Dengue Branch, Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, National Center for Emerging and Zoonotic Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services
Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard University
Northeastern University
Outbreak Science
He/him/his
Payne DC, Bagamian KH, Goad J, Grubaugh ND, Johansson MA, Kraemer MUG, Leshem E, Norman FF, Rodríguez-Morales AJ, Salje H, Thomas S, Weaver SC, Laytner LA, Sturgis R, Scheele SK, Hamer DH. (2026). Expert Recommendations to Strengthen Chikungunya Outbreak Surveillance and Reporting for Traveler Health Protection. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 115(1)
Anahtar M, Striplet D, Philbin E, Lacsina JR, Valenzuela JG, Johansson MA, Oliveira F, Willen L, Kamhawi S, Cote-L'Heureux A, Crompton PD, Tran TM, Fortune SM, Neafsey DE. (2026). Integrated evaluation of antibody responses to mosquitoes and mosquito-borne pathogens using highly multiplexed serology. Science advances, 12(24)
Harp RD, Holcomb KM, Benjamin SG, Green BW, Jones H, Johansson MA. (2026). A Regionally Determined Climate-Informed West Nile Virus Forecast Technique. GeoHealth, 10(2)
Thayer MB, Marzan-Rodriguez M, Torres Aponte J, Rivera A, Rodriguez DM, Madewell ZJ, Rysava K, Paz-Bailey G, Adams LE, Johansson MA. (2025). Dengue epidemic alert thresholds for surveillance and decision-making in Puerto Rico: development and prospective application of an early warning system using routine surveillance data. BMJ open, 15(9)
Harp RD, Holcomb KM, Retkute R, Prusokiene A, Prusokas A, Ertem Z, Ajelli M, Kummer AG, Litvinova M, Merler S, Piontti APY, Poletti P, Vespignani A, Wilke ABB, Zardini A, Smith KH, Armstrong P, DeFelice N, Keyel A, Shepard J, Smith R, Tyre A, Humphreys J, Cohnstaedt LW, Hosseini S, Scoglio C, Gorris ME, Barnard M, Moser SK, Spencer JA, McCarter MSJ, Lee C, Nolan MS, Barker CM, Staples JE, Nett RJ, Johansson MA. (2025). Evaluation of the 2022 West Nile virus forecasting challenge, USA. Parasites & vectors, 18(1)
Quandelacy TM, Vincente-González MF, Grillet ME, Colomé-Hidalgo M, Herrera D, Torres Aponte JM, Marzán Rodríguez M, Adams LE, Paz-Bailey G, Rodriguez DM, Munayco C, Figueroa L, Masis R, Borbor-Cordova M, Ortiz-Prado E, Piaggio M, Rollock L, Barrenechea G, Carbajo A, Estallo EL, Dos Santos T, Robert MA, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Lowe R, Stewart-Ibarra AM, Garcia-Carreras B, Cummings D, Johansson MA. (2025). Synchronized dynamics of dengue across the Americas. Science translational medicine, 17(812)
Chin T, Johansson MA, Chowdhury A, Chowdhury S, Hosan K, Quader MT, Buckee CO, Mahmud AS. (2025). Bias in mobility datasets drives divergence in modeled outbreak dynamics. Communications medicine, 5(1)
Brady OJ, Bastos LS, Caldwell JM, Cauchemez S, Clapham HE, Dorigatti I, Gaythorpe KAM, Hu W, Hussain-Alkhateeb L, Johansson MA, Lim A, Lopez VK, Maude RJ, Messina JP, Mordecai EA, Peterson AT, Rodriquez-Barraquer I, Rabe IB, Rojas DP, Ryan SJ, Salje H, Semenza JC, Tran QM. (2025). Why the growth of arboviral diseases necessitates a new generation of global risk maps and future projections. PLoS computational biology, 21(4)
Hardy CSC, Bahr LE, Rothman AL, Anderson KB, Barba-Spaeth G, Weiskopf D, Ooi EE, Marques ETA, Bonsignori M, Barrett ADT, Kirkpatrick BD, Castanha PMS, Hamins-Puertolas M, Christofferson RC, Dimopoulos G, Oliveira F, Chiang LW, Ko AI, Gunale B, Kulkarni P, Perkins TA, Dorigatti I, Stewart T, Shaw J, Johansson MA, Thomas SJ, Waickman AT. (2025). Proceedings of the second annual dengue endgame summit: A call to action. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 19(4)
Lipsitch M, Bassett MT, Brownstein JS, Elliott P, Eyre D, Grabowski MK, Hay JA, Johansson MA, Kissler SM, Larremore DB, Layden JE, Lessler J, Lynfield R, MacCannell D, Madoff LC, Metcalf CJE, Meyers LA, Ofori SK, Quinn C, Bento AI, Reich NG, Riley S, Rosenfeld R, Samore MH, Sampath R, Slayton RB, Swerdlow DL, Truelove S, Varma JK, Grad YH. (2024). Infectious disease surveillance needs for the United States: lessons from Covid-19. Frontiers in public health, (12)
