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Erik Volz

Senior Lecturer

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Pathogens/Diseases of Main Interest/Expertise

COVID-19

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Papers

Subissi L, von Gottberg A, Thukral L, Worp N, Oude Munnink BB, Rathore S, Abu-Raddad LJ, Aguilera X, Alm E, Archer BN, Attar Cohen H, Barakat A, Barclay WS, Bhiman JN, Caly L, Chand M, Chen M, Cullinane A, de Oliveira T, Drosten C, Druce J, Effler P, El Masry I, Faye A, Gaseitsiwe S, Ghedin E, Grant R, Haagmans BL, Herring BL, Iyer SS, Kassamali Z, Kakkar M, Kondor RJ, Leite JA, Leo YS, Leung GM, Marklewitz M, Moyo S, Mendez-Rico J, Melhem NM, Munster V, Nahapetyan K, Oh DY, Pavlin BI, Peacock TP, Peiris M, Peng Z, Poon LLM, Rambaut A, Sacks J, Shen Y, Siqueira MM, Tessema SK, Volz EM, Thiel V, van der Werf S, Briand S, Perkins MD, Van Kerkhove MD, Koopmans MPG, Agrawal A. (2022). An early warning system for emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants. Nature medicine

Stirrup O, Tostevin A, Ragonnet-Cronin M, Volz E, Burns F, Delpech V, Dunn D. (2022). Diagnosis delays in the UK according to pre or postmigration acquisition of HIV. AIDS (London, England), 36(3)

Aggarwal D, Page AJ, Schaefer U, Savva GM, Myers R, Volz E, Ellaby N, Platt S, Groves N, Gallagher E, Tumelty NM, Le Viet T, Hughes GJ, Chen C, Turner C, Logan S, Harrison A, , Peacock SJ, Chand M, Harrison EM. (2022). Genomic assessment of quarantine measures to prevent SARS-CoV-2 importation and transmission. Nature communications, 13(1)

Nyberg T, Ferguson NM, Nash SG, Webster HH, Flaxman S, Andrews N, Hinsley W, Bernal JL, Kall M, Bhatt S, Blomquist P, Zaidi A, Volz E, Aziz NA, Harman K, Funk S, Abbott S, , Hope R, Charlett A, Chand M, Ghani AC, Seaman SR, Dabrera G, De Angelis D, Presanis AM, Thelwall S. (2022). Comparative analysis of the risks of hospitalisation and death associated with SARS-CoV-2 omicron (B.1.1.529) and delta (B.1.617.2) variants in England: a cohort study. Lancet

McCrone JT, Hill V, Bajaj S, Pena RE, Lambert BC, Inward R, Bhatt S, Volz E, Ruis C, Dellicour S, Baele G, Zarebski AE, Sadilek A, Wu N, Schneider A, Ji X, Raghwani J, Jackson B, Colquhoun R, O'Toole Á, Peacock TP, Twohig K, Thelwall S, Dabrera G, Myers R, , Faria NR, Huber C, Bogoch II, Khan K, du Plessis L, Barrett JC, Aanensen DM, Barclay WS, Chand M, Connor T, Loman NJ, Suchard MA, Pybus OG, Rambaut A, Kraemer MUG. (2022). Context-specific emergence and growth of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant. Nature

Vöhringer HS, Sanderson T, Sinnott M, De Maio N, Nguyen T, Goater R, Schwach F, Harrison I, Hellewell J, Ariani CV, Gonçalves S, Jackson DK, Johnston I, Jung AW, Saint C, Sillitoe J, Suciu M, Goldman N, Panovska-Griffiths J, , , Birney E, Volz E, Funk S, Kwiatkowski D, Chand M, Martincorena I, Barrett JC, Gerstung M. (2022). Publisher Correction: Genomic reconstruction of the SARS CoV-2 epidemic in England. Nature

Volz E, Mishra S, Chand M, Barrett JC, Johnson R, Geidelberg L, Hinsley WR, Laydon DJ, Dabrera G, O'Toole Á, Amato R, Ragonnet-Cronin M, Harrison I, Jackson B, Ariani CV, Boyd O, Loman NJ, McCrone JT, Gonçalves S, Jorgensen D, Myers R, Hill V, Jackson DK, Gaythorpe K, Groves N, Sillitoe J, Kwiatkowski DP, , Flaxman S, Ratmann O, Bhatt S, Hopkins S, Gandy A, Rambaut A, Ferguson NM. (2021). Assessing transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 in England. Nature

Kraemer MUG, Hill V, Ruis C, Dellicour S, Bajaj S, McCrone JT, Baele G, Parag KV, Battle AL, Gutierrez B, Jackson B, Colquhoun R, O'Toole Á, Klein B, Vespignani A, , Volz E, Faria NR, Aanensen D, Loman NJ, du Plessis L, Cauchemez S, Rambaut A, Scarpino SV, Pybus OG. (2021). Spatiotemporal invasion dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B.1.1.7 emergence. Science (New York, N.Y.)

