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Paper Information

Title

Cyclic epidemics and extreme outbreaks induced by hydro-climatic variability and memory.

Abstract

, rather than a single major climatic event. These combinations depend on the assumed functional relationship between the hydrologic variables and the transmission rate. Our results emphasize the importance of hydro-climatic history and system memory in evaluating the risk of severe outbreaks.

Journal

Journal of the Royal Society, Interface

Citation

Hooshyar M, Wagner CE, Baker RE, Metcalf CJE, Grenfell BT, Porporato A. (2020). Cyclic epidemics and extreme outbreaks induced by hydro-climatic variability and memory. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 17(171)

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