Lopez VK, Cramer EY, Pagano R, Drake JM, O'Dea EB, Adee M, Ayer T, Chhatwal J, Dalgic OO, Ladd MA, Linas BP, Mueller PP, Xiao J, Bracher J, Castro Rivadeneira AJ, Gerding A, Gneiting T, Huang Y, Jayawardena D, Kanji AH, Le K, Mühlemann A, Niemi J, Ray EL, Stark A, Wang Y, Wattanachit N, Zorn MW, Pei S, Shaman J, Yamana TK, Tarasewicz SR, Wilson DJ, Baccam S, Gurung H, Stage S, Suchoski B, Gao L, Gu Z, Kim M, Li X, Wang G, Wang L, Wang Y, Yu S, Gardner L, Jindal S, Marshall M, Nixon K, Dent J, Hill AL, Kaminsky J, Lee EC, Lemaitre JC, Lessler J, Smith CP, Truelove S, Kinsey M, Mullany LC, Rainwater-Lovett K, Shin L, Tallaksen K, Wilson S, Karlen D, Castro L, Fairchild G, Michaud I, Osthus D, Bian J, Cao W, Gao Z, Lavista Ferres J, Li C, Liu TY, Xie X, Zhang S, Zheng S, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Pastore Y Piontti A, Vespignani A, Xiong X, Walraven R, Chen J, Gu Q, Wang L, Xu P, Zhang W, Zou D, Gibson GC, Sheldon D, Srivastava A, Adiga A, Hurt B, Kaur G, Lewis B, Marathe M, Peddireddy AS, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Wang L, Prasad PV, Walker JW, Webber AE, Slayton RB, Biggerstaff M, Reich NG, Johansson MA. (2024). Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020-2021. PLoS computational biology, 20(5)
Kada S, Paz-Bailey G, Adams LE, Johansson MA. (2024). Age-specific case data reveal varying dengue transmission intensity in US states and territories. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 18(3)
Shea K, Borchering RK, Probert WJM, Howerton E, Bogich TL, Li SL, van Panhuis WG, Viboud C, Aguás R, Belov AA, Bhargava SH, Cavany SM, Chang JC, Chen C, Chen J, Chen S, Chen Y, Childs LM, Chow CC, Crooker I, Del Valle SY, España G, Fairchild G, Gerkin RC, Germann TC, Gu Q, Guan X, Guo L, Hart GR, Hladish TJ, Hupert N, Janies D, Kerr CC, Klein DJ, Klein EY, Lin G, Manore C, Meyers LA, Mittler JE, Mu K, Núñez RC, Oidtman RJ, Pasco R, Pastore Y Piontti A, Paul R, Pearson CAB, Perdomo DR, Perkins TA, Pierce K, Pillai AN, Rael RC, Rosenfeld K, Ross CW, Spencer JA, Stoltzfus AB, Toh KB, Vattikuti S, Vespignani A, Wang L, White LJ, Xu P, Yang Y, Yogurtcu ON, Zhang W, Zhao Y, Zou D, Ferrari MJ, Pannell D, Tildesley MJ, Seifarth J, Johnson E, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Slayton RB, Levander JD, Stazer J, Kerr J, Runge MC. (2023). Multiple models for outbreak decision support in the face of uncertainty. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 120(18)
Howerton E, Contamin L, Mullany LC, Qin M, Reich NG, Bents S, Borchering RK, Jung SM, Loo SL, Smith CP, Levander J, Kerr J, Espino J, van Panhuis WG, Hochheiser H, Galanti M, Yamana T, Pei S, Shaman J, Rainwater-Lovett K, Kinsey M, Tallaksen K, Wilson S, Shin L, Lemaitre JC, Kaminsky J, Hulse JD, Lee EC, McKee CD, Hill A, Karlen D, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Xiong X, Pastore Y Piontti A, Vespignani A, Rosenstrom ET, Ivy JS, Mayorga ME, Swann JL, España G, Cavany S, Moore S, Perkins A, Hladish T, Pillai A, Ben Toh K, Longini I Jr., Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Bouchnita A, Bi K, Lachmann M, Fox SJ, Meyers LA, Srivastava A, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Lewis B, Klahn B, Outten J, Hurt B, Chen J, Mortveit H, Wilson A, Marathe M, Hoops S, Bhattacharya P, Machi D, Cadwell BL, Healy JM, Slayton RB, Johansson MA, Biggerstaff M, Truelove S, Runge MC, Shea K, Viboud C, Lessler J. (2023). Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty. Nature communications, 14(1)
Lim AY, Jafari Y, Caldwell JM, Clapham HE, Gaythorpe KAM, Hussain-Alkhateeb L, Johansson MA, Kraemer MUG, Maude RJ, McCormack CP, Messina JP, Mordecai EA, Rabe IB, Reiner RC Jr., Ryan SJ, Salje H, Semenza JC, Rojas DP, Brady OJ. (2023). A systematic review of the data, methods and environmental covariates used to map Aedes-borne arbovirus transmission risk. BMC infectious diseases, 23(1)
García-Carreras B, Hitchings MDT, Johansson MA, Biggerstaff M, Slayton RB, Healy JM, Lessler J, Quandelacy T, Salje H, Huang AT, Cummings DAT. (2023). Accounting for assay performance when estimating the temporal dynamics in SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in the U.S. Nature communications, 14(1)
Borchering RK, Healy JM, Cadwell BL, Johansson MA, Slayton RB, Wallace M, Biggerstaff M. (2023). Public health impact of the U.S. Scenario Modeling Hub. Epidemics, (44)
Phillips MT, Sánchez-González L, Shragai T, Rodriguez DM, Major CG, Johansson MA, Rivera-Amill V, Paz-Bailey G, Adams LE. (2023). Quantifying the relationship between arboviral infection prevalence and human mobility patterns among participants of the Communities Organized to Prevent Arboviruses cohort (COPA) in southern Puerto Rico. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 17(12)