Li X, Liu H, Rife Magalis B, Kosakovsky Pond SL, Volz EM. (2021). Molecular Evolution of Human Norovirus GII.2 Clusters. Frontiers in microbiology, (12)

McCrone JT, Hill V, Bajaj S, Pena RE, Lambert BC, Inward R, Bhatt S, Volz E, Ruis C, Dellicour S, Baele G, Zarebski AE, Sadilek A, Wu N, Schneider A, Ji X, Raghwani J, Jackson B, Colquhoun R, O'Toole Á, Peacock TP, Twohig K, Thelwall S, Dabrera G, Myers R, , Faria NR, Huber C, Bogoch II, Khan K, du Plessis L, Barrett JC, Aanensen DM, Barclay WS, Chand M, Connor T, Loman NJ, Suchard MA, Pybus OG, Rambaut A, Kraemer MUG. (2021). Context-specific emergence and growth of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences

McCrone JT, Hill V, Bajaj S, Pena RE, Lambert BC, Inward R, Bhatt S, Volz E, Ruis C, Dellicour S, Baele G, Zarebski AE, Sadilek A, Wu N, Schneider A, Ji X, Raghwani J, Jackson B, Colquhoun R, O'Toole Á, Peacock TP, Twohig K, Thelwall S, Dabrera G, Myers R, , Faria NR, Huber C, Bogoch II, Khan K, du Plessis L, Barrett JC, Aanensen DM, Barclay WS, Chand M, Connor T, Loman NJ, Suchard MA, Pybus OG, Rambaut A, Kraemer MUG. (2021). Context-specific emergence and growth of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant. Research square

Mishra S, Mindermann S, Sharma M, Whittaker C, Mellan TA, Wilton T, Klapsa D, Mate R, Fritzsche M, Zambon M, Ahuja J, Howes A, Miscouridou X, Nason GP, Ratmann O, Semenova E, Leech G, Sandkühler JF, Rogers-Smith C, Vollmer M, Unwin HJT, Gal Y, Chand M, Gandy A, Martin J, Volz E, Ferguson NM, Bhatt S, Brauner JM, Flaxman S, . (2021). Changing composition of SARS-CoV-2 lineages and rise of Delta variant in England. EClinicalMedicine, (39)

Nouvellet P, Bhatia S, Cori A, Ainslie KEC, Baguelin M, Bhatt S, Boonyasiri A, Brazeau NF, Cattarino L, Cooper LV, Coupland H, Cucunuba ZM, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Dighe A, Djaafara BA, Dorigatti I, Eales OD, van Elsland SL, Nascimento FF, FitzJohn RG, Gaythorpe KAM, Geidelberg L, Green WD, Hamlet A, Hauck K, Hinsley W, Imai N, Jeffrey B, Knock E, Laydon DJ, Lees JA, Mangal T, Mellan TA, Nedjati-Gilani G, Parag KV, Pons-Salort M, Ragonnet-Cronin M, Riley S, Unwin HJT, Verity R, Vollmer MAC, Volz E, Walker PGT, Walters CE, Wang H, Watson OJ, Whittaker C, Whittles LK, Xi X, Ferguson NM, Donnelly CA. (2021). Reduction in mobility and COVID-19 transmission. Nature communications, 12(1)

Vöhringer HS, Sanderson T, Sinnott M, De Maio N, Nguyen T, Goater R, Schwach F, Harrison I, Hellewell J, Ariani CV, Gonçalves S, Jackson DK, Johnston I, Jung AW, Saint C, Sillitoe J, Suciu M, Goldman N, Panovska-Griffiths J, , , Birney E, Volz E, Funk S, Kwiatkowski D, Chand M, Martincorena I, Barrett JC, Gerstung M. (2021). Genomic reconstruction of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in England. Nature

Bhatia S, Imai N, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Baguelin M, Boonyasiri A, Cori A, Cucunubá Z, Dorigatti I, FitzJohn R, Fu H, Gaythorpe K, Ghani A, Hamlet A, Hinsley W, Laydon D, Nedjati-Gilani G, Okell L, Riley S, Thompson H, van Elsland S, Volz E, Wang H, Wang Y, Whittaker C, Xi X, Donnelly CA, Ferguson NM. (2021). Estimating the number of undetected COVID-19 cases among travellers from mainland China. Wellcome open research, (5)

