Physical distancing measures, including school closures, have been enacted globally to reduce close contacts between infectious and susceptible individuals and mitigate the transmission of the Severe Acute Respiratory Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). The San Francisco Bay Area (California) was the first region in the United States to adopt physical distancing measures […]

As of Oct. 2020, there are more than 8,000 peer-reviewed and published transmission models on the current COVID-19 epidemic, based on recent search result in the NIH NCBI LitCovid online database. The predominant modeling approach is to construct a compartmental SEIR-type model, fit the published case series to the model, […]

This fall, SARS-CoV-2 hospitalizations in the United States have been growing rapidly, and in Colorado, where our team has been modeling the course of SARS-CoV-2 for state policy-makers, hospitalizations have now greatly exceeded the “first wave” of hospitalizations in the state. It is unclear to what extent this growth is […]

The absence or a low level of testing for COVID-19 can cause a significant risk of being misled on the actual nature of outbreak, while a large-scale testing and quick testing turnaround are costly. There-fore, it is essential to understand how human Social Distancing (SD) behavior could aid in limiting […]

The severity, complexity and the global reach of COVID-19 present unprecedented challenges to public health practitioners. As the pandemic continues and the world grapples with the spread of SARS-COV-2 and the catastrophic health and economic impacts of COVID-19, it has become apparent that a “silver bullet” solution is unrealistic. Human […]