Holcomb KM, Mathis S, Staples JE, Fischer M, Barker CM, Beard CB, Nett RJ, Keyel AC, Marcantonio M, Childs ML, Gorris ME, Rochlin I, Hamins-Puértolas M, Ray EL, Uelmen JA, DeFelice N, Freedman AS, Hollingsworth BD, Das P, Osthus D, Humphreys JM, Nova N, Mordecai EA, Cohnstaedt LW, Kirk D, Kramer LD, Harris MJ, Kain MP, Reed EMX, Johansson MA. (2023). Evaluation of an open forecasting challenge to assess skill of West Nile virus neuroinvasive disease prediction. Parasites & vectors, 16(1)
Howerton E, Contamin L, Mullany LC, Qin M, Reich NG, Bents S, Borchering RK, Jung SM, Loo SL, Smith CP, Levander J, Kerr J, Espino J, van Panhuis WG, Hochheiser H, Galanti M, Yamana T, Pei S, Shaman J, Rainwater-Lovett K, Kinsey M, Tallaksen K, Wilson S, Shin L, Lemaitre JC, Kaminsky J, Hulse JD, Lee EC, McKee C, Hill A, Karlen D, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Xiong X, Piontti APY, Vespignani A, Rosenstrom ET, Ivy JS, Mayorga ME, Swann JL, Espana G, Cavany S, Moore S, Perkins A, Hladish T, Pillai A, Toh KB, Longini I Jr., Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Bouchnita A, Bi K, Lachmann M, Fox S, Meyers LA, , Srivastava A, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Lewis B, Klahn B, Outten J, Hurt B, Chen J, Mortveit H, Wilson A, Marathe M, Hoops S, Bhattacharya P, Machi D, Cadwell BL, Healy JM, Slayton RB, Johansson MA, Biggerstaff M, Truelove S, Runge MC, Shea K, Viboud C, Lessler J. (2023). Informing pandemic response in the face of uncertainty. An evaluation of the U.S. COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Ray EL, Brooks LC, Bien J, Biggerstaff M, Bosse NI, Bracher J, Cramer EY, Funk S, Gerding A, Johansson MA, Rumack A, Wang Y, Zorn M, Tibshirani RJ, Reich NG. (2022). Comparing trained and untrained probabilistic ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 cases and deaths in the United States. International journal of forecasting
Borchering RK, Mullany LC, Howerton E, Chinazzi M, Smith CP, Qin M, Reich NG, Contamin L, Levander J, Kerr J, Espino J, Hochheiser H, Lovett K, Kinsey M, Tallaksen K, Wilson S, Shin L, Lemaitre JC, Hulse JD, Kaminsky J, Lee EC, Hill AL, Davis JT, Mu K, Xiong X, Pastore Y Piontti A, Vespignani A, Srivastava A, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Lewis B, Klahn B, Outten J, Hurt B, Chen J, Mortveit H, Wilson A, Marathe M, Hoops S, Bhattacharya P, Machi D, Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Galanti M, Yamana T, Pei S, Shaman J, España G, Cavany S, Moore S, Perkins A, Healy JM, Slayton RB, Johansson MA, Biggerstaff M, Shea K, Truelove SA, Runge MC, Viboud C, Lessler J. (2023). Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5-11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021-March 2022: A multi-model study. Lancet regional health. Americas, (17)
Quandelacy TM, Adams LE, Munoz J, Santiago GA, Kada S, Johansson MA, Alvarado LI, Rivera-Amill V, Paz-Bailey G. (2022). Reduced spread of influenza and other respiratory viral infections during the COVID-19 pandemic in southern Puerto Rico. PloS one, 17(4)
Truelove S, Smith CP, Qin M, Mullany LC, Borchering RK, Lessler J, Shea K, Howerton E, Contamin L, Levander J, Kerr J, Hochheiser H, Kinsey M, Tallaksen K, Wilson S, Shin L, Rainwater-Lovett K, Lemairtre JC, Dent J, Kaminsky J, Lee EC, Perez-Saez J, Hill A, Karlen D, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Xiong X, Pastore Y Piontti A, Vespignani A, Srivastava A, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Lewis B, Klahn B, Outten J, Orr M, Harrison G, Hurt B, Chen J, Vullikanti A, Marathe M, Hoops S, Bhattacharya P, Machi D, Chen S, Paul R, Janies D, Thill JC, Galanti M, Yamana TK, Pei S, Shaman JL, Healy JM, Slayton RB, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Runge MC, Viboud C. (2022). Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July-December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination. eLife, (11)
Reich NG, Lessler J, Funk S, Viboud C, Vespignani A, Tibshirani RJ, Shea K, Schienle M, Runge MC, Rosenfeld R, Ray EL, Niehus R, Johnson HC, Johansson MA, Hochheiser H, Gardner L, Bracher J, Borchering RK, Biggerstaff M. (2022). Collaborative Hubs: Making the Most of Predictive Epidemic Modeling. American journal of public health
