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Giorgio Guzzetta

Researcher

Education

Affiliations

Bio

I have been working at the Bruno Kessler Foundation in Trento, Italy, since my PhD in Information and Communication Technology (University of Trento, 2011). Previously, I had received a MSc in Biomedical Engineering (University of Pisa, 2006). During my PhD, I have spent 6 months at the Denise Kirschner’s lab at the University of Michigan Medical School. My main research interest is infectious disease modeling with a focus on public health applications, i.e. risk assessment, outbreak investigation, and the evaluation of the effectiveness of interventions. I am also interested in the epidemiological impact of immunological dynamics. Diseases I have studied include tuberculosis, varicella and herpes zoster, meningococcal meningitis, human papillomavirus, hepatitis A, mosquito-borne infections, antimicrobial resistant pathogens and SARS-CoV-2. I am currently Editorial Board Member at BMC Public Health.

Preferred Pronouns

He/him/his

Personal Academic Website

Research/Topics of Interest

Agent-based models
Antibiotic resistance
Apply models to public health
Between-host modeling
Climate/environmental drivers
Compartmental models
Intra-host modeling
New methods development
Outbreak science
Public health application of models
Public health policy/interventions
Spatial transmission patterns
Vaccines

Pathogens/Diseases of Main Interest/Expertise

COVID-19
Dengue
Tuberculosis (TB)
Vaccine-preventable diseases
Vector-borne diseases
Zika
varicella and herpes zoster
meningococcal meningitis

Countries of Work/Collaboration

Italy

Projects

Papers

Trentini F, Manna A, Balbo N, Marziano V, Guzzetta G, O'Dell S, Kummer AG, Litvinova M, Merler S, Ajelli M, Poletti P, Melegaro A. (2022). Investigating the relationship between interventions, contact patterns, and SARS-CoV-2 transmissibility. Epidemics, (40)

Liu QH, Zhang J, Peng C, Litvinova M, Huang S, Poletti P, Trentini F, Guzzetta G, Marziano V, Zhou T, Viboud C, Bento AI, Lv J, Vespignani A, Merler S, Yu H, Ajelli M. (2022). Model-based evaluation of alternative reactive class closure strategies against COVID-19. Nature communications, 13(1)

Stefanelli P, Trentini F, Guzzetta G, Marziano V, Mammone A, Sane Schepisi M, Poletti P, Molina Grané C, Manica M, Del Manso M, Andrianou X, Ajelli M, Rezza G, Brusaferro S, Merler S, . (2022). Co-circulation of SARS-CoV-2 Alpha and Gamma variants in Italy, February and March 2021. Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 27(5)

Liu QH, Zhang J, Peng C, Litvinova M, Huang S, Poletti P, Trentini F, Guzzetta G, Marziano V, Zhou T, Viboud C, Bento AI, Lv J, Vespignani A, Merler S, Yu H, Ajelli M. (2021). Model-based evaluation of alternative reactive class closure strategies against COVID-19. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences

Yang J, Marziano V, Deng X, Guzzetta G, Zhang J, Trentini F, Cai J, Poletti P, Zheng W, Wang W, Wu Q, Zhao Z, Dong K, Zhong G, Viboud C, Merler S, Ajelli M, Yu H. (2021). Despite vaccination, China needs non-pharmaceutical interventions to prevent widespread outbreaks of COVID-19 in 2021. Nature human behaviour

Cereda D, Manica M, Tirani M, Rovida F, Demicheli V, Ajelli M, Poletti P, Trentini F, Guzzetta G, Marziano V, Piccarreta R, Barone A, Magoni M, Deandrea S, Diurno G, Lombardo M, Faccini M, Pan A, Bruno R, Pariani E, Grasselli G, Piatti A, Gramegna M, Baldanti F, Melegaro A, Merler S. (2021). The early phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy. Epidemics, (37)

Manica M, Pancheri S, Poletti P, Giovanazzi G, Guzzetta G, Trentini F, Marziano V, Ajelli M, Zuccali MG, Benetollo PP, Merler S, Ferro A. (2021). The risk of symptomatic infection during a second COVID-19 wave, in SARS-CoV-2 seropositive individuals. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America

Trentini F, Marziano V, Guzzetta G, Tirani M, Cereda D, Poletti P, Piccarreta R, Barone A, Preziosi G, Arduini F, Valle PGD, Zanella A, Grosso F, Castillo G, Castrofino A, Grasselli G, Melegaro A, Piatti A, Andreassi A, Gramegna M, Ajelli M, Merler S. (2021). The pressure on healthcare system and intensive care utilization during the COVID-19 outbreak in the Lombardy region: a retrospective observational study on 43,538 hospitalized patients. American journal of epidemiology

Trentini F, Guzzetta G, Galli M, Zardini A, Manenti F, Putoto G, Marziano V, Gamshie WN, Tsegaye A, Greblo A, Melegaro A, Ajelli M, Merler S, Poletti P. (2021). Modeling the interplay between demography, social contact patterns, and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the South West Shewa Zone of Oromia Region, Ethiopia. BMC medicine, 19(1)

Poletti P, Tirani M, Cereda D, Guzzetta G, Trentini F, Marziano V, Toso C, Piatti A, Piccarreta R, Melegaro A, Andreassi A, Gramegna M, Ajelli M, Merler S. (2021). Seroprevalence of and Risk Factors Associated With SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Health Care Workers During the Early COVID-19 Pandemic in Italy. JAMA network open, 4(7)

Guzzetta G, Tagliapietra V, Perkins SE, Hauffe HC, Poletti P, Merler S, Rizzoli A. (2017). Population dynamics of wild rodents induce stochastic fadeouts of a zoonotic pathogen. The Journal of animal ecology, 86(3)

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