancet. Child & adolescent health

Davies NG, Kucharski AJ, Eggo RM, Gimma A, Edmunds WJ,. (2020). Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths, and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study. The Lancet. Public health

Steens A, Freiesleben de Blasio B, Veneti L, Gimma A, Edmunds WJ, Van Zandvoort K, Jarvis CI, Forland F, Robberstad B. (2020). Poor self-reported adherence to COVID-19-related quarantine/isolation requests, Norway, April to July 2020. Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 25(37)

Hellewell Joel, Abbott Sam, Gimma Amy, Bosse Nikos I, Jarvis Christopher I, Russell Timothy W, Munday James D, Kucharski Adam J, Edmunds W John, Funk Sebastian, Eggo Rosalind M, Sun Fiona, Flasche Stefan, Quilty Billy J, Davies Nicholas, Liu Yang, Clifford Samuel, Klepac Petra, Jit Mark, Diamond Charlie, Gibbs Hamish, van Zandvoort Kevin. (2020). Feasibility of controlling COVID-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts. Lancet Glob Health

Hellewell Joel, Abbott Sam, Gimma Amy, Bosse Nikos I, Jarvis Christopher I, Russell Timothy W, Munday James D, Kucharski Adam J, Edmunds W John, group CMMID nCoV working, Funk Sebastian, Eggo Rosalind M. (2020). Feasibility of controlling 2019-nCoV outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts. Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press

Jit M, Jombart T, Nightingale ES, Endo A, Abbott S, Lshtm Centre For Mathematical Modelling Of Infectious Diseases Covid-Working Group, Edmunds WJ. (2020). Estimating number of cases and spread of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using critical care admissions, United Kingdom, February to March 2020. Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 25(18)

Bellan SE, Eggo RM, Gsell PS, Kucharski AJ, Dean NE, Donohue R, Zook M, Edmunds WJ, Odhiambo F, Longini IM Jr., Brisson M, Mahon BE, Henao-Restrepo AM. (2019). An online decision tree for vaccine efficacy trial design during infectious disease epidemics: The InterVax-Tool. Vaccine, 37(31)

O'Reilly KM, Hendrickx E, Kharisma DD, Wilastonegoro NN, Carrington LB, Elyazar IRF, Kucharski AJ, Lowe R, Flasche S, Pigott DM, Reiner RC Jr., Edmunds WJ, Hay SI, Yakob L, Shepard DS, Brady OJ. (2019). Estimating the burden of dengue and the impact of release of wMel Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes in Indonesia: a modelling study. BMC medicine, 17(1)

Funk S, Camacho A, Kucharski AJ, Lowe R, Eggo RM, Edmunds WJ. (2019). Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola in the Western Area region of Sierra Leone, 2014-15. PLoS computational biology, 15(2)

Munday JD, van Hoek AJ, Edmunds WJ, Atkins KE. (2018). Quantifying the impact of social groups and vaccination on inequalities in infectious diseases using a mathematical model. BMC medicine, 16(1)

Longini IM, Røttingen JA, Kieny MP, Edmunds WJ, Henao-Restrepo AM. (2018). Questionable efficacy of the rVSV-ZEBOV Ebola vaccine - Authors' reply. Lancet, 391(10125)

O'Reilly KM, Lowe R, Edmunds WJ, Mayaud P, Kucharski A, Eggo RM, Funk S, Bhatia D, Khan K, Kraemer MUG, Wilder-Smith A, Rodrigues LC, Brasil P, Massad E, Jaenisch T, Cauchemez S, Brady OJ, Yakob L. (2018). Projecting the end of the Zika virus epidemic in Latin America: a modelling analysis. BMC medicine, 16(1)

Sandmann FG, Robotham JV, Deeny SR, Edmunds WJ, Jit M. (2018). Estimating the opportunity costs of bed-days. Health economics, 27(3)

Watson CH, Baker S, Lau CL, Rawalai K, Taufa M, Coriakula J, Thieu NTV, Van TT, Ngoc DTT, Hens N, Lowry JH, de Alwis R, Cano J, Jenkins K, Mulholland EK, Nilles EJ, Kama M, Edmunds WJ. (2017). A cross-sectional seroepidemiological survey of typhoid fever in Fiji. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 11(7)