Cramer EY, Ray EL, Lopez VK, Bracher J, Brennen A, Castro Rivadeneira AJ, Gerding A, Gneiting T, House KH, Huang Y, Jayawardena D, Kanji AH, Khandelwal A, Le K, Mühlemann A, Niemi J, Shah A, Stark A, Wang Y, Wattanachit N, Zorn MW, Gu Y, Jain S, Bannur N, Deva A, Kulkarni M, Merugu S, Raval A, Shingi S, Tiwari A, White J, Abernethy NF, Woody S, Dahan M, Fox S, Gaither K, Lachmann M, Meyers LA, Scott JG, Tec M, Srivastava A, George GE, Cegan JC, Dettwiller ID, England WP, Farthing MW, Hunter RH, Lafferty B, Linkov I, Mayo ML, Parno MD, Rowland MA, Trump BD, Zhang-James Y, Chen S, Faraone SV, Hess J, Morley CP, Salekin A, Wang D, Corsetti SM, Baer TM, Eisenberg MC, Falb K, Huang Y, Martin ET, McCauley E, Myers RL, Schwarz T, Sheldon D, Gibson GC, Yu R, Gao L, Ma Y, Wu D, Yan X, Jin X, Wang YX, Chen Y, Guo L, Zhao Y, Gu Q, Chen J, Wang L, Xu P, Zhang W, Zou D, Biegel H, Lega J, McConnell S, Nagraj VP, Guertin SL, Hulme-Lowe C, Turner SD, Shi Y, Ban X, Walraven R, Hong QJ, Kong S, van de Walle A, Turtle JA, Ben-Nun M, Riley S, Riley P, Koyluoglu U, DesRoches D, Forli P, Hamory B, Kyriakides C, Leis H, Milliken J, Moloney M, Morgan J, Nirgudkar N, Ozcan G, Piwonka N, Ravi M, Schrader C, Shakhnovich E, Siegel D, Spatz R, Stiefeling C, Wilkinson B, Wong A, Cavany S, España G, Moore S, Oidtman R, Perkins A, Kraus D, Kraus A, Gao Z, Bian J, Cao W, Lavista Ferres J, Li C, Liu TY, Xie X, Zhang S, Zheng S, Vespignani A, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Pastore Y Piontti A, Xiong X, Zheng A, Baek J, Farias V, Georgescu A, Levi R, Sinha D, Wilde J, Perakis G, Bennouna MA, Nze-Ndong D, Singhvi D, Spantidakis I, Thayaparan L, Tsiourvas A, Sarker A, Jadbabaie A, Shah D, Della Penna N, Celi LA, Sundar S, Wolfinger R, Osthus D, Castro L, Fairchild G, Michaud I, Karlen D, Kinsey M, Mullany LC, Rainwater-Lovett K, Shin L, Tallaksen K, Wilson S, Lee EC, Dent J, Grantz KH, Hill AL, Kaminsky J, Kaminsky K, Keegan LT, Lauer SA, Lemaitre JC, Lessler J, Meredith HR, Perez-Saez J, Shah S, Smith CP, Truelove SA, Wills J, Marshall M, Gardner L, Nixon K, Burant JC, Wang L, Gao L, Gu Z, Kim M, Li X, Wang G, Wang Y, Yu S, Reiner RC, Barber R, Gakidou E, Hay SI, Lim S, Murray C, Pigott D, Gurung HL, Baccam P, Stage SA, Suchoski BT, Prakash BA, Adhikari B, Cui J, Rodríguez A, Tabassum A, Xie J, Keskinocak P, Asplund J, Baxter A, Oruc BE, Serban N, Arik SO, Dusenberry M, Epshteyn A, Kanal E, Le LT, Li CL, Pfister T, Sava D, Sinha R, Tsai T, Yoder N, Yoon J, Zhang L, Abbott S, Bosse NI, Funk S, Hellewell J, Meakin SR, Sherratt K, Zhou M, Kalantari R, Yamana TK, Pei S, Shaman J, Li ML, Bertsimas D, Skali Lami O, Soni S, Tazi Bouardi H, Ayer T, Adee M, Chhatwal J, Dalgic OO, Ladd MA, Linas BP, Mueller P, Xiao J, Wang Y, Wang Q, Xie S, Zeng D, Green A, Bien J, Brooks L, Hu AJ, Jahja M, McDonald D, Narasimhan B, Politsch C, Rajanala S, Rumack A, Simon N, Tibshirani RJ, Tibshirani R, Ventura V, Wasserman L, O'Dea EB, Drake JM, Pagano R, Tran QT, Ho LST, Huynh H, Walker JW, Slayton RB, Johansson MA, Biggerstaff M, Reich NG. (2022). Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 119(15)
Walker J, Paul P, Dooling K, Oliver S, Prasad P, Steele M, Gastañaduy PA, Johansson MA, Biggerstaff M, Slayton RB. (2022). Modeling strategies for the allocation of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines in the United States. Vaccine
Pollett S, Johansson MA, Reich NG, Brett-Major D, Del Valle SY, Venkatramanan S, Lowe R, Porco T, Berry IM, Deshpande A, Kraemer MUG, Blazes DL, Pan-Ngum W, Vespigiani A, Mate SE, Silal SP, Kandula S, Sippy R, Quandelacy TM, Morgan JJ, Ball J, Morton LC, Althouse BM, Pavlin J, van Panhuis W, Riley S, Biggerstaff M, Viboud C, Brady O, Rivers C. (2021). Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: The EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines. PLoS medicine, 18(10)
Quandelacy TM, Healy JM, Greening B, Rodriguez DM, Chung KW, Kuehnert MJ, Biggerstaff BJ, Dirlikov E, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Sharp TM, Waterman S, Johansson MA. (2021). Estimating incidence of infection from diverse data sources: Zika virus in Puerto Rico, 2016. PLoS computational biology, 17(3)
Borchering RK, Viboud C, Howerton E, Smith CP, Truelove S, Runge MC, Reich NG, Contamin L, Levander J, Salerno J, van Panhuis W, Kinsey M, Tallaksen K, Obrecht RF, Asher L, Costello C, Kelbaugh M, Wilson S, Shin L, Gallagher ME, Mullany LC, Rainwater-Lovett K, Lemaitre JC, Dent J, Grantz KH, Kaminsky J, Lauer SA, Lee EC, Meredith HR, Perez-Saez J, Keegan LT, Karlen D, Chinazzi M, Davis JT, Mu K, Xiong X, Pastore Y Piontti A, Vespignani A, Srivastava A, Porebski P, Venkatramanan S, Adiga A, Lewis B, Klahn B, Outten J, Schlitt J, Corbett P, Telionis PA, Wang L, Peddireddy AS, Hurt B, Chen J, Vullikanti A, Marathe M, Healy JM, Slayton RB, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Shea K, Lessler J. (2021). Modeling of Future COVID-19 Cases, Hospitalizations, and Deaths, by Vaccination Rates and Nonpharmaceutical Intervention Scenarios - United States, April-September 2021. MMWR. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, 70(19)
