Juliet Pulliam
Chief, Real-Time Monitoring Branch, Predict Division
U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Continue Reading Juliet Pulliam
MIDAS Network Member
Paper Information
Title
Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa through 1 June 2020.
Abstract
For 45 African countries/territories already reporting COVID-19 cases before 23 March 2020, we estimate the dates of reporting 1,000 and 10,000 cases. Assuming early epidemic trends without interventions, all 45 were likely to exceed 1,000 confirmed cases by the end of April 2020, with most exceeding 10,000 a few weeks later.
Journal
Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin
Citation
Pearson CA, Van Schalkwyk C, Foss AM, O'Reilly KM, Sacema Modelling And Analysis Response Team, Cmmid Covid-Working Group, Pulliam JR. (2020). Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa through 1 June 2020. Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 25(18)
MIDAS Authors