Henao-Restrepo AM, Camacho A, Longini IM, Watson CH, Edmunds WJ, Egger M, Carroll MW, Dean NE, Diatta I, Doumbia M, Draguez B, Duraffour S, Enwere G, Grais R, Gunther S, Gsell PS, Hossmann S, Watle SV, Kondé MK, Kéïta S, Kone S, Kuisma E, Levine MM, Mandal S, Mauget T, Norheim G, Riveros X, Soumah A, Trelle S, Vicari AS, Røttingen JA, Kieny MP. (2017). Efficacy and effectiveness of an rVSV-vectored vaccine in preventing Ebola virus disease: final results from the Guinea ring vaccination, open-label, cluster-randomised trial (Ebola Ça Suffit!). Lancet, 389(10068)

King EM, Oomeer S, Gilson R, Copas A, Beddows S, Soldan K, Jit M, Edmunds WJ, Sonnenberg P. (2016). Oral Human Papillomavirus Infection in Men Who Have Sex with Men: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. PloS one, 11(7)

Longini IM, Egger M, Dean NE, Edmunds WJ, Henao-Restrepo AM, . (2015). Ebola vaccination - Authors' reply. Lancet, 386(10012)

Heesterbeek H, Anderson RM, Andreasen V, Bansal S, De Angelis D, Dye C, Eames KT, Edmunds WJ, Frost SD, Funk S, Hollingsworth TD, House T, Isham V, Klepac P, Lessler J, Lloyd-Smith JO, Metcalf CJ, Mollison D, Pellis L, Pulliam JR, Roberts MG, Viboud C, . (2015). Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health. Science (New York, N.Y.), 347(6227)

Lessler J, Edmunds WJ, Halloran ME, Hollingsworth TD, Lloyd AL. (2015). Seven challenges for model-driven data collection in experimental and observational studies. Epidemics, (10)

Pitzer VE, Atkins KE, de Blasio BF, Van Effelterre T, Atchison CJ, Harris JP, Shim E, Galvani AP, Edmunds WJ, Viboud C, Patel MM, Grenfell BT, Parashar UD, Lopman BA. (2012). Direct and indirect effects of rotavirus vaccination: comparing predictions from transmission dynamic models. PLoS One, 7(8)

Read JM, Edmunds WJ, Riley S, Lessler J, Cummings DA. (2012). Close encounters of the infectious kind: methods to measure social mixing behaviour. Epidemiology and infection, 140(12)

Lopman BA, Pitzer VE, Sarkar R, Gladstone B, Patel M, Glasser J, Gambhir M, Atchison C, Grenfell BT, Edmunds WJ, Kang G, Parashar UD. (2012). Understanding reduced rotavirus vaccine efficacy in low socio-economic settings. PloS one, 7(8)

Pourbohloul B, Ahued A, Davoudi B, Meza R, Meyers LA, Skowronski DM, Villaseñor I, Galván F, Cravioto P, Earn DJ, Dushoff J, Fisman D, Edmunds WJ, Hupert N, Scarpino SV, Trujillo J, Lutzow M, Morales J, Contreras A, Chávez C, Patrick DM, Brunham RC. (2009). Initial human transmission dynamics of the pandemic (H1N1) 2009 virus in North America. Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 3(5)

Jit M, Bilcke J, Mangen MJ, Salo H, Melliez H, Edmunds WJ, Yazdan Y, Beutels P. (2009). The cost-effectiveness of rotavirus vaccination: Comparative analyses for five European countries and transferability in Europe. Vaccine, 27(44)

Harris JP, Edmunds WJ, Pebody R, Brown DW, Lopman BA. (2008). Deaths from norovirus among the elderly, England and Wales. Emerging infectious diseases, 14(10)

Jit M, Pebody R, Chen M, Andrews N, Edmunds WJ. (2007). Estimating the number of deaths with rotavirus as a cause in England and wales. Human vaccines, 3(1)

Lopman BA, Reacher MH, Vipond IB, Hill D, Perry C, Halladay T, Brown DW, Edmunds WJ, Sarangi J. (2004). Epidemiology and cost of nosocomial gastroenteritis, Avon, England, 2002-2003. Emerging infectious diseases, 10(10)

Ferguson NM, Keeling MJ, Edmunds WJ, Gani R, Grenfell BT, Anderson RM, Leach S. (2003). Planning for smallpox outbreaks. Nature, 425(6959)

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