Johansson MA, Wolford H, Paul P, Diaz PS, Chen TH, Brown CM, Cetron MS, Alvarado-Ramy F. (2021). Reducing travel-related SARS-CoV-2 transmission with layered mitigation measures: symptom monitoring, quarantine, and testing. BMC medicine, 19(1)
Guagliardo SAJ, Prasad PV, Rodriguez A, Fukunaga R, Novak RT, Ahart L, Reynolds J, Griffin I, Wiegand R, Quilter LAS, Morrison S, Jenkins K, Wall HK, Treffiletti A, White SB, Regan J, Tardivel K, Freeland A, Brown C, Wolford H, Johansson MA, Cetron MS, Slayton RB, Friedman CR. (2021). Cruise ship travel in the era of COVID-19: A summary of outbreaks and a model of public health interventions. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America
Oidtman RJ, Omodei E, Kraemer MUG, Castañeda-Orjuela CA, Cruz-Rivera E, Misnaza-Castrillón S, Cifuentes MP, Rincon LE, Cañon V, Alarcon P, España G, Huber JH, Hill SC, Barker CM, Johansson MA, Manore CA, Reiner RC Jr., Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Siraj AS, Frias-Martinez E, García-Herranz M, Perkins TA. (2021). Trade-offs between individual and ensemble forecasts of an emerging infectious disease. Nature communications, 12(1)
Johansson MA, Quandelacy TM, Kada S, Prasad PV, Steele M, Brooks JT, Slayton RB, Biggerstaff M, Butler JC. (2021). SARS-CoV-2 Transmission From People Without COVID-19 Symptoms. JAMA network open, 4(1)
Biggerstaff M, Slayton RB, Johansson MA, Butler JC. (2021). Improving Pandemic Response: Employing Mathematical Modeling to Confront COVID-19. Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America
Cator LJ, Johnson LR, Mordecai EA, Moustaid FE, Smallwood TRC, LaDeau SL, Johansson MA, Hudson PJ, Boots M, Thomas MB, Power AG, Pawar S. (2020). The Role of Vector Trait Variation in Vector-Borne Disease Dynamics. Frontiers in ecology and evolution, (8)
Biggerstaff M, Dahlgren FS, Fitzner J, George D, Hammond A, Hall I, Haw D, Imai N, Johansson MA, Kramer S, McCaw JM, Moss R, Pebody R, Read JM, Reed C, Reich NG, Riley S, Vandemaele K, Viboud C, Wu JT. (2020). Coordinating the real-time use of global influenza activity data for better public health planning. Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 14(2)
Sharp TM, Quandelacy TM, Adams LE, Aponte JT, Lozier MJ, Ryff K, Flores M, Rivera A, Santiago GA, Muñoz-Jordán JL, Alvarado LI, Rivera-Amill V, Garcia-Negrón M, Waterman SH, Paz-Bailey G, Johansson MA, Rivera-Garcia B. (2020). Epidemiologic and spatiotemporal trends of Zika Virus disease during the 2016 epidemic in Puerto Rico. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 14(9)
Buckee CO, Johansson MA. (2020). Individual model forecasts can be misleading, but together they are useful. European journal of epidemiology
Biggerstaff M, Cowling BJ, Cucunubá ZM, Dinh L, Ferguson NM, Gao H, Hill V, Imai N, Johansson MA, Kada S, Morgan O, Pastore Y Piontti A, Polonsky JA, Prasad PV, Quandelacy TM, Rambaut A, Tappero JW, Vandemaele KA, Vespignani A, Warmbrod KL, Wong JY,. (2020). Early Insights from Statistical and Mathematical Modeling of Key Epidemiologic Parameters of COVID-19. Emerging infectious diseases, 26(11)
Pollett S, Johansson M, Biggerstaff M, Morton LC, Bazaco SL, Brett Major DM, Stewart-Ibarra AM, Pavlin JA, Mate S, Sippy R, Hartman LJ, Reich NG, Maljkovic Berry I, Chretien JP, Althouse BM, Myer D, Viboud C, Rivers C. (2020). Identification and evaluation of epidemic prediction and forecasting reporting guidelines: A systematic review and a call for action. Epidemics, (33)
McGough SF, Johansson MA, Lipsitch M, Menzies NA. (2020). Nowcasting by Bayesian Smoothing: A flexible, generalizable model for real-time epidemic tracking. PLoS computational biology, 16(4)
Shea K, Borchering RK, Probert WJM, Howerton E, Bogich TL, Li S, van Panhuis WG, Viboud C, Aguás R, Belov A, Bhargava SH, Cavany S, Chang JC, Chen C, Chen J, Chen S, Chen Y, Childs LM, Chow CC, Crooker I, Valle SYD, España G, Fairchild G, Gerkin RC, Germann TC, Gu Q, Guan X, Guo L, Hart GR, Hladish TJ, Hupert N, Janies D, Kerr CC, Klein DJ, Klein E, Lin G, Manore C, Meyers LA, Mittler J, Mu K, Núñez RC, Oidtman R, Pasco R, Piontti APY, Paul R, Pearson CAB, Perdomo DR, Perkins TA, Pierce K, Pillai AN, Rael RC, Rosenfeld K, Ross CW, Spencer JA, Stoltzfus AB, Toh KB, Vattikuti S, Vespignani A, Wang L, White L, Xu P, Yang Y, Yogurtcu ON, Zhang W, Zhao Y, Zou D, Ferrari M, Pannell D, Tildesley M, Seifarth J, Johnson E, Biggerstaff M, Johansson M, Slayton RB, Levander J, Stazer J, Salerno J, Runge MC. (2020). COVID-19 reopening strategies at the county level in the face of uncertainty: Multiple Models for Outbreak Decision Support. medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences
Paz-Bailey G, Quandelacy TM, Adams LE, Olsen SJ, Blanton L, Munoz-Jordan JL, Lozier M, Alvarado LI, Johansson MA. (2020). Recent influenza activity in tropical Puerto Rico has become synchronized with mainland US. Influenza and other respiratory viruses
Fox SJ, Bellan SE, Perkins TA, Johansson MA, Meyers LA. (2019). Downgrading disease transmission risk estimates using terminal importations. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 13(6)
Reich NG, McGowan CJ, Yamana TK, Tushar A, Ray EL, Osthus D, Kandula S, Brooks LC, Crawford-Crudell W, Gibson GC, Moore E, Silva R, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J. (2019). Accuracy of real-time multi-model ensemble forecasts for seasonal influenza in the U.S. PLoS computational biology, 15(11)
Madewell ZJ, Hemme RR, Adams L, Barrera R, Waterman SH, Johansson MA. (2019). Comparing vector and human surveillance strategies to detect arbovirus transmission: A simulation study for Zika virus detection in Puerto Rico. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 13(12)
Kobres PY, Chretien JP, Johansson MA, Morgan JJ, Whung PY, Mukundan H, Del Valle SY, Forshey BM, Quandelacy TM, Biggerstaff M, Viboud C, Pollett S. (2019). A systematic review and evaluation of Zika virus forecasting and prediction research during a public health emergency of international concern. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 13(10)
Reich NG, Osthus D, Ray EL, Yamana TK, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J. (2019). Reply to Bracher: Scoring probabilistic forecasts to maximize public health interpretability. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 116(42)
Rund SSC, Braak K, Cator L, Copas K, Emrich SJ, Giraldo-Calderón GI, Johansson MA, Heydari N, Hobern D, Kelly SA, Lawson D, Lord C, MacCallum RM, Roche DG, Ryan SJ, Schigel D, Vandegrift K, Watts M, Zaspel JM, Pawar S. (2019). MIReAD, a minimum information standard for reporting arthropod abundance data. Scientific data, 6(1)
McGowan CJ, Biggerstaff M, Johansson M, Apfeldorf KM, Ben-Nun M, Brooks L, Convertino M, Erraguntla M, Farrow DC, Freeze J, Ghosh S, Hyun S, Kandula S, Lega J, Liu Y, Michaud N, Morita H, Niemi J, Ramakrishnan N, Ray EL, Reich NG, Riley P, Shaman J, Tibshirani R, Vespignani A, Zhang Q, Reed C, . (2019). Collaborative efforts to forecast seasonal influenza in the United States, 2015-2016. Scientific reports, 9(1)
Reich NG, Brooks LC, Fox SJ, Kandula S, McGowan CJ, Moore E, Osthus D, Ray EL, Tushar A, Yamana TK, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J. (2019). A collaborative multiyear, multimodel assessment of seasonal influenza forecasting in the United States. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 116(8)
Rivers C, Chretien JP, Riley S, Pavlin JA, Woodward A, Brett-Major D, Maljkovic Berry I, Morton L, Jarman RG, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Reich NG, Meyer D, Snyder MR, Pollett S. (2019). Using "outbreak science" to strengthen the use of models during epidemics. Nature communications, 10(1)
Perkins TA, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Manore C, Siraj AS, España G, Barker CM, Johansson MA, Reiner RC Jr.. (2019). Heterogeneous local dynamics revealed by classification analysis of spatially disaggregated time series data. Epidemics, (29)
Johansson MA, Apfeldorf KM, Dobson S, Devita J, Buczak AL, Baugher B, Moniz LJ, Bagley T, Babin SM, Guven E, Yamana TK, Shaman J, Moschou T, Lothian N, Lane A, Osborne G, Jiang G, Brooks LC, Farrow DC, Hyun S, Tibshirani RJ, Rosenfeld R, Lessler J, Reich NG, Cummings DAT, Lauer SA, Moore SM, Clapham HE, Lowe R, Bailey TC, García-Díez M, Carvalho MS, Rodó X, Sardar T, Paul R, Ray EL, Sakrejda K, Brown AC, Meng X, Osoba O, Vardavas R, Manheim D, Moore M, Rao DM, Porco TC, Ackley S, Liu F, Worden L, Convertino M, Liu Y, Reddy A, Ortiz E, Rivero J, Brito H, Juarrero A, Johnson LR, Gramacy RB, Cohen JM, Mordecai EA, Murdock CC, Rohr JR, Ryan SJ, Stewart-Ibarra AM, Weikel DP, Jutla A, Khan R, Poultney M, Colwell RR, Rivera-García B, Barker CM, Bell JE, Biggerstaff M, Swerdlow D, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Forshey BM, Trtanj J, Asher J, Clay M, Margolis HS, Hebbeler AM, George D, Chretien JP. (2019). An open challenge to advance probabilistic forecasting for dengue epidemics. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 116(48)