Ragonnet-Cronin M, Boyd O, Geidelberg L, Jorgensen D, Nascimento FF, Siveroni I, Johnson RA, Baguelin M, Cucunubá ZM, Jauneikaite E, Mishra S, Watson OJ, Ferguson N, Cori A, Donnelly CA, Volz E. (2021). Genetic evidence for the association between COVID-19 epidemic severity and timing of non-pharmaceutical interventions. Nature communications, 12(1)

du Plessis L, McCrone JT, Zarebski AE, Hill V, Ruis C, Gutierrez B, Raghwani J, Ashworth J, Colquhoun R, Connor TR, Faria NR, Jackson B, Loman NJ, O'Toole Á, Nicholls SM, Parag KV, Scher E, Vasylyeva TI, Volz EM, Watts A, Bogoch II, Khan K, , Aanensen DM, Kraemer MUG, Rambaut A, Pybus OG. (2021). Establishment and lineage dynamics of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in the UK. Science (New York, N.Y.)

Helekal D, Ledda A, Volz E, Wyllie D, Didelot X. (2021). Bayesian inference of clonal expansions in a dated phylogeny. Systematic biology

Ragonnet-Cronin M, Golubchik T, Moyo S, Fraser C, Essex M, Novitsky V, Volz E,. (2021). HIV genetic diversity informs stage of HIV-1 infection among patients receiving antiretroviral therapy in Botswana. The Journal of infectious diseases

Sonabend R, Whittles LK, Imai N, Perez-Guzman PN, Knock ES, Rawson T, Gaythorpe KAM, Djaafara BA, Hinsley W, FitzJohn RG, Lees JA, Kanapram DT, Volz EM, Ghani AC, Ferguson NM, Baguelin M, Cori A. (2021). Non-pharmaceutical interventions, vaccination, and the SARS-CoV-2 delta variant in England: a mathematical modelling study. Lancet, 398(10313)

Geidelberg L, Boyd O, Jorgensen D, Siveroni I, Nascimento FF, Johnson R, Ragonnet-Cronin M, Fu H, Wang H, Xi X, Chen W, Liu D, Chen Y, Tian M, Tan W, Zai J, Sun W, Li J, Li J, Volz EM, Li X, Nie Q. (2021). Genomic epidemiology of a densely sampled COVID-19 outbreak in China. Virus evolution, 7(1)

Okell LC, Verity R, Katzourakis A, Volz EM, Watson OJ, Mishra S, Walker P, Whittaker C, Donnelly CA, Riley S, Ghani AC, Gandy A, Flaxman S, Ferguson NM, Bhatt S. (2020). Host or pathogen-related factors in COVID-19 severity? - Authors' reply. Lancet, 396(10260)

Verity R, Okell LC, Dorigatti I, Winskill P, Whittaker C, Imai N, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Thompson H, Walker PGT, Fu H, Dighe A, Griffin JT, Baguelin M, Bhatia S, Boonyasiri A, Cori A, Cucunubá Z, FitzJohn R, Gaythorpe K, Green W, Hamlet A, Hinsley W, Laydon D, Nedjati-Gilani G, Riley S, van Elsland S, Volz E, Wang H, Wang Y, Xi X, Donnelly CA, Ghani AC, Ferguson NM. (2020). Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis. The Lancet. Infectious diseases

Didelot X, Siveroni I, Volz EM. (2020). Additive uncorrelated relaxed clock models for the dating of genomic epidemiology phylogenies. Molecular biology and evolution

Maurano MT, Ramaswami S, Zappile P, Dimartino D, Boytard L, Ribeiro-Dos-Santos AM, Vulpescu NA, Westby G, Shen G, Feng X, Hogan MS, Ragonnet-Cronin M, Geidelberg L, Marier C, Meyn P, Zhang Y, Cadley J, Ordoñez R, Luther R, Huang E, Guzman E, Arguelles-Grande C, Argyropoulos KV, Black M, Serrano A, Call ME, Kim MJ, Belovarac B, Gindin T, Lytle A, Pinnell J, Vougiouklakis T, Chen J, Lin LH, Rapkiewicz A, Raabe V, Samanovic MI, Jour G, Osman I, Aguero-Rosenfeld M, Mulligan MJ, Volz EM, Cotzia P, Snuderl M, Heguy A. (2020). Sequencing identifies multiple early introductions of SARS-CoV-2 to the New York City region. Genome research, 30(12)

