The US Scenario Modeling Hub (SMH) is launching a new international initiative to advance modeling capabilities for the early, “cryptic” phase of a pandemic (see overview). This period of high uncertainty is critical for informing public health decisions, including assessing the extent of local transmission, anticipating epidemic trajectories, and evaluating the potential impact of interventions.
Participating teams will develop scenario projections for the early emergence of a hypothetical respiratory virus in the US, France, and the UK (see epidemiological data).
We welcome expressions of interest from modeling groups, domestically and internationally. To participate and/or join the associated Slack channel and periodic meetings, please contact: scenariohub@midasnetwork.us.