Lutz CS, Huynh MP, Schroeder M, Anyatonwu S, Dahlgren FS, Danyluk G, Fernandez D, Greene SK, Kipshidze N, Liu L, Mgbere O, McHugh LA, Myers JF, Siniscalchi A, Sullivan AD, West N, Johansson MA, Biggerstaff M. (2019). Applying infectious disease forecasting to public health: a path forward using influenza forecasting examples. BMC public health, 19(1)
George DB, Taylor W, Shaman J, Rivers C, Paul B, O'Toole T, Johansson MA, Hirschman L, Biggerstaff M, Asher J, Reich NG. (2019). Technology to advance infectious disease forecasting for outbreak management. Nature communications, 10(1)
Lai S, Johansson MA, Yin W, Wardrop NA, van Panhuis WG, Wesolowski A, Kraemer MUG, Bogoch II, Kain D, Findlater A, Choisy M, Huang Z, Mu D, Li Y, He Y, Chen Q, Yang J, Khan K, Tatem AJ, Yu H. (2018). Seasonal and interannual risks of dengue introduction from South-East Asia into China, 2005-2015. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 12(11)
Johansson MA, Reich NG, Meyers LA, Lipsitch M. (2018). Preprints: An underutilized mechanism to accelerate outbreak science. PLoS medicine, 15(4)
Mitchell PK, Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Biggerstaff BJ, Delorey MJ, Aubry M, Cao-Lormeau VM, Lozier MJ, Cauchemez S, Johansson MA. (2018). Reassessing Serosurvey-Based Estimates of the Symptomatic Proportion of Zika Virus Infections. American journal of epidemiology, 188(1)
Siraj AS, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Barker CM, Tejedor-Garavito N, Harding D, Lorton C, Lukacevic D, Oates G, Espana G, Kraemer MUG, Manore C, Johansson MA, Tatem AJ, Reiner RC, Perkins TA. (2018). Spatiotemporal incidence of Zika and associated environmental drivers for the 2015-2016 epidemic in Colombia. Scientific data, (5)
Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Delorey MJ, Sejvar JJ, Johansson MA. (2018). Guillain-Barré syndrome risk among individuals infected with Zika virus: a multi-country assessment. BMC medicine, 16(1)
Biggerstaff M, Johansson M, Alper D, Brooks LC, Chakraborty P, Farrow DC, Hyun S, Kandula S, McGowan C, Ramakrishnan N, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J, Tibshirani R, Tibshirani RJ, Vespignani A, Yang W, Zhang Q, Reed C. (2018). Results from the second year of a collaborative effort to forecast influenza seasons in the United States. Epidemics, (24)
Clapham HE, Cummings DAT, Johansson MA. (2017). Immune status alters the probability of apparent illness due to dengue virus infection: Evidence from a pooled analysis across multiple cohort and cluster studies. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 11(9)
Siraj AS, Oidtman RJ, Huber JH, Kraemer MUG, Brady OJ, Johansson MA, Perkins TA. (2017). Temperature modulates dengue virus epidemic growth rates through its effects on reproduction numbers and generation intervals. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 11(7)
Mier-Y-Teran-Romero L, Tatem AJ, Johansson MA. (2017). Mosquitoes on a plane: Disinsection will not stop the spread of vector-borne pathogens, a simulation study. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 11(7)
Scarpino SV, Meyers LA, Johansson MA. (2017). Design Strategies for Efficient Arbovirus Surveillance. Emerging infectious diseases, 23(4)
Russell S, Ryff K, Gould C, Martin S, Johansson M. (2017). Detecting Local Zika Virus Transmission in the Continental United States: A Comparison of Surveillance Strategies. PLoS currents, (9)
Keegan LT, Lessler J, Johansson MA. (2017). Quantifying Zika: Advancing the Epidemiology of Zika With Quantitative Models. The Journal of infectious diseases, 216(suppl_10)
Ray EL, Sakrejda K, Lauer SA, Johansson MA, Reich NG. (2017). Infectious disease prediction with kernel conditional density estimation. Statistics in medicine, 36(30)
Chretien JP, Rivers CM, Johansson MA. (2016). Make Data Sharing Routine to Prepare for Public Health Emergencies. PLoS medicine, 13(8)
Kraemer MUG, Faria NR, Reiner RC Jr., Golding N, Nikolay B, Stasse S, Johansson MA, Salje H, Faye O, Wint GRW, Niedrig M, Shearer FM, Hill SC, Thompson RN, Bisanzio D, Taveira N, Nax HH, Pradelski BSR, Nsoesie EO, Murphy NR, Bogoch II, Khan K, Brownstein JS, Tatem AJ, de Oliveira T, Smith DL, Sall AA, Pybus OG, Hay SI, Cauchemez S. (2017). Spread of yellow fever virus outbreak in Angola and the Democratic Republic of the Congo 2015-16: a modelling study. The Lancet. Infectious diseases, 17(3)