Thompson HA, Imai N, Dighe A, Ainslie KEC, Baguelin M, Bhatia S, Bhatt S, Boonyasiri A, Boyd O, Brazeau NF, Cattarino L, Cooper LV, Coupland H, Cucunuba Z, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Djaafara B, Dorigatti I, Elsland S, FitzJohn R, Fu H, Gaythorpe KAM, Green W, Hallett T, Hamlet A, Haw D, Hayes S, Hinsley W, Jeffrey B, Knock E, Laydon DJ, Lees J, Mangal TD, Mellan T, Mishra S, Mousa A, Nedjati-Gilani G, Nouvellet P, Okell L, Parag KV, Ragonnet-Cronin M, Riley S, Unwin HJT, Verity R, Vollmer M, Volz E, Walker PGT, Walters C, Wang H, Wang Y, Watson OJ, Whittaker C, Whittles LK, Winskill P, Xi X, Donnelly CA, Ferguson NM. (2020). SARS-CoV-2 infection prevalence on repatriation flights from Wuhan City, China. Journal of travel medicine

Maurano MT, Ramaswami S, Zappile P, Dimartino D, Boytard L, Ribeiro-Dos-Santos AM, Vulpescu NA, Westby G, Shen G, Feng X, Hogan MS, Ragonnet-Cronin M, Geidelberg L, Marier C, Meyn P, Zhang Y, Cadley J, Ordoñez R, Luther R, Huang E, Guzman E, Arguelles-Grande C, Argyropoulos KV, Black M, Serrano A, Call ME, Kim MJ, Belovarac B, Gindin T, Lytle A, Pinnell J, Vougiouklakis T, Chen J, Lin LH, Rapkiewicz A, Raabe V, Samanovic MI, Jour G, Osman I, Aguero-Rosenfeld M, Mulligan MJ, Volz EM, Cotzia P, Snuderl M, Heguy A. (2020). Sequencing identifies multiple, early introductions of SARS-CoV2 to New York City Region. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences

Volz EM, Wiuf C, Grad YH, Frost SDW, Dennis AM, Didelot X. (2020). Identification of hidden population structure in time-scaled phylogenies. Systematic biology

Poletto C, Scarpino SV, Volz EM. (2020). Applications of predictive modelling early in the COVID-19 epidemic. The Lancet. Digital health

Volz E, Hill V, McCrone JT, Price A, Jorgensen D, O'Toole Á, Southgate J, Johnson R, Jackson B, Nascimento FF, Rey SM, Nicholls SM, Colquhoun RM, da Silva Filipe A, Shepherd J, Pascall DJ, Shah R, Jesudason N, Li K, Jarrett R, Pacchiarini N, Bull M, Geidelberg L, Siveroni I, , Goodfellow I, Loman NJ, Pybus OG, Robertson DL, Thomson EC, Rambaut A, Connor TR. (2021). Evaluating the Effects of SARS-CoV-2 Spike Mutation D614G on Transmissibility and Pathogenicity. Cell, 184(1)

Fu H, Wang H, Xi X, Boonyasiri A, Wang Y, Hinsley W, Fraser KJ, McCabe R, Olivera Mesa D, Skarp J, Ledda A, Dewé T, Dighe A, Winskill P, van Elsland SL, Ainslie KEC, Baguelin M, Bhatt S, Boyd O, Brazeau NF, Cattarino L, Charles G, Coupland H, Cucunuba ZM, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, Donnelly CA, Dorigatti I, Eales OD, FitzJohn RG, Flaxman S, Gaythorpe KAM, Ghani AC, Green WD, Hamlet A, Hauck K, Haw DJ, Jeffrey B, Laydon DJ, Lees JA, Mellan T, Mishra S, Nedjati-Gilani G, Nouvellet P, Okell L, Parag KV, Ragonnet-Cronin M, Riley S, Schmit N, Thompson HA, Unwin HJT, Verity R, Vollmer MAC, Volz E, Walker PGT, Walters CE, Watson OJ, Whittaker C, Whittles LK, Imai N, Bhatia S, Ferguson NM. (2021). Database of epidemic trends and control measures during the first wave of COVID-19 in mainland China. International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases, (102)

Fountain-Jones NM, Appaw RC, Carver S, Didelot X, Volz E, Charleston M. (2020). Emerging phylogenetic structure of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. Virus evolution, 6(2)

Nascimento FF, Baral S, Geidelberg L, Mukandavire C, Schwartz SR, Turpin G, Turpin N, Diouf D, Diouf NL, Coly K, Kane CT, Ndour C, Vickerman P, Boily MC, Volz EM. (2020). Phylodynamic analysis of HIV-1 subtypes B, C and CRF 02_AG in Senegal. Epidemics, (30)