Johansson MA, Mier-y-Teran-Romero L, Reefhuis J, Gilboa SM, Hills SL. (2016). Zika and the Risk of Microcephaly. The New England journal of medicine, 375(1)
Johansson MA, Reich NG, Hota A, Brownstein JS, Santillana M. (2016). Evaluating the performance of infectious disease forecasts: A comparison of climate-driven and seasonal dengue forecasts for Mexico. Scientific reports, (6)
Ellington SR, Devine O, Bertolli J, Martinez Quiñones A, Shapiro-Mendoza CK, Perez-Padilla J, Rivera-Garcia B, Simeone RM, Jamieson DJ, Valencia-Prado M, Gilboa SM, Honein MA, Johansson MA. (2016). Estimating the Number of Pregnant Women Infected With Zika Virus and Expected Infants With Microcephaly Following the Zika Virus Outbreak in Puerto Rico, 2016. JAMA pediatrics, 170(10)
Nsoesie EO, Kraemer MU, Golding N, Pigott DM, Brady OJ, Moyes CL, Johansson MA, Gething PW, Velayudhan R, Khan K, Hay SI, Brownstein JS. (2016). Global distribution and environmental suitability for chikungunya virus, 1952 to 2015. Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin, 21(20)
Johansson MA. (2015). Chikungunya on the move. Trends in parasitology, 31(2)
Feldstein LR, Brownstein JS, Brady OJ, Hay SI, Johansson MA. (2015). Dengue on islands: a Bayesian approach to understanding the global ecology of dengue viruses. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 109(5)
Wesolowski A, Qureshi T, Boni MF, Sundsøy PR, Johansson MA, Rasheed SB, Engø-Monsen K, Buckee CO. (2015). Impact of human mobility on the emergence of dengue epidemics in Pakistan. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 112(38)
Gluskin RT, Johansson MA, Santillana M, Brownstein JS. (2014). Evaluation of Internet-based dengue query data: Google Dengue Trends. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 8(2)
Althouse BM, Scarpino SV, Meyers LA, Ayers JW, Bargsten M, Baumbach J, Brownstein JS, Castro L, Clapham H, Cummings DA, Del Valle S, Eubank S, Fairchild G, Finelli L, Generous N, George D, Harper DR, Hébert-Dufresne L, Johansson MA, Konty K, Lipsitch M, Milinovich G, Miller JD, Nsoesie EO, Olson DR, Paul M, Polgreen PM, Priedhorsky R, Read JM, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Smith DJ, Stefansen C, Swerdlow DL, Thompson D, Vespignani A, Wesolowski A. (2015). Enhancing disease surveillance with novel data streams: challenges and opportunities. EPJ data science, (4)
Wójcik OP, Brownstein JS, Chunara R, Johansson MA. (2014). Public health for the people: participatory infectious disease surveillance in the digital age. Emerging themes in epidemiology, (11)
Johansson MA, Powers AM, Pesik N, Cohen NJ, Staples JE. (2014). Nowcasting the spread of chikungunya virus in the Americas. PLoS One, 9(8)
Johansson MA, Vasconcelos PF, Staples JE. (2014). The whole iceberg: estimating the incidence of yellow fever virus infection from the number of severe cases. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 108(8)
Johansson MA, Arana-Vizcarrondo N, Biggerstaff BJ, Gallagher N, Marano N, Staples JE. (2012). Assessing the risk of international spread of yellow fever virus: a mathematical analysis of an urban outbreak in Asuncion, 2008. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 86(2)
Chan M, Johansson MA. (2012). The incubation periods of Dengue viruses. PLoS One, 7(11)
Johansson MA, Hombach J, Cummings DA. (2011). Models of the impact of dengue vaccines: a review of current research and potential approaches. Vaccine, 29(35)
Johansson MA, Arana-Vizcarrondo N, Biggerstaff BJ, Staples JE, Gallagher N, Marano N. (2011). On the treatment of airline travelers in mathematical models. PLoS One, 6(7)
Johansson MA, Arana-Vizcarrondo N, Biggerstaff BJ, Staples JE. (2010). Incubation periods of Yellow fever virus. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 83(1)
Johansson MA, Cummings DA, Glass GE. (2009). Multiyear climate variability and dengue--El Niño southern oscillation, weather, and dengue incidence in Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Thailand: a longitudinal data analysis. PLoS medicine, 6(11)
Johansson MA, Dominici F, Glass GE. (2009). Local and global effects of climate on dengue transmission in Puerto Rico. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 3(2)
Johansson MA, Glass GE. (2008). High-resolution spatiotemporal weather models for climate studies. International journal of health geographics, (7)
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