Le Vu S, Ratmann O, Delpech V, Brown AE, Gill ON, Tostevin A, Dunn D, Fraser C, Volz EM. (2019). HIV-1 Transmission Patterns in Men Who Have Sex with Men: Insights from Genetic Source Attribution Analysis. AIDS research and human retroviruses, 35(9)

Volz EM, Didelot X. (2018). Modeling the Growth and Decline of Pathogen Effective Population Size Provides Insight into Epidemic Dynamics and Drivers of Antimicrobial Resistance. Systematic biology, 67(4)

Volz EM, Siveroni I. (2018). Bayesian phylodynamic inference with complex models. PLoS computational biology, 14(11)

Volz EM, Romero-Severson E, Leitner T. (2017). Phylodynamic Inference across Epidemic Scales. Molecular biology and evolution, 34(5)

Le Vu S, Ratmann O, Delpech V, Brown AE, Gill ON, Tostevin A, Fraser C, Volz EM. (2018). Comparison of cluster-based and source-attribution methods for estimating transmission risk using large HIV sequence databases. Epidemics, (23)

Ratmann O, Hodcroft EB, Pickles M, Cori A, Hall M, Lycett S, Colijn C, Dearlove B, Didelot X, Frost S, Hossain AS, Joy JB, Kendall M, Kühnert D, Leventhal GE, Liang R, Plazzotta G, Poon AF, Rasmussen DA, Stadler T, Volz E, Weis C, Leigh Brown AJ, Fraser C, . (2017). Phylogenetic Tools for Generalized HIV-1 Epidemics: Findings from the PANGEA-HIV Methods Comparison. Molecular biology and evolution, 34(1)

Volz EM, Ndembi N, Nowak R, Kijak GH, Idoko J, Dakum P, Royal W, Baral S, Dybul M, Blattner WA, Charurat M. (2017). Phylodynamic analysis to inform prevention efforts in mixed HIV epidemics. Virus evolution, 3(2)

Sadasivam RS, Cutrona SL, Luger TM, Volz E, Kinney R, Rao SR, Allison JJ, Houston TK. (2017). Share2Quit: Online Social Network Peer Marketing of Tobacco Cessation Systems. Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco, 19(3)

Volz EM, Frost SD. (2014). Sampling through time and phylodynamic inference with coalescent and birth-death models. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 11(101)

Alam SJ, Zhang X, Romero-Severson EO, Henry C, Zhong L, Volz EM, Brenner BG, Koopman JS. (2013). Detectable signals of episodic risk effects on acute HIV transmission: strategies for analyzing transmission systems using genetic data. Epidemics, 5(1)

Sadasivam RS, Volz EM, Kinney RL, Rao SR, Houston TK. (2013). Share2Quit: Web-Based Peer-Driven Referrals for Smoking Cessation. JMIR research protocols, 2(2)

Frost SD, Volz EM. (2013). Modelling tree shape and structure in viral phylodynamics. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 368(1614)

Miller JC, Volz EM. (2013). Model hierarchies in edge-based compartmental modeling for infectious disease spread. Journal of mathematical biology, 67(4)

Romero-Severson EO, Alam SJ, Volz EM, Koopman JS. (2012). Heterogeneity in Number and Type of Sexual Contacts in a Gay Urban Cohort. Statistical communications in infectious diseases, 4(1)

Zhang X, Zhong L, Romero-Severson E, Alam SJ, Henry CJ, Volz EM, Koopman JS. (2012). Episodic HIV Risk Behavior Can Greatly Amplify HIV Prevalence and the Fraction of Transmissions from Acute HIV Infection. Statistical communications in infectious diseases, 4(1)

Miller JC, Slim AC, Volz EM. (2012). Edge-based compartmental modelling for infectious disease spread. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 9(70)

Volz EM. (2012). Complex population dynamics and the coalescent under neutrality. Genetics, 190(1)

Frost SD, Volz EM. (2010). Viral phylodynamics and the search for an 'effective number of infections'. Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 365(1548)

Abramovitz D, Volz EM, Strathdee SA, Patterson TL, Vera A, Frost SD, . (2009). Using respondent-driven sampling in a hidden population at risk of HIV infection: who do HIV-positive recruiters recruit?. Sexually transmitted diseases, 36(12)

Volz EM, Kosakovsky Pond SL, Ward MJ, Leigh Brown AJ, Frost SD. (2009). Phylodynamics of infectious disease epidemics. Genetics, 183(4)

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